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Jeju SK FC vs. Bayern Munich - More Markets

Polymarket vs Kalshi vs Betfair vs Smarkets for "Jeju SK FC vs. Bayern Munich - More Markets" — live odds, fees and KYC side-by-side.

O/U 0.5 99% O/U 1.5 96% 1st Half O/U 0.5 89% O/U 2.5 87% Volume: $135K Liquidity: $218K Closes: 4 Aug 2026
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Jeju SK FC vs. Bayern Munich - More Markets

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Robinhood Prediction Markets) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
99% 1% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Go to the live market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
99% 1% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Go to the live market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Go to the live market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Go to the live market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Go to the live market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 0.599%
O/U 1.596%
1st Half O/U 0.589%
O/U 2.587%
Bayern Munich 1st Half O/U 0.584%
Bayern Munich O/U 2.576%
Bayern Munich (-1.5)74%
2nd Half O/U 1.574%
O/U 3.572%
2nd Half O/U 0.571%
1st Half O/U 1.565%
Jeju SK FC O/U 0.564%
Bayern Munich 2nd Half O/U 1.564%
Both Teams to Score59%
Bayern Munich (-2.5)56%
Bayern Munich 1st Half O/U 1.555%
Bayern Munich 2nd Half O/U 0.554%
Bayern Munich O/U 0.553%
O/U 4.552%
Bayern Munich O/U 1.551%
Jeju SK FC 1st Half O/U 1.550%
Both Teams to Score in Second Half50%
Jeju SK FC 2nd Half O/U 1.550%
2nd Half O/U 2.549%
Jeju SK FC 2nd Half O/U 0.543%
1st Half O/U 2.538%
Bayern Munich (-3.5)38%
O/U 5.534%
Jeju SK FC 1st Half O/U 0.534%
Both Teams to Score in First Half28%
Jeju SK FC O/U 1.524%
Jeju SK FC O/U 2.58%
Jeju SK FC (-1.5)2%
Jeju SK FC (-2.5)1%

Market context

The Jeju SK FC vs. Bayern Munich - More Markets prediction market currently prices this outcome at 99% YES. More markets for the Club Friendlies game, scheduled for August 4 at 7:00 AM ET.

Methodology

We read Jeju SK FC vs. Bayern Munich - More Markets from four platform perspectives: Polymarket (on-chain CLOB), Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), Betfair Exchange (sports book exchange), Smarkets (peer-to-peer betting exchange). Polymarket's live mid is the canonical probability; the side-by-side columns benchmark fees, KYC, settlement currency and deposit rails so you can choose the venue that fits your jurisdiction and trade size.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket settles via UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, the two-hour window runs, then the smart contract pays USDC.

Kalshi settles USD through the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse — the cleanest variant, with heavier KYC. Betfair Exchange settles in account currency (GBP/EUR), net of 2-5% commission. Smarkets follows the same model as Betfair with a lower default 2% commission.

FAQ

What does Polymarket cost vs Kalshi?
Polymarket: 0% fees, only Polygon network costs (~$0.01/trade). Kalshi: up to 7% per trade plus spread. For high-frequency traders, Polymarket is dramatically cheaper.
Which platform has the deepest liquidity?
Polymarket — by a wide margin. Top markets reach $50-500M volume, Kalshi ~$200M cumulative, Betfair similar. Deeper liquidity means your trade moves the quote less.
Is Betfair a Polymarket alternative?
Only partially. Betfair Exchange is UK-focused with a sports-betting emphasis; they have politics markets but with thinner liquidity than Polymarket. Settlement in GBP/EUR, 2-5% commission on winnings.
Are all these platforms regulated?
No. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated (US). Betfair and Smarkets are UK Gambling Commission licensed. Polymarket operates without explicit regulation — a different risk profile than a regulated sportsbook.
Which platform supports Klarna/SOFORT?
Directly: none. Polymarket accepts only USDC on Polygon. Robinhood Prediction Markets offers a fiat on-ramp via Klarna or SOFORT (DE/AT/CH) and converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. T+1 processing.
and

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Related Topics

Sports