Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Robinhood Prediction Markets) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Go to the live market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Go to the live market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Go to the live market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Go to the live market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Go to the live market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Notre Dame vs. Purdue | 100% |
| Spread -38.5 | 100% |
| Spread -36.5 | 100% |
| Spread -35.5 | 100% |
| Spread -34.5 | 100% |
| Spread -33.5 | 100% |
| Spread -32.5 | 100% |
| Spread -31.5 | 100% |
| Spread -30.5 | 100% |
| Spread -29.5 | 100% |
| Spread -28.5 | 100% |
| Spread -27.5 | 100% |
| Spread -26.5 | 100% |
| Spread -25.5 | 100% |
| Spread -24.5 | 100% |
| Spread -23.5 | 100% |
| Spread -22.5 | 100% |
| Spread -21.5 | 100% |
| Spread -20.5 | 100% |
| Spread -19.5 | 100% |
| Spread -17.5 | 100% |
| Spread -14.5 | 100% |
| Spread -13.5 | 100% |
| Spread -11.5 | 100% |
| Spread -10.5 | 100% |
| Spread -7.5 | 100% |
| O/U 37.5 | 100% |
| O/U 39.5 | 100% |
| O/U 41.5 | 100% |
| O/U 43.5 | 100% |
| O/U 45.5 | 100% |
| O/U 47.5 | 100% |
| O/U 49.5 | 100% |
| O/U 51.5 | 100% |
| O/U 53.5 | 100% |
| O/U 55.5 | 100% |
| O/U 57.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -19.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -17.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -16.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -15.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -14.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -12.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 24.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 27.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 30.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 33.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -13.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -11.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -10.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -9.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -8.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -6.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 11.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 14.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 17.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 20.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 23.5 | 100% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 100% |
| Notre Dame O/U 36.5 | 100% |
| Notre Dame O/U 39.5 | 100% |
| Notre Dame O/U 42.5 | 100% |
| Notre Dame O/U 45.5 | 100% |
| Notre Dame O/U 48.5 | 100% |
| Purdue O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| Notre Dame 1H O/U 20.5 | 100% |
| Notre Dame 1H O/U 22.5 | 100% |
| Notre Dame 1H O/U 24.5 | 100% |
| 1H Moneyline | 100% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 100% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 100% |
| 2H O/U 22.5 | 91% |
| 4Q Spread -6.5 | 91% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 91% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 91% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 91% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 91% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 91% |
| 4Q O/U 16.5 | 91% |
| 4Q O/U 19.5 | 91% |
| Purdue 2H O/U 5.5 | 91% |
| Purdue 2H O/U 7.5 | 91% |
| Purdue 2H O/U 9.5 | 91% |
| 2H Moneyline | 91% |
| Notre Dame O/U 5.5 | 91% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 91% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q4 | 91% |
| Purdue O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q4 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q2 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q3 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q1 | 50% |
| Notre Dame vs. Purdue: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Notre Dame vs. Purdue: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown | 50% |
| Pick-Six Scored | 50% |
| Notre Dame vs. Purdue: Total Touchdowns O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| Notre Dame Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Notre Dame Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Purdue Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Notre Dame Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Notre Dame Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Purdue Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Purdue Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Notre Dame Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Notre Dame Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Purdue Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Notre Dame Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Purdue Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Notre Dame Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Purdue Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Notre Dame Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Purdue Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Purdue Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Purdue Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Notre Dame Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Notre Dame Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Purdue Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Purdue Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Notre Dame Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Purdue Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Notre Dame 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Purdue 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Notre Dame 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Purdue 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Notre Dame Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Purdue Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Notre Dame Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Notre Dame Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Purdue Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Purdue Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Notre Dame Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Notre Dame Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Notre Dame Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Purdue Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Purdue Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Purdue Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Notre Dame Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Purdue Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Notre Dame Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Notre Dame Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Purdue Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Purdue Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Notre Dame vs. Purdue: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Notre Dame vs. Purdue: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Notre Dame vs. Purdue: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -17.5 | 10% |
| 2H Spread -15.5 | 10% |
| 2H Spread -14.5 | 10% |
| 2H Spread -13.5 | 10% |
| 2H Spread -12.5 | 10% |
| 2H Spread -10.5 | 10% |
| 2H O/U 25.5 | 10% |
| 2H O/U 28.5 | 10% |
| 2H O/U 31.5 | 10% |
| 2H O/U 34.5 | 10% |
| 4Q Spread -9.5 | 10% |
| 4Q Spread -7.5 | 10% |
| Notre Dame 2H O/U 19.5 | 10% |
| Notre Dame 2H O/U 21.5 | 10% |
| Notre Dame 2H O/U 23.5 | 10% |
| Game Goes to Overtime | 10% |
| Spread -45.5 | 1% |
| Spread -44.5 | 1% |
| Spread -42.5 | 1% |
| Spread -41.5 | 1% |
| O/U 59.5 | 1% |
| O/U 61.5 | 1% |
| O/U 63.5 | 1% |
| O/U 65.5 | 1% |
| O/U 67.5 | 1% |
| O/U 71.5 | 1% |
| O/U 73.5 | 1% |
| O/U 77.5 | 1% |
| Purdue O/U 11.5 | 1% |
| Purdue O/U 14.5 | 1% |
| Purdue O/U 17.5 | 1% |
| Purdue O/U 20.5 | 1% |
| Spread -48.5 | 0% |
| O/U 69.5 | 0% |
| O/U 75.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 36.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -11.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -9.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -8.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -9.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -6.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 0% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 0% |
| 3Q O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| 3Q O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| Purdue 1H O/U 5.5 | 0% |
| Purdue 1H O/U 7.5 | 0% |
| Purdue 1H O/U 9.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q1 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q2 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q3 | 0% |
Market context
Market consensus: 100% chance of notre dame vs. purdue. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. In the upcoming college football game between Notre Dame and Purdue, scheduled for September 26 at 2:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Notre Dame" if Notre Dame win the game. T…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $171K.
Methodology
We read Notre Dame vs. Purdue from four platform perspectives: Polymarket (on-chain CLOB), Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), Betfair Exchange (sports book exchange), Smarkets (peer-to-peer betting exchange). Polymarket's live mid is the canonical probability; the side-by-side columns benchmark fees, KYC, settlement currency and deposit rails so you can choose the venue that fits your jurisdiction and trade size.
Resolution & payout
Settlement is the biggest difference between the four platforms: Polymarket on-chain in USDC (instant), Kalshi USD via CFTC (T+1), Betfair and Smarkets in local currency via bank withdrawal (T+1 to T+3). On-chain settlement clears in minutes — the fastest payout path of the four.
FAQ
- Polymarket vs Kalshi — which is better?
- Depends on your location. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated, US-only with full KYC. Polymarket is global, on-chain, no KYC up to $1,500. Polymarket has ~10x higher liquidity but higher regulatory risk.
- Which platform has the deepest liquidity?
- Polymarket — by a wide margin. Top markets reach $50-500M volume, Kalshi ~$200M cumulative, Betfair similar. Deeper liquidity means your trade moves the quote less.
- Is Betfair a Polymarket alternative?
- Only partially. Betfair Exchange is UK-focused with a sports-betting emphasis; they have politics markets but with thinner liquidity than Polymarket. Settlement in GBP/EUR, 2-5% commission on winnings.
- Are all these platforms regulated?
- No. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated (US). Betfair and Smarkets are UK Gambling Commission licensed. Polymarket operates without explicit regulation — a different risk profile than a regulated sportsbook.
- Which platform supports Klarna/SOFORT?
- Directly: none. Polymarket accepts only USDC on Polygon. Robinhood Prediction Markets offers a fiat on-ramp via Klarna or SOFORT (DE/AT/CH) and converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. T+1 processing.
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