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Wisconsin vs. Penn State

Polymarket vs Kalshi vs Betfair vs Smarkets for "Wisconsin vs. Penn State" — live odds, fees and KYC side-by-side.

1H Spread -2.5 100% 1H Spread -4.5 100% 1H Spread -5.5 100% 1H Spread -6.5 100% Volume: $386K Liquidity: $221K Closes: 26 Sept 2026
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Wisconsin vs. Penn State

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Robinhood Prediction Markets) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Go to the live market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Go to the live market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Go to the live market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Go to the live market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Go to the live market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
1H Spread -2.5100%
1H Spread -4.5100%
1H Spread -5.5100%
1H Spread -6.5100%
1H Spread -7.5100%
1H Spread -9.5100%
1H O/U 17.5100%
1H O/U 20.5100%
1H O/U 23.5100%
1Q Spread -0.5100%
1Q Spread -1.5100%
1Q Spread -2.5100%
2Q Spread -0.5100%
2Q Spread -2.5100%
2Q Spread -3.5100%
2Q Spread -4.5100%
2Q Spread -5.5100%
2Q O/U 7.5100%
2Q O/U 10.5100%
2Q O/U 13.5100%
2Q O/U 16.5100%
2Q O/U 19.5100%
Wisconsin 1H O/U 6.5100%
Penn State 1H O/U 12.5100%
Penn State 1H O/U 14.5100%
Penn State 1H O/U 16.5100%
2Q Spread -1.5100%
Both Teams to Score Points - Q2100%
O/U 28.597%
O/U 24.591%
O/U 26.591%
O/U 34.590%
Spread -4.581%
Spread -2.577%
Spread -3.577%
Spread -5.577%
O/U 30.572%
Penn State O/U 27.572%
O/U 32.571%
O/U 36.570%
O/U 40.570%
Penn State O/U 30.569%
O/U 38.568%
Spread -1.566%
Spread -6.566%
3Q Spread -3.564%
Spread -7.563%
O/U 42.561%
Spread -9.556%
Spread -12.555%
Spread -8.553%
O/U 44.551%
Spread -0.550%
Spread -26.550%
2H Spread -2.550%
2H Spread -4.550%
2H Spread -5.550%
2H Spread -6.550%
2H Spread -7.550%
2H Spread -9.550%
2H O/U 16.550%
2H O/U 19.550%
2H O/U 22.550%
2H O/U 25.550%
2H O/U 28.550%
3Q Spread -1.550%
3Q Spread -0.550%
3Q Spread -5.550%
3Q O/U 3.550%
3Q O/U 6.550%
3Q O/U 9.550%
3Q O/U 12.550%
3Q O/U 15.550%
4Q Spread -1.550%
4Q Spread -0.550%
4Q Spread -1.550%
4Q Spread -2.550%
4Q Spread -3.550%
4Q Spread -5.550%
4Q O/U 4.550%
4Q O/U 7.550%
4Q O/U 16.550%
Wisconsin O/U 11.550%
Wisconsin O/U 14.550%
Penn State O/U 21.550%
Penn State O/U 24.550%
Penn State O/U 33.550%
Wisconsin 2H O/U 6.550%
Wisconsin 2H O/U 8.550%
Wisconsin 2H O/U 10.550%
Penn State 2H O/U 11.550%
Penn State 2H O/U 13.550%
Penn State 2H O/U 15.550%
2H Spread -0.550%
2H Spread -3.550%
2H Moneyline50%
Penn State O/U 3.550%
Wisconsin O/U 1.550%
3Q Moneyline50%
4Q Moneyline50%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H50%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H50%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown50%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q250%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q450%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q150%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q350%
Both Teams to Score Points - Q450%
Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown50%
Both Teams to Score Points - Q350%
Game Goes to Overtime50%
Wisconsin vs. Penn State: Total Touchdowns O/U 4.550%
Pick-Six Scored50%
Wisconsin vs. Penn State: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.550%
Wisconsin vs. Penn State: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.550%
Wisconsin Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.550%
Wisconsin Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.550%
Penn State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.550%
Penn State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.550%
Penn State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.550%
Wisconsin Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.550%
Wisconsin Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.550%
Penn State Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.550%
Wisconsin Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.550%
Wisconsin Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.550%
Wisconsin Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.550%
Penn State Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.550%
Penn State Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.550%
Wisconsin Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.550%
Wisconsin Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.550%
Wisconsin Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.550%
Penn State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.550%
Penn State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.550%
Penn State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.550%
Wisconsin Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.550%
Penn State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.550%
Wisconsin Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.550%
Penn State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.550%
Wisconsin 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.550%
Wisconsin 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.550%
Penn State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.550%
Wisconsin Field Goals Made: O/U 0.550%
Penn State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.550%
Penn State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.550%
Wisconsin Field Goals Made: O/U 1.550%
Wisconsin Field Goals Made: O/U 2.550%
Penn State Field Goals Made: O/U 0.550%
Penn State Field Goals Made: O/U 2.550%
Wisconsin Total Receptions: O/U 14.550%
Penn State Field Goals Made: O/U 1.550%
Wisconsin Total Receptions: O/U 19.550%
Wisconsin Total Receptions: O/U 24.550%
Penn State Total Receptions: O/U 14.550%
Penn State Total Receptions: O/U 19.550%
Penn State Total Receptions: O/U 24.550%
Penn State Total First Downs: O/U 19.550%
Wisconsin Total First Downs: O/U 21.550%
Wisconsin Total First Downs: O/U 19.550%
Wisconsin Total First Downs: O/U 23.550%
Penn State Total First Downs: O/U 21.550%
Penn State Total First Downs: O/U 23.550%
Wisconsin vs. Penn State: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.550%
Wisconsin vs. Penn State: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.550%
Wisconsin vs. Penn State: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.550%
Spread -10.547%
O/U 46.547%
Spread -11.545%
4Q O/U 13.545%
Spread -10.544%
Spread -13.544%
Wisconsin O/U 17.544%
O/U 48.543%
O/U 50.541%
3Q Spread -2.539%
Spread -18.538%
Spread -20.538%
O/U 54.538%
3Q Spread -1.538%
Spread -14.536%
O/U 56.536%
O/U 60.535%
Spread -16.531%
Spread -17.531%
Spread -23.531%
Wisconsin O/U 20.530%
4Q O/U 10.529%
Spread -15.528%
O/U 62.528%
O/U 52.526%
Wisconsin O/U 23.523%
Spread -24.521%
Spread -27.513%
Wisconsin vs. Penn State11%
O/U 58.511%
Spread -30.59%
Spread -3.56%
Spread -4.55%
O/U 64.55%
Spread -7.53%
Spread -6.53%
1H O/U 26.50%
1H O/U 29.50%
1Q Spread -1.50%
1Q Spread -3.50%
1Q Spread -5.50%
1Q O/U 3.50%
1Q O/U 6.50%
1Q O/U 9.50%
1Q O/U 12.50%
1Q O/U 15.50%
2Q Spread -7.50%
Wisconsin 1H O/U 8.50%
Wisconsin 1H O/U 10.50%
2Q Spread -1.50%
1H Moneyline0%
1Q Moneyline0%
2Q Moneyline0%
Both Teams to Score Points - Q10%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, wisconsin vs. penn state stands at 100% likelihood according to current market consensus. In the upcoming college football game between Wisconsin and Penn State, scheduled for September 26 at 5:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Wisconsin" if Wisconsin win the game. …

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices 1H Spread -2.5 at 100% for "Wisconsin vs. Penn State".

1H Spread -2.5 100% Other 0%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $386K.

Methodology

This page compares Wisconsin vs. Penn State specifically across Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets. The live probability is the Polymarket mid; the comparison columns summarise each venue's fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Robinhood Prediction Markets, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket settles via UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, the two-hour window runs, then the smart contract pays USDC.

Kalshi settles USD through the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse — the cleanest variant, with heavier KYC. Betfair Exchange settles in account currency (GBP/EUR), net of 2-5% commission. Smarkets follows the same model as Betfair with a lower default 2% commission.

FAQ

Polymarket vs Kalshi — which is better?
Depends on your location. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated, US-only with full KYC. Polymarket is global, on-chain, no KYC up to $1,500. Polymarket has ~10x higher liquidity but higher regulatory risk.
Is Betfair a Polymarket alternative?
Only partially. Betfair Exchange is UK-focused with a sports-betting emphasis; they have politics markets but with thinner liquidity than Polymarket. Settlement in GBP/EUR, 2-5% commission on winnings.
What about Smarkets as an alternative?
Smarkets is a UK betting exchange with a lower default commission (2%) than Betfair. Liquidity on political markets is below Polymarket, comparable to Kalshi. Geo-blocked in many jurisdictions.
Which platform is accessible globally?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Kalshi is US-only. Betfair and Smarkets are UK-restricted. Robinhood Prediction Markets has a different geo footprint and routes to Polymarket's order book at 0% fees.
Which platform supports Klarna/SOFORT?
Directly: none. Polymarket accepts only USDC on Polygon. Robinhood Prediction Markets offers a fiat on-ramp via Klarna or SOFORT (DE/AT/CH) and converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. T+1 processing.
Alex ChenAlex ChenPrediction Market AnalystandJordan LeeJordan LeeSports Prediction Reporter

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