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Brownsburg: Colton Smith vs Felix Gill

Which venue prices "Brownsburg: Colton Smith vs Felix Gill" best? Direct comparison of Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair and Smarkets.

Brownsburg: Colton Smith vs Felix Gill 57% Completed Match 50% Brownsburg: Colton Smith vs Felix Gill Set 2 Winner 50% Brownsburg: Colton Smith vs Felix Gill Set 1 Winner 50% Volume: $144K Liquidity: $303K Closes: 17 Aug 2026
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Brownsburg: Colton Smith vs Felix Gill

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Robinhood Prediction Markets) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
57% 43% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Go to the live market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
57% 43% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Go to the live market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Go to the live market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Go to the live market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Go to the live market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Brownsburg: Colton Smith vs Felix Gill57%
Completed Match50%
Brownsburg: Colton Smith vs Felix Gill Set 2 Winner50%
Brownsburg: Colton Smith vs Felix Gill Set 1 Winner50%
Brownsburg: Colton Smith vs Felix Gill Match O/U 21.550%
Brownsburg: Colton Smith vs Felix Gill Set Handicap +/-1.550%
Brownsburg: Colton Smith vs Felix Gill Set 1 O/U 8.550%
Brownsburg: Colton Smith vs Felix Gill Set 2 O/U 8.550%
Brownsburg: Colton Smith vs Felix Gill Total Sets: O/U 2.550%
Brownsburg: Colton Smith vs Felix Gill Match O/U 22.550%
Brownsburg: Colton Smith vs Felix Gill Set 1 O/U 9.550%
Brownsburg: Colton Smith vs Felix Gill Set 2 O/U 9.550%
Brownsburg: Colton Smith vs Felix Gill Set Handicap +/-1.550%
Brownsburg: Colton Smith vs Felix Gill Set 1 O/U 10.550%
Brownsburg: Colton Smith vs Felix Gill Match O/U 23.550%
Brownsburg: Colton Smith vs Felix Gill Set 2 O/U 10.550%

Market context

Market consensus: 57% chance of brownsburg: colton smith vs felix gill. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the tennis match between Colton Smith and Felix Gill in the Brownsburg, originally scheduled for August 10, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to '…

Methodology

This page compares Brownsburg: Colton Smith vs Felix Gill specifically across Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets. The live probability is the Polymarket mid; the comparison columns summarise each venue's fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Robinhood Prediction Markets, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement is the biggest difference between the four platforms: Polymarket on-chain in USDC (instant), Kalshi USD via CFTC (T+1), Betfair and Smarkets in local currency via bank withdrawal (T+1 to T+3). On-chain settlement clears in minutes — the fastest payout path of the four.

FAQ

Polymarket vs Kalshi — which is better?
Depends on your location. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated, US-only with full KYC. Polymarket is global, on-chain, no KYC up to $1,500. Polymarket has ~10x higher liquidity but higher regulatory risk.
What does Polymarket cost vs Kalshi?
Polymarket: 0% fees, only Polygon network costs (~$0.01/trade). Kalshi: up to 7% per trade plus spread. For high-frequency traders, Polymarket is dramatically cheaper.
Which platform has the deepest liquidity?
Polymarket — by a wide margin. Top markets reach $50-500M volume, Kalshi ~$200M cumulative, Betfair similar. Deeper liquidity means your trade moves the quote less.
Which platform is accessible globally?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Kalshi is US-only. Betfair and Smarkets are UK-restricted. Robinhood Prediction Markets has a different geo footprint and routes to Polymarket's order book at 0% fees.
Which platform supports Klarna/SOFORT?
Directly: none. Polymarket accepts only USDC on Polygon. Robinhood Prediction Markets offers a fiat on-ramp via Klarna or SOFORT (DE/AT/CH) and converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. T+1 processing.
and

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Related Topics

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