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Counter-Strike: BIG Academy vs ex-MANA eSports (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In Group B

Which venue prices "Counter-Strike: BIG Academy vs ex-MANA eSports (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In Group B" best? Direct comparison of Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair and Smarkets.

Map 1 Winner 100% Map 2 Winner 100% Match Winner 100% Map Handicap: BIG.A (-1.5) vs ex-MANA eSports (+1.5) 100% Volume: $106K Closes: 14 Jul 2026
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Counter-Strike: BIG Academy vs ex-MANA eSports (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In Group B

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Robinhood Prediction Markets) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Go to the live market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Go to the live market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Go to the live market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Go to the live market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Go to the live market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 1 Winner100%
Map 2 Winner100%
Match Winner100%
Map Handicap: BIG.A (-1.5) vs ex-MANA eSports (+1.5)100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: BIG Academy (-3.5) vs ex-MANA eSports (+3.5)100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: BIG Academy (-6.5) vs ex-MANA eSports (+6.5)100%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: BIG Academy (-3.5) vs ex-MANA eSports (+3.5)50%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
O/U 2.5 Games0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: BIG Academy (-3.5) vs ex-MANA eSports (+3.5)0%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.50%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: BIG Academy (-6.5) vs ex-MANA eSports (+6.5)0%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.50%

Market context

The Counter-Strike: BIG Academy vs ex-MANA eSports (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In Group B prediction market currently prices this outcome at 100% YES. This market refers to the Counter-Strike Winners match between BIG Academy and ex-MANA eSports in the NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In Group B, initially scheduled for July 14 at 10:00AM ET. This market …

Methodology

This page compares Counter-Strike: BIG Academy vs ex-MANA eSports (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In Group B specifically across Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets. The live probability is the Polymarket mid; the comparison columns summarise each venue's fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Robinhood Prediction Markets, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement is the biggest difference between the four platforms: Polymarket on-chain in USDC (instant), Kalshi USD via CFTC (T+1), Betfair and Smarkets in local currency via bank withdrawal (T+1 to T+3). On-chain settlement clears in minutes — the fastest payout path of the four.

FAQ

What does Polymarket cost vs Kalshi?
Polymarket: 0% fees, only Polygon network costs (~$0.01/trade). Kalshi: up to 7% per trade plus spread. For high-frequency traders, Polymarket is dramatically cheaper.
Is Betfair a Polymarket alternative?
Only partially. Betfair Exchange is UK-focused with a sports-betting emphasis; they have politics markets but with thinner liquidity than Polymarket. Settlement in GBP/EUR, 2-5% commission on winnings.
What about Smarkets as an alternative?
Smarkets is a UK betting exchange with a lower default commission (2%) than Betfair. Liquidity on political markets is below Polymarket, comparable to Kalshi. Geo-blocked in many jurisdictions.
Are all these platforms regulated?
No. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated (US). Betfair and Smarkets are UK Gambling Commission licensed. Polymarket operates without explicit regulation — a different risk profile than a regulated sportsbook.
Which platform supports Klarna/SOFORT?
Directly: none. Polymarket accepts only USDC on Polygon. Robinhood Prediction Markets offers a fiat on-ramp via Klarna or SOFORT (DE/AT/CH) and converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. T+1 processing.
and

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