Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Robinhood Prediction Markets) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
81% | 19% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Go to the live market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
81% | 19% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Go to the live market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Go to the live market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Go to the live market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Go to the live market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 34.5 | 81% |
| O/U 30.5 | 77% |
| O/U 32.5 | 76% |
| O/U 36.5 | 74% |
| Nebraska vs. Michigan State | 72% |
| O/U 38.5 | 72% |
| Spread -2.5 | 70% |
| O/U 40.5 | 67% |
| Spread -1.5 | 64% |
| O/U 42.5 | 64% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 63% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 60% |
| 1H O/U 27.5 | 60% |
| Spread -3.5 | 59% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 57% |
| Spread -6.5 | 56% |
| O/U 44.5 | 56% |
| Spread -4.5 | 54% |
| Michigan State O/U 21.5 | 54% |
| 1H O/U 30.5 | 53% |
| Spread -5.5 | 52% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 52% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 51% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 51% |
| Spread -26.5 | 50% |
| Spread -23.5 | 50% |
| Spread -22.5 | 50% |
| Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| O/U 28.5 | 50% |
| O/U 46.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 18.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 18.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 27.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 30.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Nebraska O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Nebraska O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Nebraska O/U 33.5 | 50% |
| Michigan State O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Michigan State O/U 18.5 | 50% |
| Michigan State O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Nebraska 1H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Nebraska 1H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Nebraska 1H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Michigan State 1H O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| Michigan State 1H O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Michigan State 1H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Nebraska 2H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Nebraska 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Nebraska 2H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Michigan State 2H O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| Michigan State 2H O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Michigan State 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| Nebraska O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Michigan State O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| 1H Moneyline | 50% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q2 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q1 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q3 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q4 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q1 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q2 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q3 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q4 | 50% |
| Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown | 50% |
| Game Goes to Overtime | 50% |
| Pick-Six Scored | 50% |
| Nebraska vs. Michigan State: Total Touchdowns O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Nebraska vs. Michigan State: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Nebraska vs. Michigan State: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Nebraska Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Nebraska Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Nebraska Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Nebraska Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Michigan State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Michigan State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Michigan State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Nebraska Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Nebraska Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Michigan State Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Michigan State Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Michigan State Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Nebraska Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Nebraska Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Michigan State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Nebraska Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Michigan State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Nebraska Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Michigan State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Nebraska Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Nebraska Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Nebraska 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Michigan State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Michigan State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Michigan State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Nebraska 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Michigan State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Michigan State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Nebraska Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Nebraska Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Nebraska Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Michigan State Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Michigan State Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Michigan State Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Nebraska Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Nebraska Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Nebraska Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Michigan State Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Michigan State Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Michigan State Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Nebraska Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Nebraska Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Michigan State Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Nebraska Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Michigan State Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Michigan State Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Nebraska vs. Michigan State: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Nebraska vs. Michigan State: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Nebraska vs. Michigan State: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 48% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 48% |
| 2Q O/U 7.5 | 48% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 46% |
| Nebraska O/U 27.5 | 46% |
| O/U 48.5 | 45% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 45% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 45% |
| Spread -8.5 | 44% |
| Spread -7.5 | 44% |
| 2Q O/U 16.5 | 44% |
| Spread -12.5 | 43% |
| Spread -11.5 | 43% |
| 1H O/U 24.5 | 43% |
| O/U 50.5 | 42% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 42% |
| Nebraska O/U 30.5 | 41% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 40% |
| Spread -10.5 | 39% |
| Spread -9.5 | 38% |
| 2Q O/U 19.5 | 38% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 38% |
| 4Q O/U 19.5 | 38% |
| Spread -16.5 | 37% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 37% |
| O/U 56.5 | 36% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 36% |
| 4Q O/U 16.5 | 35% |
| Spread -19.5 | 34% |
| 3Q O/U 12.5 | 34% |
| O/U 60.5 | 33% |
| O/U 52.5 | 32% |
| O/U 62.5 | 31% |
| O/U 54.5 | 29% |
| O/U 66.5 | 29% |
| O/U 68.5 | 29% |
| Spread -13.5 | 28% |
| Michigan State O/U 27.5 | 25% |
| Spread -1.5 | 22% |
| O/U 58.5 | 21% |
| Spread -14.5 | 20% |
| Spread -2.5 | 20% |
| Spread -4.5 | 19% |
| Spread -20.5 | 16% |
| Spread -7.5 | 14% |
| O/U 64.5 | 14% |
| Spread -11.5 | 13% |
| Spread -14.5 | 10% |
| Spread -10.5 | 9% |
Market context
The Nebraska vs. Michigan State prediction market currently prices this outcome at 81% YES. In the upcoming college football game between Nebraska and Michigan State, scheduled for September 26 at 5:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Nebraska" if Nebraska win the game. This market will re…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $209K.
Methodology
We read Nebraska vs. Michigan State from four platform perspectives: Polymarket (on-chain CLOB), Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), Betfair Exchange (sports book exchange), Smarkets (peer-to-peer betting exchange). Polymarket's live mid is the canonical probability; the side-by-side columns benchmark fees, KYC, settlement currency and deposit rails so you can choose the venue that fits your jurisdiction and trade size.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket settles via UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, the two-hour window runs, then the smart contract pays USDC.
Kalshi settles USD through the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse — the cleanest variant, with heavier KYC. Betfair Exchange settles in account currency (GBP/EUR), net of 2-5% commission. Smarkets follows the same model as Betfair with a lower default 2% commission.
FAQ
- What does Polymarket cost vs Kalshi?
- Polymarket: 0% fees, only Polygon network costs (~$0.01/trade). Kalshi: up to 7% per trade plus spread. For high-frequency traders, Polymarket is dramatically cheaper.
- Is Betfair a Polymarket alternative?
- Only partially. Betfair Exchange is UK-focused with a sports-betting emphasis; they have politics markets but with thinner liquidity than Polymarket. Settlement in GBP/EUR, 2-5% commission on winnings.
- Which platform is accessible globally?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Kalshi is US-only. Betfair and Smarkets are UK-restricted. Robinhood Prediction Markets has a different geo footprint and routes to Polymarket's order book at 0% fees.
- Are all these platforms regulated?
- No. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated (US). Betfair and Smarkets are UK Gambling Commission licensed. Polymarket operates without explicit regulation — a different risk profile than a regulated sportsbook.
- Which platform supports Klarna/SOFORT?
- Directly: none. Polymarket accepts only USDC on Polygon. Robinhood Prediction Markets offers a fiat on-ramp via Klarna or SOFORT (DE/AT/CH) and converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. T+1 processing.
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