Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Robinhood Prediction Markets) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
92% | 8% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Go to the live market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
92% | 8% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Go to the live market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Go to the live market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Go to the live market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Go to the live market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 33.5 | 92% |
| O/U 35.5 | 92% |
| O/U 37.5 | 89% |
| O/U 39.5 | 88% |
| Spread -7.5 | 87% |
| O/U 41.5 | 85% |
| Spread -10.5 | 84% |
| Spread -11.5 | 83% |
| Spread -13.5 | 81% |
| O/U 43.5 | 78% |
| Spread -14.5 | 77% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 76% |
| Spread -17.5 | 73% |
| O/U 45.5 | 73% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 73% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 71% |
| O/U 47.5 | 70% |
| Spread -19.5 | 68% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 68% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 68% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 67% |
| Spread -20.5 | 66% |
| Spread -22.5 | 65% |
| O/U 49.5 | 64% |
| 2Q Spread -6.5 | 63% |
| Spread -21.5 | 62% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 61% |
| Spread -23.5 | 57% |
| O/U 51.5 | 57% |
| 2H Spread -17.5 | 57% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 57% |
| Illinois 1H O/U 6.5 | 56% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 55% |
| Spread -24.5 | 54% |
| 3Q Spread -6.5 | 54% |
| 3Q O/U 4.5 | 54% |
| 4Q O/U 12.5 | 54% |
| Illinois O/U 7.5 | 54% |
| Illinois O/U 10.5 | 54% |
| O/U 53.5 | 53% |
| 2Q O/U 16.5 | 53% |
| Illinois O/U 13.5 | 53% |
| Spread -25.5 | 52% |
| 2H Spread -14.5 | 52% |
| Spread -26.5 | 51% |
| 1H O/U 28.5 | 51% |
| 2H Spread -13.5 | 51% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 51% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 51% |
| 1H Spread -12.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -19.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 22.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 25.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 31.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -12.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -15.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 32.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -11.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 22.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 18.5 | 50% |
| Ohio State O/U 33.5 | 50% |
| Ohio State O/U 36.5 | 50% |
| Ohio State O/U 39.5 | 50% |
| Ohio State O/U 42.5 | 50% |
| Illinois 1H O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Illinois 1H O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| Ohio State 1H O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Ohio State 1H O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Ohio State 1H O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Illinois 2H O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Illinois 2H O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Illinois 2H O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| Ohio State 2H O/U 18.5 | 50% |
| Ohio State 2H O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| Ohio State 2H O/U 22.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| Illinois O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Ohio State O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q1 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q3 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q2 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q4 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q1 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q2 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q4 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q3 | 50% |
| Illinois vs. Ohio State: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown | 50% |
| Illinois vs. Ohio State: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Game Goes to Overtime | 50% |
| Pick-Six Scored | 50% |
| Illinois vs. Ohio State: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Illinois Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Ohio State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Ohio State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Illinois Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Ohio State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Illinois Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Illinois Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Illinois Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Illinois Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Ohio State Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Ohio State Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Ohio State Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Illinois Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Illinois Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Illinois Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Ohio State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Ohio State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Illinois Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Illinois Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Illinois Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Ohio State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Ohio State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Ohio State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Ohio State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Illinois 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Illinois 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Ohio State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Ohio State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Illinois Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Illinois Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Illinois Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Ohio State Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Ohio State Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Ohio State Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Illinois Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Illinois Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Ohio State Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Illinois Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Ohio State Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Ohio State Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Illinois Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Illinois Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Illinois Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Ohio State Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Ohio State Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Illinois vs. Ohio State: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Ohio State Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Illinois vs. Ohio State: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Illinois vs. Ohio State: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -14.5 | 49% |
| 2H O/U 23.5 | 48% |
| 4Q Spread -6.5 | 48% |
| Spread -27.5 | 47% |
| O/U 55.5 | 47% |
| 1H Spread -15.5 | 47% |
| 2Q Spread -9.5 | 47% |
| 1H Spread -16.5 | 46% |
| Spread -28.5 | 42% |
| O/U 57.5 | 42% |
| 1H Spread -17.5 | 42% |
| Spread -29.5 | 41% |
| Spread -30.5 | 40% |
| 2Q O/U 19.5 | 40% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 39% |
| Illinois O/U 16.5 | 39% |
| O/U 59.5 | 38% |
| Spread -31.5 | 36% |
| Spread -32.5 | 34% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 33% |
| Spread -33.5 | 32% |
| O/U 61.5 | 32% |
| 1H O/U 34.5 | 32% |
| Ohio State O/U 45.5 | 31% |
| Spread -34.5 | 30% |
| 1Q O/U 16.5 | 30% |
| Illinois O/U 19.5 | 28% |
| 2H Spread -10.5 | 27% |
| 4Q Spread -7.5 | 27% |
| O/U 63.5 | 26% |
| 3Q O/U 16.5 | 25% |
| Spread -35.5 | 24% |
| Spread -36.5 | 24% |
| O/U 67.5 | 20% |
| 1Q O/U 19.5 | 20% |
| Spread -38.5 | 19% |
| O/U 65.5 | 19% |
| Spread -41.5 | 14% |
| O/U 69.5 | 14% |
| Spread -42.5 | 13% |
| Spread -44.5 | 12% |
| O/U 71.5 | 12% |
| O/U 73.5 | 10% |
| 1H Moneyline | 10% |
| Spread -45.5 | 9% |
| Spread -48.5 | 7% |
| Illinois vs. Ohio State | 4% |
Market context
Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 92% probability to illinois vs. ohio state. In the upcoming college football game between Illinois and Ohio State, scheduled for September 26 at 12:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Illinois" if Illinois win the game. This market will resol…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $144K.
Methodology
We read Illinois vs. Ohio State from four platform perspectives: Polymarket (on-chain CLOB), Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), Betfair Exchange (sports book exchange), Smarkets (peer-to-peer betting exchange). Polymarket's live mid is the canonical probability; the side-by-side columns benchmark fees, KYC, settlement currency and deposit rails so you can choose the venue that fits your jurisdiction and trade size.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket settles via UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, the two-hour window runs, then the smart contract pays USDC.
Kalshi settles USD through the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse — the cleanest variant, with heavier KYC. Betfair Exchange settles in account currency (GBP/EUR), net of 2-5% commission. Smarkets follows the same model as Betfair with a lower default 2% commission.
FAQ
- Which platform has the deepest liquidity?
- Polymarket — by a wide margin. Top markets reach $50-500M volume, Kalshi ~$200M cumulative, Betfair similar. Deeper liquidity means your trade moves the quote less.
- Is Betfair a Polymarket alternative?
- Only partially. Betfair Exchange is UK-focused with a sports-betting emphasis; they have politics markets but with thinner liquidity than Polymarket. Settlement in GBP/EUR, 2-5% commission on winnings.
- What about Smarkets as an alternative?
- Smarkets is a UK betting exchange with a lower default commission (2%) than Betfair. Liquidity on political markets is below Polymarket, comparable to Kalshi. Geo-blocked in many jurisdictions.
- Which platform is accessible globally?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Kalshi is US-only. Betfair and Smarkets are UK-restricted. Robinhood Prediction Markets has a different geo footprint and routes to Polymarket's order book at 0% fees.
- Are all these platforms regulated?
- No. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated (US). Betfair and Smarkets are UK Gambling Commission licensed. Polymarket operates without explicit regulation — a different risk profile than a regulated sportsbook.
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