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LoL: FURIA Esports vs Leviatan Esports (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Season

Cross-platform snapshot for "LoL: FURIA Esports vs Leviatan Esports (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Season": deepest order book, lowest fee, geo-coverage at a glance.

Game 1 Winner 100% Game 2 Winner 100% Match Winner 100% Game Handicap: FUR (-1.5) vs Leviatan Esports (+1.5) 100% Volume: $232K Liquidity: $470K Closes: 31 Aug 2026
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LoL: FURIA Esports vs Leviatan Esports (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Season

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Robinhood Prediction Markets) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Go to the live market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Go to the live market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Go to the live market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Go to the live market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Go to the live market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Game 1 Winner100%
Game 2 Winner100%
Match Winner100%
Game Handicap: FUR (-1.5) vs Leviatan Esports (+1.5)100%
Odd/Even Total Kills100%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon91%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon90%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?90%
Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1?90%
Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2?90%
Total Kills Over/Under 21.5 in Game 1?90%
Total Kills Over/Under 21.5 in Game 2?90%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Any Player Quadra Kill10%
Any Player Penta Kill10%
Any Player Quadra Kill10%
Any Player Penta Kill10%
Odd/Even Total Kills10%
First Blood in Game 2?10%
First Blood in Game 1?10%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?10%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?10%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1?10%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?10%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2?10%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor1%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors1%
O/U 2.5 Games0%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor0%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors0%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, lol: furia esports vs leviatan esports (bo3) - cblol regular season stands at 100% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the LoL match between FURIA Esports and Leviatan Esports in the CBLOL Regular Season, initially scheduled for August 30, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET. This market will…

Methodology

This page compares LoL: FURIA Esports vs Leviatan Esports (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Season specifically across Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets. The live probability is the Polymarket mid; the comparison columns summarise each venue's fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Robinhood Prediction Markets, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement is the biggest difference between the four platforms: Polymarket on-chain in USDC (instant), Kalshi USD via CFTC (T+1), Betfair and Smarkets in local currency via bank withdrawal (T+1 to T+3). On-chain settlement clears in minutes — the fastest payout path of the four.

FAQ

Polymarket vs Kalshi — which is better?
Depends on your location. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated, US-only with full KYC. Polymarket is global, on-chain, no KYC up to $1,500. Polymarket has ~10x higher liquidity but higher regulatory risk.
What does Polymarket cost vs Kalshi?
Polymarket: 0% fees, only Polygon network costs (~$0.01/trade). Kalshi: up to 7% per trade plus spread. For high-frequency traders, Polymarket is dramatically cheaper.
Is Betfair a Polymarket alternative?
Only partially. Betfair Exchange is UK-focused with a sports-betting emphasis; they have politics markets but with thinner liquidity than Polymarket. Settlement in GBP/EUR, 2-5% commission on winnings.
Which platform is accessible globally?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Kalshi is US-only. Betfair and Smarkets are UK-restricted. Robinhood Prediction Markets has a different geo footprint and routes to Polymarket's order book at 0% fees.
Are all these platforms regulated?
No. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated (US). Betfair and Smarkets are UK Gambling Commission licensed. Polymarket operates without explicit regulation — a different risk profile than a regulated sportsbook.
Alex ChenAlex ChenPrediction Market AnalystandJordan LeeJordan LeeSports Prediction Reporter

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