Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Robinhood Prediction Markets) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Go to the live market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Go to the live market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Go to the live market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Go to the live market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Go to the live market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Map 1 Winner | 100% |
| Map 2 Winner | 100% |
| Match Winner | 100% |
| Map Handicap: CS (-1.5) vs GenOne (+1.5) | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 90% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: CYBERSHOKE Esports (-3.5) vs GenOne (+3.5) | 90% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: CYBERSHOKE Esports (-6.5) vs GenOne (+6.5) | 90% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 50% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 10% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: CYBERSHOKE Esports (-6.5) vs GenOne (+6.5) | 10% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 10% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 10% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5 | 10% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: CYBERSHOKE Esports (-12.5) vs GenOne (+12.5) | 10% |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 0% |
| Map Handicap: G1 (-1.5) vs CYBERSHOKE Esports (+1.5) | 0% |
Market context
CYBERSHOKE Esports face GenOne in a CCT Europe Series #6 quarter-final best-of-three, and the market’s current 100% crowd-implied ‘YES’ price for CYBERSHOKE is best read as a statement that the match is expected to be played and won by them, not as a guarantee on series margin. Public match pages disagree slightly on the exact start time, with listings showing 17:00 UTC/18:00 CEST in some feeds and 20:00 on another, which matters because this market only settles once the result is confirmed before the 7-day delay fallback window. [2][5][7][13]
The closest comparable form line is GenOne’s recent 2-0 over CYBERSHOKE in the Thunderpick Europe Series 2 semi-final, followed by GenOne’s run of 2-0 results elsewhere in the same CCT event, while separate match pages also show CYBERSHOKE being priced as the winner on some bookmaker-style displays. That split is useful for platform comparison: Polymarket-style markets quote an implied probability, whereas Betfair- or Smarkets-style screens usually convert the same view into decimal odds, so the same opinion can look “fully priced” in one venue and merely short-priced in another; fees, cross-matching and local KYC access can also make the tradable price differ from the headline number. [2][6][12][16]
For traders, the key catalysts are confirmation that the quarter-final actually starts as scheduled, whether the bracket order changes, and any live-status update if there is a pause, reschedule or map forfeiture. Tournament listings place this in the playoffs stage with a BO3 format, so a completed match should resolve cleanly, but any cancellation, tie or a delay beyond seven days would trigger the market’s 50-50 fallback instead of a normal winner. [5][13][17]
Methodology
We read Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Esports vs GenOne (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #6 Playoffs from four platform perspectives: Polymarket (on-chain CLOB), Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), Betfair Exchange (sports book exchange), Smarkets (peer-to-peer betting exchange). Polymarket's live mid is the canonical probability; the side-by-side columns benchmark fees, KYC, settlement currency and deposit rails so you can choose the venue that fits your jurisdiction and trade size.
Resolution & payout
Settlement is the biggest difference between the four platforms: Polymarket on-chain in USDC (instant), Kalshi USD via CFTC (T+1), Betfair and Smarkets in local currency via bank withdrawal (T+1 to T+3). On-chain settlement clears in minutes — the fastest payout path of the four.
FAQ
- What does Polymarket cost vs Kalshi?
- Polymarket: 0% fees, only Polygon network costs (~$0.01/trade). Kalshi: up to 7% per trade plus spread. For high-frequency traders, Polymarket is dramatically cheaper.
- Which platform has the deepest liquidity?
- Polymarket — by a wide margin. Top markets reach $50-500M volume, Kalshi ~$200M cumulative, Betfair similar. Deeper liquidity means your trade moves the quote less.
- Is Betfair a Polymarket alternative?
- Only partially. Betfair Exchange is UK-focused with a sports-betting emphasis; they have politics markets but with thinner liquidity than Polymarket. Settlement in GBP/EUR, 2-5% commission on winnings.
- Which platform is accessible globally?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Kalshi is US-only. Betfair and Smarkets are UK-restricted. Robinhood Prediction Markets has a different geo footprint and routes to Polymarket's order book at 0% fees.
- Which platform supports Klarna/SOFORT?
- Directly: none. Polymarket accepts only USDC on Polygon. Robinhood Prediction Markets offers a fiat on-ramp via Klarna or SOFORT (DE/AT/CH) and converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. T+1 processing.
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