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Counter-Strike: Alliance vs TheMongolz (BO3) - 1win Private Club #2 Playoffs

Cross-platform snapshot for "Counter-Strike: Alliance vs TheMongolz (BO3) - 1win Private Club #2 Playoffs": deepest order book, lowest fee, geo-coverage at a glance.

Map 3 Rounds Handicap: TheMongolz (-3.5) vs Alliance (+3.5) 50% Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 50% Map 2 Rounds Handicap: TheMongolz (-3.5) vs Alliance (+3.5) 49% O/U 2.5 Games 45% Volume: $114K Liquidity: $95K Closes: 19 Oct 2026
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Counter-Strike: Alliance vs TheMongolz (BO3) - 1win Private Club #2 Playoffs

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Robinhood Prediction Markets) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
50% 50% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Go to the live market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
50% 50% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Go to the live market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
— — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Go to the live market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
— — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Go to the live market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
— — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Go to the live market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: TheMongolz (-3.5) vs Alliance (+3.5)50%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: TheMongolz (-3.5) vs Alliance (+3.5)49%
O/U 2.5 Games45%
Map 2 Winner44%
Map 1 Winner43%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: TheMongolz (-3.5) vs Alliance (+3.5)43%
Match Winner38%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.538%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.538%
Map Handicap: MGLZ (-1.5) vs Alliance (+1.5)36%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 50% probability to counter-strike: alliance vs themongolz (bo3) - 1win private club #2 playoffs. This market refers to the Counter-Strike Upper Bracket Quarterfinal 2 match between Alliance and TheMongolz in the 1win Private Club #2 Playoffs, initially scheduled for October 19, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET…

Methodology

This page compares Counter-Strike: Alliance vs TheMongolz (BO3) - 1win Private Club #2 Playoffs specifically across Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets. The live probability is the Polymarket mid; the comparison columns summarise each venue's fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Robinhood Prediction Markets, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket settles via UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, the two-hour window runs, then the smart contract pays USDC.

Kalshi settles USD through the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse — the cleanest variant, with heavier KYC. Betfair Exchange settles in account currency (GBP/EUR), net of 2-5% commission. Smarkets follows the same model as Betfair with a lower default 2% commission.

FAQ

What does Polymarket cost vs Kalshi?
Polymarket: 0% fees, only Polygon network costs (~$0.01/trade). Kalshi: up to 7% per trade plus spread. For high-frequency traders, Polymarket is dramatically cheaper.
Is Betfair a Polymarket alternative?
Only partially. Betfair Exchange is UK-focused with a sports-betting emphasis; they have politics markets but with thinner liquidity than Polymarket. Settlement in GBP/EUR, 2-5% commission on winnings.
Which platform is accessible globally?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Kalshi is US-only. Betfair and Smarkets are UK-restricted. Robinhood Prediction Markets has a different geo footprint and routes to Polymarket's order book at 0% fees.
Are all these platforms regulated?
No. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated (US). Betfair and Smarkets are UK Gambling Commission licensed. Polymarket operates without explicit regulation — a different risk profile than a regulated sportsbook.
Which platform supports Klarna/SOFORT?
Directly: none. Polymarket accepts only USDC on Polygon. Robinhood Prediction Markets offers a fiat on-ramp via Klarna or SOFORT (DE/AT/CH) and converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. T+1 processing.
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