Egypt vs. IR Iran - Total Corners

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

On 26 June 2026 at Seattle Stadium, Egypt and IR Iran played a FIFA World Cup Group G match that ended 1–1, with the full-time whistle confirming a tight contest where both sides showed clinical intent but limited attacking volume[1][2]. The game produced eight total corners—eight for Egypt and two for Iran—well above the threshold that would have triggered a “Yes” outcome in any total-corners market set at eight or more[3]. This historical result frames the current 0% implied probability for “Yes” as a settled fact rather than a live prediction, since the match has already concluded and the corner count is fixed.

Traders comparing platforms like Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair, and Smarkets should note key divergences: Kalshi resolves based on stats from regulation, stoppage, and any extra time, including knockout-stage matches, whereas some books may exclude extra time unless explicitly stated[6]. Fee structures also vary—Betfair charges a commission on winnings, while Polymarket uses a flat fee on trades, and Smarkets offers low commissions but requires KYC for larger accounts. In this specific case, with the match already finished and corners confirmed at 8–2, platforms displaying live odds are either misaligned or offering post-settlement liquidity, a divergence that highlights how decimal odds can mask settled implied probabilities when settlement windows close after event completion[3][7].

Recent coverage from ESPN and The Athletic confirms the final score and corner breakdown, with no pending announcements or schedule changes that could alter the outcome[1][5]. The only dependency now is the official settlement of the market by the platform, which must align with FIFA’s recorded match stats. As the settlement window ends on 27 June 2026 at 03:00 UTC, traders should monitor platform-specific resolution rules, particularly regarding cancellation or rescheduling clauses that could trigger fair-price adjustments[6]. With the event complete and data confirmed, the market’s 0% probability reflects a closed reality, not a forecast.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page compares Egypt vs. IR Iran - Total Corners specifically across Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets. Live odds come from the Polymarket order book; the other venues' contract details are maintained manually because their APIs aren't directly comparable. Every CTA routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement is the biggest difference between the four platforms: Polymarket on-chain in USDC (instant), Kalshi USD via CFTC (T+1), Betfair and Smarkets in local currency via bank withdrawal (T+1 to T+3). PolyGram routes every trade directly into Polymarket's on-chain settlement, which is why payouts land fastest.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?

PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?

Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, PolyGram triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.