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LoL: Dignitas vs FlyQuest (BO3) - LCS Regular Season

Which venue prices "LoL: Dignitas vs FlyQuest (BO3) - LCS Regular Season" best? Direct comparison of Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair and Smarkets.

Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2? 69% First Blood in Game 1? 55% Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor 53% Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors 52% Volume: $69K Liquidity: $98K Closes: 24 Aug 2026
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LoL: Dignitas vs FlyQuest (BO3) - LCS Regular Season

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Robinhood Prediction Markets) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
69% 31% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Go to the live market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
69% 31% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Go to the live market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Go to the live market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Go to the live market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Go to the live market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?69%
First Blood in Game 1?55%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor53%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors52%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor51%
Any Player Quadra Kill51%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?51%
Game Handicap: FLY (-1.5) vs Dignitas (+1.5)50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor49%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors49%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors49%
First Blood in Game 2?49%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?48%
O/U 2.5 Games42%
Game 2 Winner32%
Game 1 Winner31%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?24%
Match Winner23%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 69% YES probability for LoL: Dignitas vs FlyQuest (BO3) - LCS Regular Season. This market refers to the LoL match between Dignitas and FlyQuest in the LCS Regular Season, initially scheduled for August 23, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "Dignitas" if Dignitas …

Methodology

This page compares LoL: Dignitas vs FlyQuest (BO3) - LCS Regular Season specifically across Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets. The live probability is the Polymarket mid; the comparison columns summarise each venue's fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Robinhood Prediction Markets, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket settles via UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, the two-hour window runs, then the smart contract pays USDC.

Kalshi settles USD through the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse — the cleanest variant, with heavier KYC. Betfair Exchange settles in account currency (GBP/EUR), net of 2-5% commission. Smarkets follows the same model as Betfair with a lower default 2% commission.

FAQ

Polymarket vs Kalshi — which is better?
Depends on your location. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated, US-only with full KYC. Polymarket is global, on-chain, no KYC up to $1,500. Polymarket has ~10x higher liquidity but higher regulatory risk.
What does Polymarket cost vs Kalshi?
Polymarket: 0% fees, only Polygon network costs (~$0.01/trade). Kalshi: up to 7% per trade plus spread. For high-frequency traders, Polymarket is dramatically cheaper.
Which platform has the deepest liquidity?
Polymarket — by a wide margin. Top markets reach $50-500M volume, Kalshi ~$200M cumulative, Betfair similar. Deeper liquidity means your trade moves the quote less.
Is Betfair a Polymarket alternative?
Only partially. Betfair Exchange is UK-focused with a sports-betting emphasis; they have politics markets but with thinner liquidity than Polymarket. Settlement in GBP/EUR, 2-5% commission on winnings.
Are all these platforms regulated?
No. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated (US). Betfair and Smarkets are UK Gambling Commission licensed. Polymarket operates without explicit regulation — a different risk profile than a regulated sportsbook.
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