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League of Legends Global Power Rankings Post Worlds: Rank 1

Which venue prices "League of Legends Global Power Rankings Post Worlds: Rank 1" best? Direct comparison of Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair and Smarkets.

A 50% B 50% C 50% D 50% Volume: $91K Liquidity: $208K Closes: 31 Dec 2026
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League of Legends Global Power Rankings Post Worlds: Rank 1

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Robinhood Prediction Markets) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
50% 50% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Go to the live market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
50% 50% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Go to the live market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Go to the live market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Go to the live market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Go to the live market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
A50%
B50%
C50%
D50%
E50%
Other50%
BLG32%
HLE26%
T113%
GEN11%
DK7%
TLAW5%
KC4%
WE4%
DCG4%
LYON3%
NIP3%
G21%
TES1%
JDG1%
MKOI1%
AL0%
KT0%
FLY0%
WBG0%
TSW0%
CFO0%
C90%
IG0%
GAM0%
BFX0%

Market context

The market is about which team finishes **first in Riot’s Global Power Rankings after Worlds 2026**, not which team wins the tournament itself. The live Polymarket board currently shows **HLE at 29%** and **BLG at 26%**, with GEN and T1 close behind, so the market is pricing a fairly tight race rather than a single dominant favourite.[4]

That is consistent with how these rankings have behaved in prior seasons: they are points-based and can move sharply on Worlds results, so late playoff runs matter more than steady domestic form.[4][6] A useful comparison is the current public ranking snapshot, which has **HLE, BLG, GEN and T1 clustered within a narrow band** on third-party Elo-style tracking, reinforcing that the market is reading a crowded top tier rather than a clear gap.[5] For platform comparison, Polymarket shows the price as an implied probability, while Kalshi and Betfair-style books typically translate the same view into contract prices or decimal odds; the economic meaning is similar, but the presentation and take-out differ. Polymarket also publishes the official Riot GPR source for settlement, which reduces ambiguity on the outcome definition.[4]

The main catalysts are Worlds seeding, knockout brackets, and any Riot update to the final 2026 ranking after the event, because the market resolves only when the official post-Worlds list is published.[1][2][4] Traders will also watch whether the last ranking update before Worlds already separates the leaders enough to create a clean favourite, or whether the final event simply reshuffles a packed top four. Access matters too: Polymarket trading depends on USDC on-chain liquidity and is available only where the platform operates, whereas Kalshi is US-regulated with KYC, and Betfair/Smarkets typically quote in decimal odds and may apply different market margins and jurisdictional access rules.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

We read League of Legends Global Power Rankings Post Worlds: Rank 1 from four platform perspectives: Polymarket (on-chain CLOB), Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), Betfair Exchange (sports book exchange), Smarkets (peer-to-peer betting exchange). Polymarket's live mid is the canonical probability; the side-by-side columns benchmark fees, KYC, settlement currency and deposit rails so you can choose the venue that fits your jurisdiction and trade size.

Resolution & payout

Settlement is the biggest difference between the four platforms: Polymarket on-chain in USDC (instant), Kalshi USD via CFTC (T+1), Betfair and Smarkets in local currency via bank withdrawal (T+1 to T+3). On-chain settlement clears in minutes — the fastest payout path of the four.

FAQ

Polymarket vs Kalshi — which is better?
Depends on your location. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated, US-only with full KYC. Polymarket is global, on-chain, no KYC up to $1,500. Polymarket has ~10x higher liquidity but higher regulatory risk.
What does Polymarket cost vs Kalshi?
Polymarket: 0% fees, only Polygon network costs (~$0.01/trade). Kalshi: up to 7% per trade plus spread. For high-frequency traders, Polymarket is dramatically cheaper.
Which platform has the deepest liquidity?
Polymarket — by a wide margin. Top markets reach $50-500M volume, Kalshi ~$200M cumulative, Betfair similar. Deeper liquidity means your trade moves the quote less.
Is Betfair a Polymarket alternative?
Only partially. Betfair Exchange is UK-focused with a sports-betting emphasis; they have politics markets but with thinner liquidity than Polymarket. Settlement in GBP/EUR, 2-5% commission on winnings.
Which platform supports Klarna/SOFORT?
Directly: none. Polymarket accepts only USDC on Polygon. Robinhood Prediction Markets offers a fiat on-ramp via Klarna or SOFORT (DE/AT/CH) and converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. T+1 processing.
and

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