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LoL: Dplus KIA vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Playoffs

Which venue prices "LoL: Dplus KIA vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Playoffs" best? Direct comparison of Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair and Smarkets.

Match Winner 78% Game 1 Winner 68% Game 2 Winner 67% Game 3 Winner 67% Volume: $138K Liquidity: $931K Closes: 30 Aug 2026
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LoL: Dplus KIA vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Playoffs

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Robinhood Prediction Markets) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
78% 22% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Go to the live market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
78% 22% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Go to the live market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Go to the live market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Go to the live market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Go to the live market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Match Winner78%
Game 1 Winner68%
Game 2 Winner67%
Game 3 Winner67%
O/U 3.5 Games67%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon64%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon64%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon64%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon64%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon64%
Game 4 Winner62%
Game Handicap: DK (-1.5) vs KT Rolster (+1.5)61%
Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2?57%
Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 3?56%
First Blood in Game 2?55%
Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1?55%
Any Player Quadra Kill54%
Any Player Quadra Kill54%
First Blood in Game 1?54%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor53%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor53%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors52%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors52%
First Blood in Game 3?52%
Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 4?52%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
First Blood in Game 4?49%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 4?43%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?42%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 3?42%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?40%
Game Handicap: DK (-2.5) vs KT Rolster (+2.5)31%
O/U 4.5 Games30%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor28%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors28%
Any Player Quadra Kill28%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor28%
Any Player Quadra Kill28%
Any Player Quadra Kill28%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors27%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor27%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors27%
Any Player Penta Kill26%
Any Player Penta Kill21%
Any Player Penta Kill16%

Market context

LoL: Dplus KIA vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Playoffs — current market-implied probability: 78%. This market refers to the LoL Upper bracket quarterfinal 2 match between Dplus KIA and KT Rolster in the LCK Playoffs, initially scheduled for August 30, 2026 at 4:00 AM ET. This market will resolve …

Methodology

This page compares LoL: Dplus KIA vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Playoffs specifically across Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets. The live probability is the Polymarket mid; the comparison columns summarise each venue's fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Robinhood Prediction Markets, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement is the biggest difference between the four platforms: Polymarket on-chain in USDC (instant), Kalshi USD via CFTC (T+1), Betfair and Smarkets in local currency via bank withdrawal (T+1 to T+3). On-chain settlement clears in minutes — the fastest payout path of the four.

FAQ

Polymarket vs Kalshi — which is better?
Depends on your location. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated, US-only with full KYC. Polymarket is global, on-chain, no KYC up to $1,500. Polymarket has ~10x higher liquidity but higher regulatory risk.
What does Polymarket cost vs Kalshi?
Polymarket: 0% fees, only Polygon network costs (~$0.01/trade). Kalshi: up to 7% per trade plus spread. For high-frequency traders, Polymarket is dramatically cheaper.
Which platform has the deepest liquidity?
Polymarket — by a wide margin. Top markets reach $50-500M volume, Kalshi ~$200M cumulative, Betfair similar. Deeper liquidity means your trade moves the quote less.
What about Smarkets as an alternative?
Smarkets is a UK betting exchange with a lower default commission (2%) than Betfair. Liquidity on political markets is below Polymarket, comparable to Kalshi. Geo-blocked in many jurisdictions.
Which platform supports Klarna/SOFORT?
Directly: none. Polymarket accepts only USDC on Polygon. Robinhood Prediction Markets offers a fiat on-ramp via Klarna or SOFORT (DE/AT/CH) and converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. T+1 processing.
and

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