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Generali Open: Alexander Bublik vs Quentin Halys

Polymarket vs Kalshi vs Betfair vs Smarkets for "Generali Open: Alexander Bublik vs Quentin Halys" — live odds, fees and KYC side-by-side.

Generali Open: Alexander Bublik vs Quentin Halys Set 2 O/U 8.5 89% Generali Open: Alexander Bublik vs Quentin Halys Set 1 O/U 8.5 72% Generali Open: Alexander Bublik vs Quentin Halys Set 2 O/U 9.5 69% Generali Open: Alexander Bublik vs Quentin Halys 68% Volume: $88K Liquidity: $378K Closes: 1 Aug 2026
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Generali Open: Alexander Bublik vs Quentin Halys

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Robinhood Prediction Markets) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
89% 11% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Go to the live market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
89% 11% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Go to the live market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Go to the live market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Go to the live market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Go to the live market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Generali Open: Alexander Bublik vs Quentin Halys Set 2 O/U 8.589%
Generali Open: Alexander Bublik vs Quentin Halys Set 1 O/U 8.572%
Generali Open: Alexander Bublik vs Quentin Halys Set 2 O/U 9.569%
Generali Open: Alexander Bublik vs Quentin Halys68%
Generali Open: Alexander Bublik vs Quentin Halys Match O/U 21.568%
Generali Open: Alexander Bublik vs Quentin Halys Set 2 O/U 10.566%
Generali Open: Alexander Bublik vs Quentin Halys Set 2 Winner64%
Generali Open: Alexander Bublik vs Quentin Halys Set 1 Winner63%
Generali Open: Alexander Bublik vs Quentin Halys Set 1 O/U 9.562%
Generali Open: Alexander Bublik vs Quentin Halys Match O/U 22.559%
Generali Open: Alexander Bublik vs Quentin Halys Match O/U 23.551%
Completed Match50%
Generali Open: Alexander Bublik vs Quentin Halys Set 1 O/U 10.545%
Generali Open: Alexander Bublik vs Quentin Halys Total Sets: O/U 2.543%
Generali Open: Alexander Bublik vs Quentin Halys Set Handicap +/-1.542%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, generali open: alexander bublik vs quentin halys stands at 89% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the tennis match between Alexander Bublik and Quentin Halys in the Generali Open, originally scheduled for July 25, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resol…

Methodology

This page compares Generali Open: Alexander Bublik vs Quentin Halys specifically across Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets. The live probability is the Polymarket mid; the comparison columns summarise each venue's fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Robinhood Prediction Markets, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement is the biggest difference between the four platforms: Polymarket on-chain in USDC (instant), Kalshi USD via CFTC (T+1), Betfair and Smarkets in local currency via bank withdrawal (T+1 to T+3). On-chain settlement clears in minutes — the fastest payout path of the four.

FAQ

Polymarket vs Kalshi — which is better?
Depends on your location. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated, US-only with full KYC. Polymarket is global, on-chain, no KYC up to $1,500. Polymarket has ~10x higher liquidity but higher regulatory risk.
What does Polymarket cost vs Kalshi?
Polymarket: 0% fees, only Polygon network costs (~$0.01/trade). Kalshi: up to 7% per trade plus spread. For high-frequency traders, Polymarket is dramatically cheaper.
Which platform has the deepest liquidity?
Polymarket — by a wide margin. Top markets reach $50-500M volume, Kalshi ~$200M cumulative, Betfair similar. Deeper liquidity means your trade moves the quote less.
What about Smarkets as an alternative?
Smarkets is a UK betting exchange with a lower default commission (2%) than Betfair. Liquidity on political markets is below Polymarket, comparable to Kalshi. Geo-blocked in many jurisdictions.
Which platform is accessible globally?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Kalshi is US-only. Betfair and Smarkets are UK-restricted. Robinhood Prediction Markets has a different geo footprint and routes to Polymarket's order book at 0% fees.
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Related Topics

Tennis Prediction Markets