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PGA Tour: Rocket Classic Winner

Polymarket vs Kalshi vs Betfair vs Smarkets for "PGA Tour: Rocket Classic Winner" — live odds, fees and KYC side-by-side.

Michael Thorbjornsen 100% Peter Malnati 0% Rickie Fowler 0% Ryan Gerard 0% Volume: $286K Liquidity: $704K Closes: 2 Aug 2026
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PGA Tour: Rocket Classic Winner

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Robinhood Prediction Markets) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Go to the live market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Go to the live market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Go to the live market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Go to the live market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Go to the live market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Michael Thorbjornsen100%
Peter Malnati0%
Rickie Fowler0%
Ryan Gerard0%
Patrick Fishburn0%
Keegan Bradley0%
Doug Ghim0%
Stephan Jaeger0%
Michael Kim0%
Chris Kirk0%
Ricky Castillo0%
Emiliano Grillo0%
Mark Hubbard0%
Johnny Keefer0%
Xander Schauffele0%
Brandt Snedeker0%
Kevin Yu0%
Patrick Cantlay0%
Eric Cole0%
Rico Hoey0%
Sung-Jae Im0%
Benjamin James0%
Gordon Sargent0%
Adam Schenk0%
Neal Shipley0%
Davis Thompson0%
Christiaan Bezuidenhout0%
Akshay Bhatia0%
Tony Finau0%
Chris Gotterup0%
Ben Griffin0%
David Lipsky0%
Max McGreevy0%
Davis Riley0%
Jordan L. Smith0%
J.J. Spaun0%
Sam Stevens0%
Aaron Wise0%
Matt Kuchar0%
Zach Bauchou0%
Corey Conners0%
Steven Fisk0%
Max Greyserman0%
Ryo Hisatsune0%
Billy Horschel0%
Si Woo Kim0%
Jackson Koivun0%
Henry Lebioda0%
Stefano Mazzoli0%
Matt McCarty0%
Keita Nakajima0%
Thorbjorn Olesen0%
Jordan Spieth0%
Jackson Suber0%
Adam Svensson0%
Nick Taylor0%
Karl Vilips0%
Matt Wallace0%
Vince Whaley0%
Cameron Young0%
Justin Lower0%
Zac Blair0%
Jimmy Stanger0%
Chandler Blanchet0%
Jacob Bridgeman0%
Brian Campbell0%
Rafael Campos0%
Luke Clanton0%
Pierceson Coody0%
Joel Dahmen0%
Brad Dalke0%
Cam Davis0%
Ze-Cheng Dou0%
Austin Eckroat0%
Harris English0%
A.J. Ewart0%
Brice Garnett0%
Russell Henley0%
Garrick Higgo0%
Joe Highsmith0%
Lee Hodges0%
Tom Hoge0%
Nicolai Hojgaard0%
Mackenzie Hughes0%
Patton Kizzire0%
Jake Knapp0%
Hideki Matsuyama0%
Mac Meissner0%
Matthieu Pavon0%
Marco Penge0%
Andrew Putnam0%
Chad Ramey0%
Kevin Roy0%
Ryan Ruffels0%
Matthias Schmid0%
Webb Simpson0%
Kevin Streelman0%
Kristoffer Ventura0%
Dylan Wu0%
Sudarshan Yellamaraju0%
Player 00%
Player 10%
Player 20%
Player 30%
Player 40%
Player 50%
Player 60%
Player 70%
Player 80%
Player 90%
Player 100%
Player 110%
Player 120%
Player 130%
Player 140%
Player 150%
Player 160%
Player 170%
Player 180%
Player 190%
Other0%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, pga tour: rocket classic winner stands at 100% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market will resolve according to the listed player who wins the 2026 Rocket Classic tournament. If a listed player is eliminated from contention for the Rocket Classic tourna…

Methodology

This page compares PGA Tour: Rocket Classic Winner specifically across Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets. The live probability is the Polymarket mid; the comparison columns summarise each venue's fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Robinhood Prediction Markets, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement is the biggest difference between the four platforms: Polymarket on-chain in USDC (instant), Kalshi USD via CFTC (T+1), Betfair and Smarkets in local currency via bank withdrawal (T+1 to T+3). On-chain settlement clears in minutes — the fastest payout path of the four.

FAQ

Polymarket vs Kalshi — which is better?
Depends on your location. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated, US-only with full KYC. Polymarket is global, on-chain, no KYC up to $1,500. Polymarket has ~10x higher liquidity but higher regulatory risk.
Which platform has the deepest liquidity?
Polymarket — by a wide margin. Top markets reach $50-500M volume, Kalshi ~$200M cumulative, Betfair similar. Deeper liquidity means your trade moves the quote less.
Is Betfair a Polymarket alternative?
Only partially. Betfair Exchange is UK-focused with a sports-betting emphasis; they have politics markets but with thinner liquidity than Polymarket. Settlement in GBP/EUR, 2-5% commission on winnings.
Which platform is accessible globally?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Kalshi is US-only. Betfair and Smarkets are UK-restricted. Robinhood Prediction Markets has a different geo footprint and routes to Polymarket's order book at 0% fees.
Are all these platforms regulated?
No. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated (US). Betfair and Smarkets are UK Gambling Commission licensed. Polymarket operates without explicit regulation — a different risk profile than a regulated sportsbook.
Alex ChenAlex ChenPrediction Market AnalystandJordan LeeJordan LeeSports Prediction Reporter

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