Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Robinhood Prediction Markets) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Go to the live market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Go to the live market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Go to the live market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Go to the live market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Go to the live market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| Spread -4.5 | 100% |
| Spread -5.5 | 100% |
| Spread -6.5 | 100% |
| Spread -7.5 | 100% |
| Spread -8.5 | 100% |
| Spread -10.5 | 100% |
| Spread -13.5 | 100% |
| Spread -14.5 | 100% |
| Spread -16.5 | 100% |
| Spread -17.5 | 100% |
| Spread -20.5 | 100% |
| O/U 35.5 | 100% |
| O/U 37.5 | 100% |
| O/U 39.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 21.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 24.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 27.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 30.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 7.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 16.5 | 100% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 100% |
| Florida State O/U 23.5 | 100% |
| Florida State O/U 26.5 | 100% |
| Florida State O/U 29.5 | 100% |
| Florida State O/U 32.5 | 100% |
| Florida State 1H O/U 12.5 | 100% |
| Florida State 1H O/U 14.5 | 100% |
| Florida State 1H O/U 16.5 | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q2 | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q2 | 100% |
| Florida State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Florida State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Florida State Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 100% |
| Florida State Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 100% |
| Florida State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 100% |
| Florida State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 100% |
| Florida State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 100% |
| Florida State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 100% |
| Florida State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 100% |
| Florida State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 100% |
| Florida State Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Florida State Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Central Arkansas Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 100% |
| Central Arkansas Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| Central Arkansas Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 100% |
| Florida State Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 100% |
| Florida State Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| Florida State Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 100% |
| Central Arkansas vs. Florida State: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q4 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H | 50% |
| Central Arkansas 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Central Arkansas 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Florida State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Florida State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Central Arkansas vs. Florida State | 0% |
| Spread -20.5 | 0% |
| Spread -17.5 | 0% |
| Spread -16.5 | 0% |
| Spread -14.5 | 0% |
| Spread -13.5 | 0% |
| Spread -10.5 | 0% |
| Spread -8.5 | 0% |
| Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| Spread -6.5 | 0% |
| Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| O/U 41.5 | 0% |
| O/U 43.5 | 0% |
| O/U 45.5 | 0% |
| O/U 47.5 | 0% |
| O/U 49.5 | 0% |
| O/U 51.5 | 0% |
| O/U 53.5 | 0% |
| O/U 55.5 | 0% |
| O/U 57.5 | 0% |
| O/U 59.5 | 0% |
| O/U 61.5 | 0% |
| O/U 63.5 | 0% |
| O/U 65.5 | 0% |
| O/U 67.5 | 0% |
| O/U 69.5 | 0% |
| O/U 71.5 | 0% |
| O/U 73.5 | 0% |
| O/U 75.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 33.5 | 0% |
| 2H O/U 21.5 | 0% |
| 2H O/U 24.5 | 0% |
| 2H O/U 27.5 | 0% |
| 2H O/U 30.5 | 0% |
| 2H O/U 33.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| 2Q O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 0% |
| 3Q O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| 3Q O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 0% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 0% |
| 4Q O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| 4Q O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| Central Arkansas O/U 20.5 | 0% |
| Central Arkansas O/U 23.5 | 0% |
| Central Arkansas O/U 26.5 | 0% |
| Central Arkansas O/U 29.5 | 0% |
| Central Arkansas O/U 32.5 | 0% |
| Florida State O/U 35.5 | 0% |
| Central Arkansas 1H O/U 11.5 | 0% |
| Central Arkansas 1H O/U 13.5 | 0% |
| Central Arkansas 1H O/U 15.5 | 0% |
| Central Arkansas 2H O/U 11.5 | 0% |
| Central Arkansas 2H O/U 13.5 | 0% |
| Central Arkansas 2H O/U 15.5 | 0% |
| Florida State 2H O/U 12.5 | 0% |
| Florida State 2H O/U 14.5 | 0% |
| Florida State 2H O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| 2H Moneyline | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q3 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q1 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q1 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q3 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q4 | 0% |
| Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown | 0% |
| Game Goes to Overtime | 0% |
| Central Arkansas vs. Florida State: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.5 | 0% |
| Pick-Six Scored | 0% |
| Central Arkansas vs. Florida State: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.5 | 0% |
| Central Arkansas vs. Florida State: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.5 | 0% |
| Central Arkansas Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Central Arkansas Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 0% |
| Florida State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Central Arkansas Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Central Arkansas Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| Central Arkansas Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 0% |
| Florida State Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 0% |
| Central Arkansas Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 0% |
| Central Arkansas Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 0% |
| Central Arkansas Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 0% |
| Central Arkansas Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 0% |
| Central Arkansas Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 0% |
| Central Arkansas Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 0% |
| Central Arkansas Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 0% |
| Central Arkansas Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| Central Arkansas Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Central Arkansas Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Central Arkansas Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| Florida State Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 0% |
| Central Arkansas Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 0% |
| Florida State Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Florida State Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| Florida State Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 0% |
| Central Arkansas Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 0% |
| Central Arkansas vs. Florida State: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| Central Arkansas vs. Florida State: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 0% |
Market context
Market consensus: 100% chance of central arkansas vs. florida state. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. In the upcoming college football game between Central Arkansas and Florida State, scheduled for September 26 at 3:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Central Arkansas" if Central…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $117K.
Methodology
This page compares Central Arkansas vs. Florida State specifically across Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets. The live probability is the Polymarket mid; the comparison columns summarise each venue's fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Robinhood Prediction Markets, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Settlement is the biggest difference between the four platforms: Polymarket on-chain in USDC (instant), Kalshi USD via CFTC (T+1), Betfair and Smarkets in local currency via bank withdrawal (T+1 to T+3). On-chain settlement clears in minutes — the fastest payout path of the four.
FAQ
- Which platform has the deepest liquidity?
- Polymarket — by a wide margin. Top markets reach $50-500M volume, Kalshi ~$200M cumulative, Betfair similar. Deeper liquidity means your trade moves the quote less.
- What about Smarkets as an alternative?
- Smarkets is a UK betting exchange with a lower default commission (2%) than Betfair. Liquidity on political markets is below Polymarket, comparable to Kalshi. Geo-blocked in many jurisdictions.
- Which platform is accessible globally?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Kalshi is US-only. Betfair and Smarkets are UK-restricted. Robinhood Prediction Markets has a different geo footprint and routes to Polymarket's order book at 0% fees.
- Are all these platforms regulated?
- No. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated (US). Betfair and Smarkets are UK Gambling Commission licensed. Polymarket operates without explicit regulation — a different risk profile than a regulated sportsbook.
- Which platform supports Klarna/SOFORT?
- Directly: none. Polymarket accepts only USDC on Polygon. Robinhood Prediction Markets offers a fiat on-ramp via Klarna or SOFORT (DE/AT/CH) and converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. T+1 processing.
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