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Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs 9z (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stage

Which venue prices "Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs 9z (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stage" best? Direct comparison of Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair and Smarkets.

Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 9z (-3.5) vs 3DMAX (+3.5) 100% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 100% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5 100% Match Winner 0% Volume: $425K Liquidity: $569K Closes: 3 Jul 2026
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Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs 9z (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stage

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Robinhood Prediction Markets) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Go to the live market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Go to the live market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Go to the live market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Go to the live market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Go to the live market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 9z (-3.5) vs 3DMAX (+3.5)100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5100%
Match Winner0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.50%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 9z (-9.5) vs 3DMAX (+9.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 9z (-6.5) vs 3DMAX (+6.5)0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 27.50%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 3DMAX (-3.5) vs 9z (+3.5)0%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to counter-strike: 3dmax vs 9z (bo1) - xse pro league group stage. This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 3 match between 3DMAX and 9z in the XSE Pro League Group Stage, initially scheduled for July 3 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "3DMAX" if 3DMA…

Methodology

We read Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs 9z (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stage from four platform perspectives: Polymarket (on-chain CLOB), Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), Betfair Exchange (sports book exchange), Smarkets (peer-to-peer betting exchange). Polymarket's live mid is the canonical probability; the side-by-side columns benchmark fees, KYC, settlement currency and deposit rails so you can choose the venue that fits your jurisdiction and trade size.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket settles via UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, the two-hour window runs, then the smart contract pays USDC.

Kalshi settles USD through the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse — the cleanest variant, with heavier KYC. Betfair Exchange settles in account currency (GBP/EUR), net of 2-5% commission. Smarkets follows the same model as Betfair with a lower default 2% commission.

FAQ

Polymarket vs Kalshi — which is better?
Depends on your location. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated, US-only with full KYC. Polymarket is global, on-chain, no KYC up to $1,500. Polymarket has ~10x higher liquidity but higher regulatory risk.
What does Polymarket cost vs Kalshi?
Polymarket: 0% fees, only Polygon network costs (~$0.01/trade). Kalshi: up to 7% per trade plus spread. For high-frequency traders, Polymarket is dramatically cheaper.
Which platform has the deepest liquidity?
Polymarket — by a wide margin. Top markets reach $50-500M volume, Kalshi ~$200M cumulative, Betfair similar. Deeper liquidity means your trade moves the quote less.
Is Betfair a Polymarket alternative?
Only partially. Betfair Exchange is UK-focused with a sports-betting emphasis; they have politics markets but with thinner liquidity than Polymarket. Settlement in GBP/EUR, 2-5% commission on winnings.
Are all these platforms regulated?
No. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated (US). Betfair and Smarkets are UK Gambling Commission licensed. Polymarket operates without explicit regulation — a different risk profile than a regulated sportsbook.
and

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