Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Robinhood Prediction Markets) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
88% | 12% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Go to the live market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
88% | 12% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Go to the live market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Go to the live market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Go to the live market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Go to the live market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 35.5 | 88% |
| O/U 37.5 | 81% |
| O/U 39.5 | 77% |
| O/U 41.5 | 74% |
| O/U 43.5 | 69% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 68% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 64% |
| O/U 45.5 | 61% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 60% |
| O/U 47.5 | 59% |
| Spread -0.5 | 55% |
| 2Q O/U 7.5 | 55% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 55% |
| Spread -1.5 | 54% |
| O/U 49.5 | 54% |
| South Carolina 1H O/U 12.5 | 54% |
| Tennessee 1H O/U 11.5 | 53% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 52% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 52% |
| Tennessee O/U 20.5 | 52% |
| Tennessee 2H O/U 11.5 | 52% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 52% |
| 1H O/U 21.5 | 51% |
| 1H O/U 33.5 | 51% |
| 2H O/U 21.5 | 51% |
| 2H O/U 24.5 | 51% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 51% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 51% |
| Tennessee O/U 29.5 | 51% |
| South Carolina O/U 23.5 | 51% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 51% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 51% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 51% |
| Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| Tennessee O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| Tennessee O/U 32.5 | 50% |
| Tennessee 2H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| South Carolina 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| South Carolina 2H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| South Carolina 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q3 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q4 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q1 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q2 | 50% |
| Tennessee vs. South Carolina: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown | 50% |
| Pick-Six Scored | 50% |
| Tennessee Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| South Carolina Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Tennessee Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Tennessee Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| South Carolina Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| South Carolina Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Tennessee Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Tennessee Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Tennessee Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| South Carolina Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| South Carolina Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| South Carolina Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Tennessee Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Tennessee Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Tennessee Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| South Carolina Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| South Carolina Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| South Carolina Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Tennessee Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| South Carolina Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Tennessee Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Tennessee Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| South Carolina Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| South Carolina Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Tennessee 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Tennessee 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Tennessee Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Tennessee Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| South Carolina 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| South Carolina 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Tennessee Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| South Carolina Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| South Carolina Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| South Carolina Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Tennessee Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Tennessee Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| South Carolina Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Tennessee Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| South Carolina Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| South Carolina Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Tennessee Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Tennessee Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| South Carolina Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| South Carolina Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Tennessee Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| South Carolina Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Tennessee vs. South Carolina: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Tennessee vs. South Carolina: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 49% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 49% |
| Tennessee O/U 23.5 | 49% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 49% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 49% |
| Tennessee O/U 2.5 | 49% |
| 1H O/U 27.5 | 48% |
| 2H O/U 33.5 | 48% |
| Tennessee 1H O/U 15.5 | 48% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q2 | 48% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q3 | 48% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q4 | 48% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 48% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 48% |
| 1H O/U 30.5 | 47% |
| 2H O/U 27.5 | 47% |
| 2H O/U 30.5 | 47% |
| 2Q O/U 19.5 | 47% |
| 4Q O/U 16.5 | 47% |
| Tennessee 1H O/U 13.5 | 47% |
| Tennessee vs. South Carolina: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.5 | 47% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 47% |
| South Carolina O/U 3.5 | 47% |
| 1H Moneyline | 47% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 47% |
| Tennessee vs. South Carolina | 46% |
| O/U 51.5 | 46% |
| 2Q O/U 16.5 | 46% |
| 3Q O/U 16.5 | 46% |
| 4Q O/U 19.5 | 46% |
| South Carolina O/U 29.5 | 46% |
| South Carolina O/U 32.5 | 46% |
| South Carolina O/U 35.5 | 46% |
| Tennessee 2H O/U 13.5 | 46% |
| Tennessee vs. South Carolina: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.5 | 46% |
| Spread -0.5 | 45% |
| 3Q O/U 19.5 | 45% |
| South Carolina O/U 26.5 | 45% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q1 | 45% |
| Tennessee vs. South Carolina: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 45% |
| Spread -1.5 | 44% |
| Spread -3.5 | 44% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 44% |
| Game Goes to Overtime | 44% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 44% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 44% |
| Spread -2.5 | 42% |
| O/U 53.5 | 42% |
| 1Q O/U 16.5 | 42% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 42% |
| Spread -4.5 | 41% |
| 1Q O/U 19.5 | 41% |
| South Carolina 1H O/U 14.5 | 41% |
| South Carolina 1H O/U 16.5 | 41% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 41% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 39% |
| Spread -5.5 | 38% |
| Spread -6.5 | 37% |
| O/U 55.5 | 37% |
| Spread -3.5 | 36% |
| 1H O/U 24.5 | 35% |
| Spread -4.5 | 33% |
| O/U 57.5 | 32% |
| Spread -5.5 | 31% |
| Spread -6.5 | 30% |
| Spread -7.5 | 30% |
| O/U 59.5 | 29% |
| Spread -8.5 | 27% |
| Spread -10.5 | 25% |
| Spread -7.5 | 24% |
| O/U 61.5 | 24% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 23% |
| Spread -8.5 | 21% |
| Spread -13.5 | 20% |
| Spread -10.5 | 19% |
| O/U 63.5 | 19% |
| O/U 65.5 | 19% |
| Spread -14.5 | 17% |
| Spread -13.5 | 16% |
| O/U 67.5 | 15% |
| Spread -16.5 | 14% |
| Spread -14.5 | 13% |
| Spread -17.5 | 13% |
| Spread -16.5 | 11% |
| O/U 69.5 | 11% |
| O/U 71.5 | 11% |
| Spread -20.5 | 10% |
| Spread -17.5 | 8% |
| O/U 73.5 | 8% |
| Spread -20.5 | 7% |
| O/U 75.5 | 7% |
Market context
Market consensus: 88% chance of tennessee vs. south carolina. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. In the upcoming college football game between Tennessee and South Carolina, scheduled for October 24 at 3:30PM ET: This market will resolve to "Tennessee" if Tennessee win the game…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $72K.
Methodology
We read Tennessee vs. South Carolina from four platform perspectives: Polymarket (on-chain CLOB), Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), Betfair Exchange (sports book exchange), Smarkets (peer-to-peer betting exchange). Polymarket's live mid is the canonical probability; the side-by-side columns benchmark fees, KYC, settlement currency and deposit rails so you can choose the venue that fits your jurisdiction and trade size.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket settles via UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, the two-hour window runs, then the smart contract pays USDC.
Kalshi settles USD through the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse — the cleanest variant, with heavier KYC. Betfair Exchange settles in account currency (GBP/EUR), net of 2-5% commission. Smarkets follows the same model as Betfair with a lower default 2% commission.
FAQ
- What does Polymarket cost vs Kalshi?
- Polymarket: 0% fees, only Polygon network costs (~$0.01/trade). Kalshi: up to 7% per trade plus spread. For high-frequency traders, Polymarket is dramatically cheaper.
- Which platform has the deepest liquidity?
- Polymarket — by a wide margin. Top markets reach $50-500M volume, Kalshi ~$200M cumulative, Betfair similar. Deeper liquidity means your trade moves the quote less.
- Is Betfair a Polymarket alternative?
- Only partially. Betfair Exchange is UK-focused with a sports-betting emphasis; they have politics markets but with thinner liquidity than Polymarket. Settlement in GBP/EUR, 2-5% commission on winnings.
- What about Smarkets as an alternative?
- Smarkets is a UK betting exchange with a lower default commission (2%) than Betfair. Liquidity on political markets is below Polymarket, comparable to Kalshi. Geo-blocked in many jurisdictions.
- Which platform is accessible globally?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Kalshi is US-only. Betfair and Smarkets are UK-restricted. Robinhood Prediction Markets has a different geo footprint and routes to Polymarket's order book at 0% fees.
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