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Valorant: 100 Thieves vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Playoffs

Polymarket vs Kalshi vs Betfair vs Smarkets for "Valorant: 100 Thieves vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Playoffs" — live odds, fees and KYC side-by-side.

Map 1 Winner 100% Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-2.5) vs Leviatán Esports (+2.5) 100% Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-3.5) vs Leviatán Esports (+3.5) 100% Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-4.5) vs Leviatán Esports (+4.5) 100% Volume: $341K Liquidity: $295K Closes: 29 Aug 2026
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Valorant: 100 Thieves vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Playoffs

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Robinhood Prediction Markets) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Go to the live market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Go to the live market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Go to the live market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Go to the live market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Go to the live market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 1 Winner100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-2.5) vs Leviatán Esports (+2.5)100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-3.5) vs Leviatán Esports (+3.5)100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-4.5) vs Leviatán Esports (+4.5)100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-5.5) vs Leviatán Esports (+5.5)100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-7.5) vs Leviatán Esports (+7.5)100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-6.5) vs Leviatán Esports (+6.5)100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-9.5) vs Leviatán Esports (+9.5)100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-8.5) vs Leviatán Esports (+8.5)100%
Map 2 Winner87%
Match Winner86%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.550%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.550%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Leviatán Esports (-2.5) vs 100 Thieves (+2.5)50%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Leviatán Esports (-2.5) vs 100 Thieves (+2.5)50%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.550%
Map Handicap: 100T (-1.5) vs Leviatán Esports (+1.5)50%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-2.5) vs Leviatán Esports (+2.5)50%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-3.5) vs Leviatán Esports (+3.5)50%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.550%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-5.5) vs Leviatán Esports (+5.5)50%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-4.5) vs Leviatán Esports (+4.5)50%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-6.5) vs Leviatán Esports (+6.5)50%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.550%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.550%
O/U 2.5 Games17%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 15.51%
Map Handicap: LEV (-1.5) vs 100 Thieves (+1.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Leviatán Esports (-2.5) vs 100 Thieves (+2.5)0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.50%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.50%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.50%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Leviatán Esports (-3.5) vs 100 Thieves (+3.5)0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.50%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.50%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 17.50%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.50%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-11.5) vs Leviatán Esports (+11.5)0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 16.50%

Market context

The Valorant: 100 Thieves vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Playoffs prediction market currently prices this outcome at 100% YES. This market refers to the Valorant Upper bracket semifinal 2 match between 100 Thieves and Leviatán Esports in the VCT Americas Stage 2 Playoffs, initially scheduled for August 28, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET.…

Methodology

We read Valorant: 100 Thieves vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Playoffs from four platform perspectives: Polymarket (on-chain CLOB), Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), Betfair Exchange (sports book exchange), Smarkets (peer-to-peer betting exchange). Polymarket's live mid is the canonical probability; the side-by-side columns benchmark fees, KYC, settlement currency and deposit rails so you can choose the venue that fits your jurisdiction and trade size.

Resolution & payout

Settlement is the biggest difference between the four platforms: Polymarket on-chain in USDC (instant), Kalshi USD via CFTC (T+1), Betfair and Smarkets in local currency via bank withdrawal (T+1 to T+3). On-chain settlement clears in minutes — the fastest payout path of the four.

FAQ

What does Polymarket cost vs Kalshi?
Polymarket: 0% fees, only Polygon network costs (~$0.01/trade). Kalshi: up to 7% per trade plus spread. For high-frequency traders, Polymarket is dramatically cheaper.
Which platform has the deepest liquidity?
Polymarket — by a wide margin. Top markets reach $50-500M volume, Kalshi ~$200M cumulative, Betfair similar. Deeper liquidity means your trade moves the quote less.
Which platform is accessible globally?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Kalshi is US-only. Betfair and Smarkets are UK-restricted. Robinhood Prediction Markets has a different geo footprint and routes to Polymarket's order book at 0% fees.
Are all these platforms regulated?
No. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated (US). Betfair and Smarkets are UK Gambling Commission licensed. Polymarket operates without explicit regulation — a different risk profile than a regulated sportsbook.
Which platform supports Klarna/SOFORT?
Directly: none. Polymarket accepts only USDC on Polygon. Robinhood Prediction Markets offers a fiat on-ramp via Klarna or SOFORT (DE/AT/CH) and converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. T+1 processing.
Alex ChenAlex ChenPrediction Market AnalystandJordan LeeJordan LeeSports Prediction Reporter

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