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Lyon Open: Luca Van Assche vs Clement Tabur

Which venue prices "Lyon Open: Luca Van Assche vs Clement Tabur" best? Direct comparison of Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair and Smarkets.

Lyon Open: Luca Van Assche vs Clement Tabur 100% Completed Match 100% Lyon Open: Luca Van Assche vs Clement Tabur Set 1 Winner 100% Lyon Open: Luca Van Assche vs Clement Tabur Set 2 Winner 100% Volume: $133K Liquidity: $136K Closes: 27 Oct 2026
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Lyon Open: Luca Van Assche vs Clement Tabur

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Robinhood Prediction Markets) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Go to the live market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Go to the live market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
— — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Go to the live market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
— — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Go to the live market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
— — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Go to the live market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Lyon Open: Luca Van Assche vs Clement Tabur100%
Completed Match100%
Lyon Open: Luca Van Assche vs Clement Tabur Set 1 Winner100%
Lyon Open: Luca Van Assche vs Clement Tabur Set 2 Winner100%
Lyon Open: Luca Van Assche vs Clement Tabur Set 1 O/U 8.5100%
Lyon Open: Luca Van Assche vs Clement Tabur Set 1 O/U 9.5100%
Lyon Open: Luca Van Assche vs Clement Tabur Set 1 O/U 10.5100%
Lyon Open: Luca Van Assche vs Clement Tabur Set 2 O/U 8.5100%
Lyon Open: Luca Van Assche vs Clement Tabur Match O/U 21.5100%
Lyon Open: Luca Van Assche vs Clement Tabur Set Handicap +/-1.5100%
Lyon Open: Luca Van Assche vs Clement Tabur Game Spread +/-2.5100%
Lyon Open: Luca Van Assche vs Clement Tabur Total Sets: O/U 2.50%
Lyon Open: Luca Van Assche vs Clement Tabur Set 2 O/U 9.50%
Lyon Open: Luca Van Assche vs Clement Tabur Set 2 O/U 10.50%
Lyon Open: Luca Van Assche vs Clement Tabur Match O/U 22.50%
Lyon Open: Luca Van Assche vs Clement Tabur Match O/U 23.50%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 100% YES probability for Lyon Open: Luca Van Assche vs Clement Tabur. This market refers to the tennis match between Luca Van Assche and Clement Tabur in the Lyon Open, originally scheduled for October 20, 2026 at 10:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Luca Van Assch…

Methodology

This page compares Lyon Open: Luca Van Assche vs Clement Tabur specifically across Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets. The live probability is the Polymarket mid; the comparison columns summarise each venue's fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Robinhood Prediction Markets, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket settles via UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, the two-hour window runs, then the smart contract pays USDC.

Kalshi settles USD through the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse — the cleanest variant, with heavier KYC. Betfair Exchange settles in account currency (GBP/EUR), net of 2-5% commission. Smarkets follows the same model as Betfair with a lower default 2% commission.

FAQ

What does Polymarket cost vs Kalshi?
Polymarket: 0% fees, only Polygon network costs (~$0.01/trade). Kalshi: up to 7% per trade plus spread. For high-frequency traders, Polymarket is dramatically cheaper.
Which platform has the deepest liquidity?
Polymarket — by a wide margin. Top markets reach $50-500M volume, Kalshi ~$200M cumulative, Betfair similar. Deeper liquidity means your trade moves the quote less.
Is Betfair a Polymarket alternative?
Only partially. Betfair Exchange is UK-focused with a sports-betting emphasis; they have politics markets but with thinner liquidity than Polymarket. Settlement in GBP/EUR, 2-5% commission on winnings.
What about Smarkets as an alternative?
Smarkets is a UK betting exchange with a lower default commission (2%) than Betfair. Liquidity on political markets is below Polymarket, comparable to Kalshi. Geo-blocked in many jurisdictions.
Which platform is accessible globally?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Kalshi is US-only. Betfair and Smarkets are UK-restricted. Robinhood Prediction Markets has a different geo footprint and routes to Polymarket's order book at 0% fees.
and

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Related Topics

Tennis Prediction Markets