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Virginia vs. SMU

Cross-platform snapshot for "Virginia vs. SMU": deepest order book, lowest fee, geo-coverage at a glance.

O/U 35.5 88% O/U 37.5 84% 2Q O/U 7.5 83% O/U 39.5 82% Volume: $93K Liquidity: $1.1M Closes: 17 Oct 2026
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Virginia vs. SMU

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Robinhood Prediction Markets) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 88% 12% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Go to the live market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 88% 12% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Go to the live market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Go to the live market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Go to the live market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Go to the live market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 35.588%
O/U 37.584%
2Q O/U 7.583%
O/U 39.582%
Spread -0.576%
O/U 41.576%
SMU O/U 23.576%
Spread -1.575%
4Q O/U 7.575%
Spread -2.574%
O/U 43.572%
2Q O/U 10.569%
Spread -3.568%
Spread -4.566%
O/U 45.566%
1H Spread -2.565%
SMU O/U 26.564%
Spread -5.563%
3Q O/U 7.563%
Spread -6.562%
O/U 47.562%
1Q O/U 7.561%
4Q O/U 10.561%
2Q O/U 13.560%
O/U 49.557%
SMU O/U 29.557%
SMU 2H O/U 12.556%
1H Spread -4.556%
2H Spread -2.556%
1Q Spread -2.556%
Spread -7.555%
1H Spread -5.555%
2H Spread -0.554%
2Q Spread -2.554%
Spread -8.553%
1H O/U 24.553%
4Q O/U 13.553%
2Q Spread -0.553%
Virginia O/U 20.552%
SMU 1H O/U 14.552%
Spread -9.552%
1H Spread -6.552%
1Q Spread -0.552%
O/U 51.551%
1H O/U 21.551%
Virginia 2H O/U 11.551%
2H Spread -3.551%
Spread -20.550%
1H O/U 33.550%
2H O/U 21.550%
2H O/U 24.550%
2H O/U 33.550%
Virginia O/U 26.550%
Virginia O/U 29.550%
Virginia O/U 32.550%
Virginia 1H O/U 11.550%
Virginia 1H O/U 15.550%
SMU 1H O/U 12.550%
Virginia 2H O/U 15.550%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H50%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q250%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q150%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q450%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q350%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H50%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown50%
Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown50%
Virginia vs. SMU: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.550%
Pick-Six Scored50%
Virginia Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.550%
Virginia Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.550%
SMU Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.550%
SMU Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.550%
SMU Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.550%
Virginia Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.550%
Virginia Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.550%
Virginia Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.550%
SMU Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.550%
SMU Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.550%
Virginia Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.550%
SMU Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.550%
Virginia Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.550%
SMU Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.550%
Virginia Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.550%
SMU Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.550%
Virginia Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.550%
Virginia Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.550%
SMU Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.550%
Virginia Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.550%
SMU Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.550%
SMU Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.550%
SMU Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.550%
Virginia 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.550%
Virginia 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.550%
SMU 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.550%
Virginia Field Goals Made: O/U 1.550%
Virginia Field Goals Made: O/U 2.550%
Virginia Field Goals Made: O/U 0.550%
SMU 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.550%
SMU Field Goals Made: O/U 0.550%
SMU Field Goals Made: O/U 1.550%
SMU Field Goals Made: O/U 2.550%
Virginia Total Receptions: O/U 14.550%
Virginia Total Receptions: O/U 19.550%
Virginia Total Receptions: O/U 24.550%
SMU Total Receptions: O/U 14.550%
SMU Total Receptions: O/U 19.550%
SMU Total Receptions: O/U 24.550%
Virginia Total First Downs: O/U 19.550%
Virginia Total First Downs: O/U 21.550%
SMU Total First Downs: O/U 21.550%
SMU Total First Downs: O/U 23.550%
SMU Total First Downs: O/U 19.550%
Virginia Total First Downs: O/U 23.550%
Virginia vs. SMU: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.550%
Virginia vs. SMU: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.550%
2H Spread -5.550%
1Q Spread -5.550%
2Q Spread -5.550%
3Q Spread -1.550%
3Q Spread -0.550%
3Q Spread -1.550%
3Q Spread -5.550%
4Q Spread -1.550%
4Q Spread -0.550%
4Q Spread -1.550%
4Q Spread -5.550%
2H Moneyline50%
2Q Moneyline50%
3Q Moneyline50%
4Q Moneyline50%
SMU 1H O/U 16.549%
3Q Spread -2.549%
2H Spread -4.548%
1Q Spread -3.548%
1Q Spread -4.548%
2Q Spread -3.548%
Spread -10.547%
3Q O/U 10.547%
SMU 2H O/U 14.547%
1Q O/U 10.546%
Virginia 2H O/U 13.546%
SMU 2H O/U 16.546%
Both Teams to Score Points - Q246%
2Q Spread -4.546%
O/U 53.545%
1H O/U 27.545%
2Q O/U 16.545%
SMU O/U 32.545%
3Q O/U 13.544%
Both Teams to Score Points - Q444%
Virginia Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.543%
1H Spread -7.543%
Spread -13.542%
Virginia 1H O/U 13.542%
Virginia vs. SMU: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.542%
3Q Spread -3.542%
Both Teams to Score Points - Q141%
Both Teams to Score Points - Q341%
Virginia O/U 2.541%
SMU O/U 3.541%
O/U 55.540%
1Q O/U 13.540%
Virginia O/U 23.540%
Virginia vs. SMU: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.540%
1H Spread -9.540%
2H O/U 27.539%
Spread -14.538%
Virginia vs. SMU: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.538%
1H O/U 30.537%
4Q Spread -2.537%
O/U 57.536%
Game Goes to Overtime36%
4Q Spread -3.536%
Spread -16.535%
4Q O/U 16.535%
2H Spread -7.535%
SMU O/U 35.534%
2Q O/U 19.533%
Spread -17.531%
O/U 59.530%
1Q Moneyline30%
O/U 61.528%
2H O/U 30.528%
Spread -20.526%
1H Moneyline26%
3Q O/U 16.525%
2Q Spread -7.525%
Virginia vs. SMU24%
Spread -0.524%
1Q O/U 16.524%
O/U 63.523%
Spread -1.522%
4Q O/U 19.522%
1Q Spread -7.522%
Spread -2.521%
O/U 65.521%
Spread -3.517%
O/U 67.517%
1Q O/U 19.517%
3Q O/U 19.517%
Spread -4.515%
Spread -5.514%
Spread -6.513%
O/U 69.512%
O/U 71.511%
Spread -7.510%
Spread -8.59%
O/U 73.59%
Spread -17.58%
Spread -16.58%
O/U 75.58%
Spread -10.57%
Spread -13.55%
Spread -14.53%

Market context

Market consensus: 88% chance of virginia vs. smu. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. In the upcoming college football game between Virginia and SMU, scheduled for October 17 at 12:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Virginia" if Virginia win the game. This market…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices O/U 35.5 at 88% for "Virginia vs. SMU".

O/U 35.5 88% Other 12%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $93K.

Methodology

We read Virginia vs. SMU from four platform perspectives: Polymarket (on-chain CLOB), Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), Betfair Exchange (sports book exchange), Smarkets (peer-to-peer betting exchange). Polymarket's live mid is the canonical probability; the side-by-side columns benchmark fees, KYC, settlement currency and deposit rails so you can choose the venue that fits your jurisdiction and trade size.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket settles via UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, the two-hour window runs, then the smart contract pays USDC.

Kalshi settles USD through the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse — the cleanest variant, with heavier KYC. Betfair Exchange settles in account currency (GBP/EUR), net of 2-5% commission. Smarkets follows the same model as Betfair with a lower default 2% commission.

FAQ

Polymarket vs Kalshi — which is better?
Depends on your location. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated, US-only with full KYC. Polymarket is global, on-chain, no KYC up to $1,500. Polymarket has ~10x higher liquidity but higher regulatory risk.
Is Betfair a Polymarket alternative?
Only partially. Betfair Exchange is UK-focused with a sports-betting emphasis; they have politics markets but with thinner liquidity than Polymarket. Settlement in GBP/EUR, 2-5% commission on winnings.
Which platform is accessible globally?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Kalshi is US-only. Betfair and Smarkets are UK-restricted. Robinhood Prediction Markets has a different geo footprint and routes to Polymarket's order book at 0% fees.
Are all these platforms regulated?
No. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated (US). Betfair and Smarkets are UK Gambling Commission licensed. Polymarket operates without explicit regulation — a different risk profile than a regulated sportsbook.
Which platform supports Klarna/SOFORT?
Directly: none. Polymarket accepts only USDC on Polygon. Robinhood Prediction Markets offers a fiat on-ramp via Klarna or SOFORT (DE/AT/CH) and converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. T+1 processing.
Alex ChenAlex ChenPrediction Market AnalystandJordan LeeJordan LeeSports Prediction Reporter

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