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Counter-Strike: Legacy vs FaZe (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group B

Which venue prices "Counter-Strike: Legacy vs FaZe (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group B" best? Direct comparison of Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair and Smarkets.

Map 2 Winner 55% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 51% Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 51% Match Winner 50% Volume: $128K Liquidity: $629K Closes: 13 Aug 2026
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Counter-Strike: Legacy vs FaZe (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group B

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Robinhood Prediction Markets) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
55% 45% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Go to the live market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
55% 45% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Go to the live market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Go to the live market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Go to the live market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Go to the live market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 2 Winner55%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.551%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.551%
Match Winner50%
O/U 2.5 Games50%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Legacy (-3.5) vs FaZe (+3.5)50%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: FaZe (-3.5) vs Legacy (+3.5)48%
Map 1 Winner46%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: FaZe (-3.5) vs Legacy (+3.5)35%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Legacy (-3.5) vs FaZe (+3.5)35%
Map Handicap: FaZe (-1.5) vs Legacy (+1.5)27%
Map Handicap: LGC (-1.5) vs FaZe (+1.5)27%

Market context

Legacy and FaZe will contest the upper bracket semifinal of the Esports World Cup Counter-Strike tournament on 13 August, with the winner advancing to the final stage. The best-of-three format means the first team to win two maps secures progression. Current crowd pricing at 47% for Legacy reflects near-parity, though FaZe enters as the higher-ranked outfit in most recent international rankings. The match settlement window closes at 23:00 UTC on the scheduled date, with provisions for 50-50 resolution if the match is postponed beyond seven days without completion.

FaZe's recent form and roster stability provide the baseline for assessing the 47% Legacy probability. FaZe has maintained consistent top-four placements across 2024 international events, whilst Legacy—the Brazilian organisation—has shown volatility in tier-one competition. Historical matchups between these sides favour FaZe marginally, though Counter-Strike's map-dependent nature and recent meta shifts around utility usage create genuine upset potential. Kalshi and Polymarket both list this market; Kalshi's decimal odds format (approximately 2.13 for FaZe) differs from Polymarket's implied probability display, whilst Betfair's commission structure (5% on esports) affects net returns differently than Smarkets' 2% fee.

Traders should monitor official Esports World Cup scheduling announcements for any venue or timing changes that might trigger the seven-day delay clause. Player roster confirmations and recent scrim results posted by team accounts typically surface 48 hours before matches. Map pool composition, announced by tournament organisers, directly influences preparation depth and can shift matchup dynamics if either team holds particular map advantages.

Methodology

This page compares Counter-Strike: Legacy vs FaZe (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group B specifically across Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets. The live probability is the Polymarket mid; the comparison columns summarise each venue's fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Robinhood Prediction Markets, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket settles via UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, the two-hour window runs, then the smart contract pays USDC.

Kalshi settles USD through the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse — the cleanest variant, with heavier KYC. Betfair Exchange settles in account currency (GBP/EUR), net of 2-5% commission. Smarkets follows the same model as Betfair with a lower default 2% commission.

FAQ

What does Polymarket cost vs Kalshi?
Polymarket: 0% fees, only Polygon network costs (~$0.01/trade). Kalshi: up to 7% per trade plus spread. For high-frequency traders, Polymarket is dramatically cheaper.
What about Smarkets as an alternative?
Smarkets is a UK betting exchange with a lower default commission (2%) than Betfair. Liquidity on political markets is below Polymarket, comparable to Kalshi. Geo-blocked in many jurisdictions.
Which platform is accessible globally?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Kalshi is US-only. Betfair and Smarkets are UK-restricted. Robinhood Prediction Markets has a different geo footprint and routes to Polymarket's order book at 0% fees.
Are all these platforms regulated?
No. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated (US). Betfair and Smarkets are UK Gambling Commission licensed. Polymarket operates without explicit regulation — a different risk profile than a regulated sportsbook.
Which platform supports Klarna/SOFORT?
Directly: none. Polymarket accepts only USDC on Polygon. Robinhood Prediction Markets offers a fiat on-ramp via Klarna or SOFORT (DE/AT/CH) and converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. T+1 processing.
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