Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Robinhood Prediction Markets) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
89% | 11% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Go to the live market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
89% | 11% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Go to the live market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Go to the live market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Go to the live market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Go to the live market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 34.5 | 89% |
| UNLV vs. Akron | 82% |
| O/U 40.5 | 80% |
| O/U 30.5 | 79% |
| O/U 32.5 | 78% |
| O/U 36.5 | 77% |
| O/U 38.5 | 75% |
| Spread -3.5 | 73% |
| O/U 42.5 | 72% |
| O/U 48.5 | 70% |
| O/U 44.5 | 69% |
| Spread -5.5 | 68% |
| Spread -6.5 | 66% |
| O/U 46.5 | 66% |
| 1H O/U 23.5 | 66% |
| Spread -12.5 | 63% |
| Spread -7.5 | 62% |
| Spread -9.5 | 58% |
| O/U 50.5 | 58% |
| 1H O/U 20.5 | 58% |
| Spread -8.5 | 56% |
| Akron O/U 17.5 | 56% |
| Spread -10.5 | 55% |
| Spread -11.5 | 54% |
| O/U 52.5 | 51% |
| 1H O/U 26.5 | 51% |
| Spread -34.5 | 50% |
| Spread -31.5 | 50% |
| Spread -28.5 | 50% |
| Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -11.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 32.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 22.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 25.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 28.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 31.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| UNLV O/U 25.5 | 50% |
| UNLV O/U 28.5 | 50% |
| Akron O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Akron O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| UNLV 1H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| UNLV 1H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| UNLV 1H O/U 18.5 | 50% |
| Akron 1H O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Akron 1H O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Akron 1H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| UNLV 2H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| UNLV 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| UNLV 2H O/U 18.5 | 50% |
| Akron 2H O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Akron 2H O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Akron 2H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| UNLV O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Akron O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| 1H Moneyline | 50% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| UNLV O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q2 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q1 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q4 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q3 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q1 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q2 | 50% |
| Game Goes to Overtime | 50% |
| UNLV vs. Akron: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Pick-Six Scored | 50% |
| Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q4 | 50% |
| UNLV vs. Akron: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q3 | 50% |
| UNLV vs. Akron: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| UNLV Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| UNLV Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| UNLV Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Akron Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Akron Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Akron Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| UNLV Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| UNLV Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| UNLV Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Akron Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Akron Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Akron Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| UNLV Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| UNLV Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Akron Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| UNLV Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Akron Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Akron Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| UNLV Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| UNLV Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| UNLV Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Akron Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Akron Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Akron Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| UNLV 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| UNLV 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Akron 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Akron 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| UNLV Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| UNLV Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| UNLV Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Akron Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Akron Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Akron Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| UNLV Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| UNLV Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| UNLV Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Akron Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Akron Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Akron Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| UNLV Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| UNLV Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| UNLV Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Akron Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Akron Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Akron Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| UNLV vs. Akron: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| UNLV vs. Akron: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| UNLV vs. Akron: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 47% |
| Spread -15.5 | 46% |
| Akron O/U 20.5 | 46% |
| Spread -14.5 | 45% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 45% |
| O/U 54.5 | 44% |
| Spread -18.5 | 42% |
| Spread -16.5 | 41% |
| Spread -19.5 | 40% |
| O/U 56.5 | 39% |
| O/U 60.5 | 39% |
| UNLV O/U 31.5 | 39% |
| Akron O/U 23.5 | 39% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 38% |
| Spread -17.5 | 37% |
| Spread -22.5 | 36% |
| O/U 62.5 | 36% |
| O/U 58.5 | 35% |
| O/U 66.5 | 33% |
| Spread -20.5 | 32% |
| O/U 68.5 | 32% |
| UNLV O/U 34.5 | 32% |
| Spread -21.5 | 28% |
| UNLV O/U 37.5 | 25% |
| O/U 64.5 | 24% |
| Spread -24.5 | 22% |
| Spread -27.5 | 19% |
| Spread -30.5 | 17% |
| Spread -2.5 | 17% |
| O/U 70.5 | 14% |
| Spread -3.5 | 13% |
| Spread -6.5 | 10% |
Market context
Market consensus: 89% chance of unlv vs. akron. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. In the upcoming college football game between UNLV and Akron, scheduled for September 26 at 12:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "UNLV" if UNLV win the game. This market will re…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $514K.
Methodology
We read UNLV vs. Akron from four platform perspectives: Polymarket (on-chain CLOB), Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), Betfair Exchange (sports book exchange), Smarkets (peer-to-peer betting exchange). Polymarket's live mid is the canonical probability; the side-by-side columns benchmark fees, KYC, settlement currency and deposit rails so you can choose the venue that fits your jurisdiction and trade size.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket settles via UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, the two-hour window runs, then the smart contract pays USDC.
Kalshi settles USD through the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse — the cleanest variant, with heavier KYC. Betfair Exchange settles in account currency (GBP/EUR), net of 2-5% commission. Smarkets follows the same model as Betfair with a lower default 2% commission.
FAQ
- Polymarket vs Kalshi — which is better?
- Depends on your location. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated, US-only with full KYC. Polymarket is global, on-chain, no KYC up to $1,500. Polymarket has ~10x higher liquidity but higher regulatory risk.
- What does Polymarket cost vs Kalshi?
- Polymarket: 0% fees, only Polygon network costs (~$0.01/trade). Kalshi: up to 7% per trade plus spread. For high-frequency traders, Polymarket is dramatically cheaper.
- Which platform is accessible globally?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Kalshi is US-only. Betfair and Smarkets are UK-restricted. Robinhood Prediction Markets has a different geo footprint and routes to Polymarket's order book at 0% fees.
- Are all these platforms regulated?
- No. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated (US). Betfair and Smarkets are UK Gambling Commission licensed. Polymarket operates without explicit regulation — a different risk profile than a regulated sportsbook.
- Which platform supports Klarna/SOFORT?
- Directly: none. Polymarket accepts only USDC on Polygon. Robinhood Prediction Markets offers a fiat on-ramp via Klarna or SOFORT (DE/AT/CH) and converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. T+1 processing.
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