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Iowa vs. Michigan

Polymarket vs Kalshi vs Betfair vs Smarkets for "Iowa vs. Michigan" — live odds, fees and KYC side-by-side.

O/U 18.5 94% O/U 20.5 94% O/U 22.5 92% O/U 24.5 90% Volume: $328K Liquidity: $1.6M Closes: 26 Sept 2026
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Iowa vs. Michigan

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Robinhood Prediction Markets) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 94% 6% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Go to the live market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 94% 6% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Go to the live market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Go to the live market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Go to the live market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Go to the live market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 18.594%
O/U 20.594%
O/U 22.592%
O/U 24.590%
O/U 26.586%
O/U 28.586%
O/U 30.583%
Iowa Total First Downs: O/U 21.575%
Iowa Total First Downs: O/U 19.575%
Michigan Total First Downs: O/U 23.575%
Iowa Total First Downs: O/U 23.575%
Michigan Total First Downs: O/U 21.575%
Michigan Total First Downs: O/U 19.575%
1H O/U 13.574%
Michigan O/U 16.571%
O/U 32.570%
1Q Moneyline70%
Spread -0.567%
2Q O/U 7.566%
O/U 34.565%
Spread -1.564%
Spread -2.564%
1H O/U 16.564%
Iowa O/U 13.563%
Michigan O/U 19.562%
O/U 36.561%
1H Spread -0.557%
Spread -3.556%
1H Spread -1.556%
O/U 38.554%
1H Spread -2.554%
Spread -4.553%
Iowa O/U 16.553%
1H O/U 19.552%
2Q Spread -2.551%
3Q O/U 1.551%
3Q O/U 4.551%
Spread -5.550%
Spread -26.550%
1H Spread -1.550%
1H O/U 25.550%
2H Spread -1.550%
2H Spread -0.550%
2H Spread -1.550%
2H Spread -2.550%
2H Spread -3.550%
2H Spread -5.550%
2H O/U 13.550%
2H O/U 19.550%
2H O/U 22.550%
2H O/U 25.550%
1Q Spread -1.550%
1Q Spread -0.550%
1Q Spread -1.550%
1Q O/U 1.550%
1Q O/U 4.550%
2Q Spread -1.550%
2Q Spread -0.550%
2Q Spread -5.550%
2Q O/U 4.550%
2Q O/U 10.550%
3Q Spread -1.550%
3Q Spread -0.550%
3Q Spread -1.550%
3Q Spread -5.550%
4Q Spread -1.550%
4Q Spread -0.550%
4Q Spread -1.550%
4Q Spread -2.550%
4Q Spread -3.550%
4Q Spread -5.550%
4Q O/U 3.550%
4Q O/U 6.550%
4Q O/U 9.550%
4Q O/U 12.550%
4Q O/U 15.550%
Iowa O/U 10.550%
Iowa O/U 22.550%
Michigan O/U 22.550%
Michigan O/U 25.550%
Michigan O/U 28.550%
Iowa 1H O/U 5.550%
Iowa 1H O/U 9.550%
Michigan 1H O/U 11.550%
Michigan 1H O/U 15.550%
Iowa 2H O/U 6.550%
Iowa 2H O/U 8.550%
Iowa 2H O/U 10.550%
Michigan 2H O/U 9.550%
Michigan 2H O/U 11.550%
Michigan 2H O/U 13.550%
2H Moneyline50%
Iowa O/U 1.550%
Michigan O/U 2.550%
2Q Moneyline50%
3Q Moneyline50%
4Q Moneyline50%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H50%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H50%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q250%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q350%
Both Teams to Score Points - Q150%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown50%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q450%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q150%
Both Teams to Score Points - Q250%
Both Teams to Score Points - Q350%
Iowa vs. Michigan: Total Touchdowns O/U 3.550%
Pick-Six Scored50%
Both Teams to Score Points - Q450%
Game Goes to Overtime50%
Iowa vs. Michigan: Total Touchdowns O/U 4.550%
Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown50%
Iowa vs. Michigan: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.550%
Iowa Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.550%
Michigan Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.550%
Iowa Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.550%
Michigan Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.550%
Iowa Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.550%
Michigan Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.550%
Iowa Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.550%
Iowa Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.550%
Iowa Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.550%
Michigan Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.550%
Michigan Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.550%
Iowa Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.550%
Michigan Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.550%
Iowa Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.550%
Iowa Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.550%
Michigan Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.550%
Michigan Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.550%
Michigan Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.550%
Iowa Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.550%
Iowa Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.550%
Michigan Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.550%
Iowa Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.550%
Michigan Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.550%
Michigan Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.550%
Iowa 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.550%
Iowa 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.550%
Michigan 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.550%
Iowa Field Goals Made: O/U 0.550%
Iowa Field Goals Made: O/U 1.550%
Michigan 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.550%
Iowa Field Goals Made: O/U 2.550%
Michigan Field Goals Made: O/U 0.550%
Michigan Field Goals Made: O/U 1.550%
Michigan Field Goals Made: O/U 2.550%
Iowa Total Receptions: O/U 14.550%
Iowa Total Receptions: O/U 19.550%
Iowa Total Receptions: O/U 24.550%
Michigan Total Receptions: O/U 14.550%
Michigan Total Receptions: O/U 19.550%
Michigan Total Receptions: O/U 24.550%
Iowa vs. Michigan: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.550%
Iowa vs. Michigan: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.550%
Iowa vs. Michigan: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.550%
O/U 40.549%
2H O/U 16.549%
3Q Spread -2.549%
1Q Spread -3.548%
3Q O/U 13.548%
2Q Spread -1.547%
3Q O/U 7.547%
Spread -6.546%
1H Spread -3.546%
1H O/U 22.546%
Iowa 1H O/U 7.546%
1Q Spread -0.544%
1Q O/U 7.543%
1Q O/U 10.543%
O/U 42.541%
1Q O/U 13.541%
Iowa O/U 19.541%
Michigan 1H O/U 13.541%
Spread -7.539%
1H Spread -5.539%
1H Moneyline39%
Spread -8.538%
Spread -9.538%
O/U 44.536%
2Q O/U 13.535%
Iowa vs. Michigan34%
Spread -0.534%
1Q Spread -3.533%
Spread -10.532%
Spread -1.531%
O/U 46.531%
Spread -2.530%
Spread -11.530%
Spread -12.528%
2Q Spread -3.528%
Spread -13.527%
O/U 48.525%
Spread -4.524%
Spread -14.524%
O/U 50.524%
3Q Spread -3.524%
Spread -16.523%
3Q O/U 10.523%
2Q O/U 16.519%
Spread -8.514%
Spread -7.514%
Spread -19.514%
O/U 52.514%
O/U 54.514%
Spread -20.513%
Spread -10.511%
O/U 56.511%
Spread -11.59%
Spread -22.59%
O/U 58.59%
Spread -23.58%
Spread -14.57%

Market context

The Iowa vs. Michigan prediction market currently prices this outcome at 94% YES. In the upcoming college football game between Iowa and Michigan, scheduled for September 26 at 3:30PM ET: This market will resolve to "Iowa" if Iowa win the game. This market will resolve to "Michigan…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices O/U 18.5 at 94% for "Iowa vs. Michigan".

O/U 18.5 94% Other 6%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $328K.

Methodology

This page compares Iowa vs. Michigan specifically across Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets. The live probability is the Polymarket mid; the comparison columns summarise each venue's fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Robinhood Prediction Markets, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket settles via UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, the two-hour window runs, then the smart contract pays USDC.

Kalshi settles USD through the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse — the cleanest variant, with heavier KYC. Betfair Exchange settles in account currency (GBP/EUR), net of 2-5% commission. Smarkets follows the same model as Betfair with a lower default 2% commission.

FAQ

Which platform has the deepest liquidity?
Polymarket — by a wide margin. Top markets reach $50-500M volume, Kalshi ~$200M cumulative, Betfair similar. Deeper liquidity means your trade moves the quote less.
Is Betfair a Polymarket alternative?
Only partially. Betfair Exchange is UK-focused with a sports-betting emphasis; they have politics markets but with thinner liquidity than Polymarket. Settlement in GBP/EUR, 2-5% commission on winnings.
Which platform is accessible globally?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Kalshi is US-only. Betfair and Smarkets are UK-restricted. Robinhood Prediction Markets has a different geo footprint and routes to Polymarket's order book at 0% fees.
Are all these platforms regulated?
No. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated (US). Betfair and Smarkets are UK Gambling Commission licensed. Polymarket operates without explicit regulation — a different risk profile than a regulated sportsbook.
Which platform supports Klarna/SOFORT?
Directly: none. Polymarket accepts only USDC on Polygon. Robinhood Prediction Markets offers a fiat on-ramp via Klarna or SOFORT (DE/AT/CH) and converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. T+1 processing.
Alex ChenAlex ChenPrediction Market AnalystandJordan LeeJordan LeeSports Prediction Reporter

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