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LoL: RMD Gaming vs Vivo Keyd Stars Academy (BO1) - Circuito Desafiante Regular Season

Cross-platform snapshot for "LoL: RMD Gaming vs Vivo Keyd Stars Academy (BO1) - Circuito Desafiante Regular Season": deepest order book, lowest fee, geo-coverage at a glance.

Both Teams Slay a Dragon 100% Odd/Even Total Kills 100% Match Winner 0% Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor 0% Volume: $116K Closes: 23 Jul 2026
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LoL: RMD Gaming vs Vivo Keyd Stars Academy (BO1) - Circuito Desafiante Regular Season

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Robinhood Prediction Markets) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Go to the live market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Go to the live market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Go to the live market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Go to the live market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Go to the live market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Both Teams Slay a Dragon100%
Odd/Even Total Kills100%
Match Winner0%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor0%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors0%
Any Player Quadra Kill0%
Any Player Penta Kill0%

Market context

RMD Gaming’s Bo1 against Vivo Keyd Stars Academy in Circuito Desafiante has already been played, and the result available in match trackers shows Vivo Keyd Stars Academy won 1-0 on 22 July 2026. That makes the crowd-implied **0% YES** price look consistent with the post-result reality rather than a live pre-match view.[1]

On comparable pricing, external odds screens had Vivo Keyd Stars Academy as a clear favourite at around **1.31 decimal** versus RMD Gaming near **3.01–3.38**, which implies roughly **76%** to **31%** before bookmaker margin rather than a straight 50-50 split.[3][4] For market comparison, Polymarket-style display uses *implied probability* while Betfair and Smarkets are typically read through *decimal odds* and exchange commission, so a 0% crowd price would only diverge from those books if the match were still unresolved; here, the settled match outcome removes that ambiguity.[1][3][4]

For traders, the key catalyst is whether the event was officially completed within the settlement window, because the contract only goes 50-50 if it is cancelled, tied, or delayed beyond seven days without a winner. In this case, the match was listed as finished with a winner, so the practical checkpoint is confirmation from the event page and any league schedule updates, not team news or line-up changes.[1]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4

Methodology

This page compares LoL: RMD Gaming vs Vivo Keyd Stars Academy (BO1) - Circuito Desafiante Regular Season specifically across Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets. The live probability is the Polymarket mid; the comparison columns summarise each venue's fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Robinhood Prediction Markets, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket settles via UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, the two-hour window runs, then the smart contract pays USDC.

Kalshi settles USD through the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse — the cleanest variant, with heavier KYC. Betfair Exchange settles in account currency (GBP/EUR), net of 2-5% commission. Smarkets follows the same model as Betfair with a lower default 2% commission.

FAQ

Polymarket vs Kalshi — which is better?
Depends on your location. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated, US-only with full KYC. Polymarket is global, on-chain, no KYC up to $1,500. Polymarket has ~10x higher liquidity but higher regulatory risk.
What does Polymarket cost vs Kalshi?
Polymarket: 0% fees, only Polygon network costs (~$0.01/trade). Kalshi: up to 7% per trade plus spread. For high-frequency traders, Polymarket is dramatically cheaper.
Is Betfair a Polymarket alternative?
Only partially. Betfair Exchange is UK-focused with a sports-betting emphasis; they have politics markets but with thinner liquidity than Polymarket. Settlement in GBP/EUR, 2-5% commission on winnings.
Are all these platforms regulated?
No. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated (US). Betfair and Smarkets are UK Gambling Commission licensed. Polymarket operates without explicit regulation — a different risk profile than a regulated sportsbook.
Which platform supports Klarna/SOFORT?
Directly: none. Polymarket accepts only USDC on Polygon. Robinhood Prediction Markets offers a fiat on-ramp via Klarna or SOFORT (DE/AT/CH) and converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. T+1 processing.
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