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Counter-Strike: SAW Youngsters vs Misa Esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #5 Play-In

Which venue prices "Counter-Strike: SAW Youngsters vs Misa Esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #5 Play-In" best? Direct comparison of Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair and Smarkets.

Map 1 Winner 100% Map 2 Winner 100% Match Winner 100% Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 100% Volume: $299K Closes: 20 Jul 2026
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Counter-Strike: SAW Youngsters vs Misa Esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #5 Play-In

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Robinhood Prediction Markets) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Go to the live market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Go to the live market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Go to the live market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Go to the live market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Go to the live market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 1 Winner100%
Map 2 Winner100%
Match Winner100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5100%
Map Handicap: SAW.Y (-1.5) vs Misa Esports (+1.5)100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: SAW Youngsters (-3.5) vs Misa Esports (+3.5)100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: SAW Youngsters (-6.5) vs Misa Esports (+6.5)100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: SAW Youngsters (-9.5) vs Misa Esports (+9.5)100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 27.5100%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
O/U 2.5 Games0%
Map Handicap: MISA (-1.5) vs SAW Youngsters (+1.5)0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.50%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Misa Esports (-3.5) vs SAW Youngsters (+3.5)0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.50%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.50%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: SAW Youngsters (-6.5) vs Misa Esports (+6.5)0%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 33.50%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, counter-strike: saw youngsters vs misa esports (bo3) - cct europe closed qualifier: series #5 play-in stands at 100% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the Counter-Strike match between SAW Youngsters and Misa Esports in the CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #5 Play-In, initially scheduled for July 20 at 10:…

Methodology

This page compares Counter-Strike: SAW Youngsters vs Misa Esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #5 Play-In specifically across Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets. The live probability is the Polymarket mid; the comparison columns summarise each venue's fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Robinhood Prediction Markets, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket settles via UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, the two-hour window runs, then the smart contract pays USDC.

Kalshi settles USD through the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse — the cleanest variant, with heavier KYC. Betfair Exchange settles in account currency (GBP/EUR), net of 2-5% commission. Smarkets follows the same model as Betfair with a lower default 2% commission.

FAQ

What does Polymarket cost vs Kalshi?
Polymarket: 0% fees, only Polygon network costs (~$0.01/trade). Kalshi: up to 7% per trade plus spread. For high-frequency traders, Polymarket is dramatically cheaper.
Which platform has the deepest liquidity?
Polymarket — by a wide margin. Top markets reach $50-500M volume, Kalshi ~$200M cumulative, Betfair similar. Deeper liquidity means your trade moves the quote less.
Is Betfair a Polymarket alternative?
Only partially. Betfair Exchange is UK-focused with a sports-betting emphasis; they have politics markets but with thinner liquidity than Polymarket. Settlement in GBP/EUR, 2-5% commission on winnings.
What about Smarkets as an alternative?
Smarkets is a UK betting exchange with a lower default commission (2%) than Betfair. Liquidity on political markets is below Polymarket, comparable to Kalshi. Geo-blocked in many jurisdictions.
Are all these platforms regulated?
No. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated (US). Betfair and Smarkets are UK Gambling Commission licensed. Polymarket operates without explicit regulation — a different risk profile than a regulated sportsbook.
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