Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Robinhood Prediction Markets) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Go to the live market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Go to the live market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Go to the live market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Go to the live market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Go to the live market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 100% |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 100% |
| Match Winner | 0% |
| Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 0% |
| Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 0% |
| Any Player Quadra Kill | 0% |
| Any Player Penta Kill | 0% |
Market context
ZYB Esport and Skillcamp Esport are due to meet in a single best-of-one in the LFL regular season, but the market currently prices the result at **0% YES**, which usually indicates either no visible live pricing or an expectation that the contest will not resolve in the ordinary way. In practical terms, that makes the *operational status* of the fixture more important than any pre-match edge: if the game is played and finished, the settlement is straightforward, but if it is cancelled, postponed beyond the seven-day window, or otherwise left without a winner, the market resolves 50-50 rather than to either side.
For a comparison across platforms, the same event can look different on Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair, and Smarkets because the quote format and fee model are not identical. Polymarket and Kalshi present event-style probabilities, while Betfair and Smarkets are closer to exchange pricing with decimal odds and commission taken from winnings rather than embedded into the displayed probability. On low-liquidity esports fixtures, those differences matter: a market can show a near-zero implied chance on one venue while still having a live order book or lay price elsewhere, and access can vary by jurisdiction and KYC rules.
The main catalysts are mundane but decisive: confirmation that the LFL match is actually staged, whether the league keeps the published start time, and whether any technical or competitive issues force a delay or abandonment. For traders comparing books, that means checking official league scheduling updates and any late roster or venue notices before assuming the market will settle on a simple winner. On exchanges such as Betfair or Smarkets, even a very small stake may face commission and slippage; on prediction markets, the headline probability matters more than a quoted price, but only if the event reaches settlement cleanly.
Methodology
This page compares LoL: ZYB Esport vs Skillcamp Esport (BO1) - LFL Regular Season specifically across Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets. The live probability is the Polymarket mid; the comparison columns summarise each venue's fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Robinhood Prediction Markets, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket settles via UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, the two-hour window runs, then the smart contract pays USDC.
Kalshi settles USD through the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse — the cleanest variant, with heavier KYC. Betfair Exchange settles in account currency (GBP/EUR), net of 2-5% commission. Smarkets follows the same model as Betfair with a lower default 2% commission.
FAQ
- Which platform has the deepest liquidity?
- Polymarket — by a wide margin. Top markets reach $50-500M volume, Kalshi ~$200M cumulative, Betfair similar. Deeper liquidity means your trade moves the quote less.
- Is Betfair a Polymarket alternative?
- Only partially. Betfair Exchange is UK-focused with a sports-betting emphasis; they have politics markets but with thinner liquidity than Polymarket. Settlement in GBP/EUR, 2-5% commission on winnings.
- What about Smarkets as an alternative?
- Smarkets is a UK betting exchange with a lower default commission (2%) than Betfair. Liquidity on political markets is below Polymarket, comparable to Kalshi. Geo-blocked in many jurisdictions.
- Which platform is accessible globally?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Kalshi is US-only. Betfair and Smarkets are UK-restricted. Robinhood Prediction Markets has a different geo footprint and routes to Polymarket's order book at 0% fees.
- Which platform supports Klarna/SOFORT?
- Directly: none. Polymarket accepts only USDC on Polygon. Robinhood Prediction Markets offers a fiat on-ramp via Klarna or SOFORT (DE/AT/CH) and converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. T+1 processing.
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