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PGA Tour: 3M Open Top 20

Cross-platform snapshot for "PGA Tour: 3M Open Top 20": deepest order book, lowest fee, geo-coverage at a glance.

Scottie Scheffler 54% S.Y. Noh 50% Kurt Kitayama 45% Maverick McNealy 41% Volume: $60K Liquidity: $168K Closes: 26 Jul 2026
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PGA Tour: 3M Open Top 20

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Robinhood Prediction Markets) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
54% 46% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Go to the live market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
54% 46% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Go to the live market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Go to the live market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Go to the live market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Go to the live market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Scottie Scheffler54%
S.Y. Noh50%
Kurt Kitayama45%
Maverick McNealy41%
Tom Kim35%
Jake Knapp29%
Hideki Matsuyama25%
Sam Stevens24%
Max Homa21%
Lucas Glover21%
Keith Mitchell20%
Jackson Koivun19%
Ben Kohles19%
Corey Conners18%
Jordan L. Smith18%
Sung-Jae Im18%
Jackson Suber17%
Doug Ghim17%
Benjamin James17%
Mac Meissner17%
Taylor Moore17%
Pierceson Coody16%
Christiaan Bezuidenhout16%
Casey Jarvis16%
Brian Harman16%
Max McGreevy16%
Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen15%
Gary Woodland14%
Tony Finau14%
Johnny Keefer14%
Michael Brennan14%
Davis Thompson14%
Michael Kim14%
Ricky Castillo14%
Beau Hossler14%
Andrew Putnam14%
Denny McCarthy14%
Zac Blair14%
William Mouw13%
Mackenzie Hughes13%
John Parry13%
Zach Bauchou13%
Keita Nakajima13%
Sudarshan Yellamaraju12%
Max Greyserman12%
Taylor Pendrith12%
Kevin Yu12%
Emiliano Grillo12%
Rico Hoey12%
Lee Hodges12%
Takumi Kanaya12%
Aldrich Potgieter11%
Steven Fisk11%
Jesper Svensson11%
Seamus Power11%
Patrick Fishburn11%
Austin Smotherman11%
Kristoffer Ventura11%
Tom Hoge11%
Kevin Roy11%
Joel Dahmen11%
Brandt Snedeker11%
Stephan Jaeger10%
Hao-Tong Li10%
Thorbjorn Olesen10%
Billy Horschel10%
Ze-Cheng Dou10%
Matt Kuchar10%
Austin Eckroat10%
Preston Stout9%
Patrick Rodgers9%
Chris Kirk9%
A.J. Ewart9%
Garrick Higgo9%
Chad Ramey9%
David Lipsky9%
Adrien Dumont De Chassart8%
Matthieu Pavon8%
Nick Dunlap8%
Karl Vilips8%
Neal Shipley8%
David Skinns8%
Chandler Phillips8%
Lanto Griffin8%
Erik Van Rooyen7%
Trace Crowe7%
Aaron Wise7%
Mark Hubbard7%
Adam Hadwin7%
Ryder Cowan6%
Gordon Sargent6%
Pontus Nyholm6%
Luke Clanton6%
Hayden Springer6%
Harry Higgs6%
Vince Whaley6%
Luke List5%
Cameron Champ5%
Jimmy Stanger5%
Jason Day0%

Market context

PGA Tour: 3M Open Top 20 — current market-implied probability: 54%. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player finishes in the top 20 at the 2026 3M Open tournament, including ties. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If final results are not anno…

Methodology

We read PGA Tour: 3M Open Top 20 from four platform perspectives: Polymarket (on-chain CLOB), Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), Betfair Exchange (sports book exchange), Smarkets (peer-to-peer betting exchange). Polymarket's live mid is the canonical probability; the side-by-side columns benchmark fees, KYC, settlement currency and deposit rails so you can choose the venue that fits your jurisdiction and trade size.

Resolution & payout

Settlement is the biggest difference between the four platforms: Polymarket on-chain in USDC (instant), Kalshi USD via CFTC (T+1), Betfair and Smarkets in local currency via bank withdrawal (T+1 to T+3). On-chain settlement clears in minutes — the fastest payout path of the four.

FAQ

Polymarket vs Kalshi — which is better?
Depends on your location. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated, US-only with full KYC. Polymarket is global, on-chain, no KYC up to $1,500. Polymarket has ~10x higher liquidity but higher regulatory risk.
What does Polymarket cost vs Kalshi?
Polymarket: 0% fees, only Polygon network costs (~$0.01/trade). Kalshi: up to 7% per trade plus spread. For high-frequency traders, Polymarket is dramatically cheaper.
Which platform has the deepest liquidity?
Polymarket — by a wide margin. Top markets reach $50-500M volume, Kalshi ~$200M cumulative, Betfair similar. Deeper liquidity means your trade moves the quote less.
Is Betfair a Polymarket alternative?
Only partially. Betfair Exchange is UK-focused with a sports-betting emphasis; they have politics markets but with thinner liquidity than Polymarket. Settlement in GBP/EUR, 2-5% commission on winnings.
Which platform supports Klarna/SOFORT?
Directly: none. Polymarket accepts only USDC on Polygon. Robinhood Prediction Markets offers a fiat on-ramp via Klarna or SOFORT (DE/AT/CH) and converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. T+1 processing.
and

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