Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Robinhood Prediction Markets) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Go to the live market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Go to the live market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Go to the live market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Go to the live market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Go to the live market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 16.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 100% |
| Spread -1.5 | 97% |
| Spread -2.5 | 95% |
| Spread -3.5 | 95% |
| Spread -4.5 | 95% |
| O/U 37.5 | 95% |
| Spread -0.5 | 94% |
| Spread -5.5 | 94% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 94% |
| Spread -6.5 | 93% |
| Spread -7.5 | 93% |
| O/U 43.5 | 91% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 91% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 91% |
| Oregon State 1H O/U 12.5 | 90% |
| Oregon State 1H O/U 14.5 | 90% |
| Oregon State 1H O/U 16.5 | 90% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 90% |
| 1Q Spread -5.5 | 90% |
| 1Q Spread -9.5 | 90% |
| Spread -9.5 | 89% |
| Spread -11.5 | 88% |
| Spread -12.5 | 86% |
| Spread -10.5 | 85% |
| Spread -13.5 | 85% |
| O/U 35.5 | 85% |
| O/U 39.5 | 84% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 84% |
| O/U 47.5 | 83% |
| Spread -14.5 | 82% |
| O/U 41.5 | 82% |
| Oregon State O/U 35.5 | 80% |
| O/U 45.5 | 79% |
| O/U 49.5 | 79% |
| 2Q O/U 7.5 | 79% |
| Spread -16.5 | 78% |
| 1H O/U 27.5 | 78% |
| Spread -17.5 | 76% |
| O/U 51.5 | 75% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 74% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 74% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 72% |
| Spread -18.5 | 72% |
| O/U 53.5 | 71% |
| Spread -19.5 | 71% |
| Spread -22.5 | 70% |
| Spread -20.5 | 68% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 68% |
| Spread -21.5 | 67% |
| Oregon State O/U 23.5 | 65% |
| O/U 55.5 | 62% |
| Spread -25.5 | 62% |
| 2Q O/U 16.5 | 61% |
| Spread -23.5 | 59% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 57% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 57% |
| Spread -24.5 | 55% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 54% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 54% |
| O/U 59.5 | 53% |
| Spread -28.5 | 53% |
| O/U 57.5 | 52% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 51% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 51% |
| Washington State 2H O/U 15.5 | 51% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q3 | 51% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q2 | 51% |
| Oregon State Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 51% |
| Washington State vs. Oregon State: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 51% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 51% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 51% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 51% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 51% |
| Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 33.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 27.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 30.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 33.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Washington State O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| Washington State O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Washington State O/U 32.5 | 50% |
| Oregon State O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| Oregon State O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Oregon State O/U 32.5 | 50% |
| Washington State 1H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Washington State 1H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Washington State 1H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Washington State 2H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Washington State 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Oregon State 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Oregon State 2H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Oregon State 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q1 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q4 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q3 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q2 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q4 | 50% |
| Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown | 50% |
| Game Goes to Overtime | 50% |
| Pick-Six Scored | 50% |
| Washington State vs. Oregon State: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Washington State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Washington State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Washington State vs. Oregon State: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Washington State vs. Oregon State: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Washington State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Oregon State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Oregon State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Oregon State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Oregon State Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Washington State Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Washington State Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Oregon State Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Oregon State Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Washington State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Washington State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Oregon State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Oregon State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Washington State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Oregon State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Washington State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Washington State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Washington State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Oregon State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Oregon State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Oregon State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Washington State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Washington State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Washington State Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Oregon State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Washington State Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Washington State Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Oregon State Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Washington State Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Oregon State Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Washington State Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Washington State Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Oregon State Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Oregon State Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Oregon State Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Oregon State Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Washington State Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Washington State Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Washington State Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Oregon State Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Oregon State Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Washington State vs. Oregon State: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Washington State vs. Oregon State: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Spread -15.5 | 50% |
| Spread -26.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -11.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -11.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| Oregon State O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Washington State O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| 1H Moneyline | 50% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| Washington State O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Washington State Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 49% |
| Oregon State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 49% |
| 1H O/U 30.5 | 48% |
| Spread -31.5 | 47% |
| Spread -32.5 | 46% |
| O/U 61.5 | 45% |
| O/U 63.5 | 43% |
| Spread -34.5 | 41% |
| 2Q Spread -6.5 | 39% |
| Spread -35.5 | 37% |
| Washington State O/U 20.5 | 33% |
| Spread -38.5 | 32% |
| O/U 65.5 | 31% |
| O/U 67.5 | 28% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 27% |
| O/U 69.5 | 26% |
| O/U 71.5 | 25% |
| 4Q Spread -7.5 | 25% |
| 3Q O/U 16.5 | 24% |
| 4Q O/U 16.5 | 24% |
| O/U 73.5 | 23% |
| O/U 75.5 | 23% |
| 4Q O/U 19.5 | 22% |
| Washington State O/U 23.5 | 20% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 19% |
| 3Q O/U 19.5 | 18% |
| 1Q O/U 19.5 | 10% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q1 | 10% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 10% |
| Washington State vs. Oregon State | 4% |
| Spread -2.5 | 4% |
| Spread -13.5 | 3% |
| Spread -10.5 | 3% |
| Spread -7.5 | 3% |
| Spread -6.5 | 3% |
| Spread -5.5 | 3% |
| Spread -3.5 | 3% |
| Spread -1.5 | 3% |
| Spread -4.5 | 2% |
Market context
Market consensus: 100% chance of washington state vs. oregon state. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. In the upcoming college football game between Washington State and Oregon State, scheduled for October 17 at 6:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Washington State" if Washington…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $127K.
Methodology
This page compares Washington State vs. Oregon State specifically across Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets. The live probability is the Polymarket mid; the comparison columns summarise each venue's fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Robinhood Prediction Markets, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Settlement is the biggest difference between the four platforms: Polymarket on-chain in USDC (instant), Kalshi USD via CFTC (T+1), Betfair and Smarkets in local currency via bank withdrawal (T+1 to T+3). On-chain settlement clears in minutes — the fastest payout path of the four.
FAQ
- Polymarket vs Kalshi — which is better?
- Depends on your location. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated, US-only with full KYC. Polymarket is global, on-chain, no KYC up to $1,500. Polymarket has ~10x higher liquidity but higher regulatory risk.
- Is Betfair a Polymarket alternative?
- Only partially. Betfair Exchange is UK-focused with a sports-betting emphasis; they have politics markets but with thinner liquidity than Polymarket. Settlement in GBP/EUR, 2-5% commission on winnings.
- What about Smarkets as an alternative?
- Smarkets is a UK betting exchange with a lower default commission (2%) than Betfair. Liquidity on political markets is below Polymarket, comparable to Kalshi. Geo-blocked in many jurisdictions.
- Which platform is accessible globally?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Kalshi is US-only. Betfair and Smarkets are UK-restricted. Robinhood Prediction Markets has a different geo footprint and routes to Polymarket's order book at 0% fees.
- Are all these platforms regulated?
- No. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated (US). Betfair and Smarkets are UK Gambling Commission licensed. Polymarket operates without explicit regulation — a different risk profile than a regulated sportsbook.
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