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Counter-Strike: The Last Resort vs QUAZAR (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #1 Group B

Which venue prices "Counter-Strike: The Last Resort vs QUAZAR (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #1 Group B" best? Direct comparison of Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair and Smarkets.

Map 2 Winner 100% O/U 2.5 Games 100% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5 100% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 15.5 100% Volume: $142K Liquidity: $710K Closes: 13 Jul 2026
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Counter-Strike: The Last Resort vs QUAZAR (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #1 Group B

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Robinhood Prediction Markets) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Go to the live market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Go to the live market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Go to the live market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Go to the live market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Go to the live market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 2 Winner100%
O/U 2.5 Games100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 15.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.590%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: The Last Resort (-3.5) vs QUAZAR (+3.5)90%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: The Last Resort (-6.5) vs QUAZAR (+6.5)90%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: QUAZAR (-3.5) vs The Last Resort (+3.5)90%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: QUAZAR (-6.5) vs The Last Resort (+6.5)90%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.510%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.510%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.510%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: QUAZAR (-3.5) vs The Last Resort (+3.5)10%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: QUAZAR (-12.5) vs The Last Resort (+12.5)10%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: QUAZAR (-9.5) vs The Last Resort (+9.5)10%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: QUAZAR (-3.5) vs The Last Resort (+3.5)10%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: The Last Resort (-9.5) vs QUAZAR (+9.5)10%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.510%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.510%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: QUAZAR (-9.5) vs The Last Resort (+9.5)10%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: The Last Resort (-3.5) vs QUAZAR (+3.5)2%
Map 1 Winner0%
Match Winner0%
Map Handicap: QUA (-1.5) vs The Last Resort (+1.5)0%
Map Handicap: TLR (-1.5) vs QUAZAR (+1.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: The Last Resort (-3.5) vs QUAZAR (+3.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: QUAZAR (-6.5) vs The Last Resort (+6.5)0%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.50%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.50%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, counter-strike: the last resort vs quazar (bo3) - esl challenger league europe cup #1 group b stands at 100% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the Counter-Strike Decider match between The Last Resort and QUAZAR in the ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #1 Group B, initially scheduled for July 13 at 9:0…

Methodology

This page compares Counter-Strike: The Last Resort vs QUAZAR (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #1 Group B specifically across Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets. The live probability is the Polymarket mid; the comparison columns summarise each venue's fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Robinhood Prediction Markets, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement is the biggest difference between the four platforms: Polymarket on-chain in USDC (instant), Kalshi USD via CFTC (T+1), Betfair and Smarkets in local currency via bank withdrawal (T+1 to T+3). On-chain settlement clears in minutes — the fastest payout path of the four.

FAQ

Polymarket vs Kalshi — which is better?
Depends on your location. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated, US-only with full KYC. Polymarket is global, on-chain, no KYC up to $1,500. Polymarket has ~10x higher liquidity but higher regulatory risk.
Which platform has the deepest liquidity?
Polymarket — by a wide margin. Top markets reach $50-500M volume, Kalshi ~$200M cumulative, Betfair similar. Deeper liquidity means your trade moves the quote less.
What about Smarkets as an alternative?
Smarkets is a UK betting exchange with a lower default commission (2%) than Betfair. Liquidity on political markets is below Polymarket, comparable to Kalshi. Geo-blocked in many jurisdictions.
Are all these platforms regulated?
No. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated (US). Betfair and Smarkets are UK Gambling Commission licensed. Polymarket operates without explicit regulation — a different risk profile than a regulated sportsbook.
Which platform supports Klarna/SOFORT?
Directly: none. Polymarket accepts only USDC on Polygon. Robinhood Prediction Markets offers a fiat on-ramp via Klarna or SOFORT (DE/AT/CH) and converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. T+1 processing.
and

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