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Dota 2: Level UP vs Team AION (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group B

Cross-platform snapshot for "Dota 2: Level UP vs Team AION (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group B": deepest order book, lowest fee, geo-coverage at a glance.

Game 1 Winner 100% Match Winner 100% O/U 2.5 Games 100% Any Player Ultra Kill 100% Volume: $183K Liquidity: $434K Closes: 24 Jul 2026
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Dota 2: Level UP vs Team AION (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group B

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Robinhood Prediction Markets) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Go to the live market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Go to the live market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Go to the live market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Go to the live market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Go to the live market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Game 1 Winner100%
Match Winner100%
O/U 2.5 Games100%
Any Player Ultra Kill100%
Both Teams Beat Roshan90%
Ends in Daytime90%
Any Player Ultra Kill90%
Any Player Rampage10%
Both Teams Beat Roshan10%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks10%
Any Player Rampage10%
Ends in Daytime1%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks1%
Game 2 Winner0%
Game Handicap: LVLUP (-1.5) vs Team AION (+1.5)0%
Ends in Daytime0%
Both Teams Beat Roshan0%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks0%
Any Player Ultra Kill0%
Any Player Rampage0%

Market context

Market consensus: 100% chance of dota 2: level up vs team aion (bo3) - epl masters play-in group b. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the Dota 2 match between Level UP and Team AION in the EPL Masters Play-In Group B, initially scheduled for July 23 at 12:00PM ET. This market will resolve t…

Methodology

We read Dota 2: Level UP vs Team AION (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group B from four platform perspectives: Polymarket (on-chain CLOB), Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), Betfair Exchange (sports book exchange), Smarkets (peer-to-peer betting exchange). Polymarket's live mid is the canonical probability; the side-by-side columns benchmark fees, KYC, settlement currency and deposit rails so you can choose the venue that fits your jurisdiction and trade size.

Resolution & payout

Settlement is the biggest difference between the four platforms: Polymarket on-chain in USDC (instant), Kalshi USD via CFTC (T+1), Betfair and Smarkets in local currency via bank withdrawal (T+1 to T+3). On-chain settlement clears in minutes — the fastest payout path of the four.

FAQ

Polymarket vs Kalshi — which is better?
Depends on your location. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated, US-only with full KYC. Polymarket is global, on-chain, no KYC up to $1,500. Polymarket has ~10x higher liquidity but higher regulatory risk.
What does Polymarket cost vs Kalshi?
Polymarket: 0% fees, only Polygon network costs (~$0.01/trade). Kalshi: up to 7% per trade plus spread. For high-frequency traders, Polymarket is dramatically cheaper.
Which platform has the deepest liquidity?
Polymarket — by a wide margin. Top markets reach $50-500M volume, Kalshi ~$200M cumulative, Betfair similar. Deeper liquidity means your trade moves the quote less.
What about Smarkets as an alternative?
Smarkets is a UK betting exchange with a lower default commission (2%) than Betfair. Liquidity on political markets is below Polymarket, comparable to Kalshi. Geo-blocked in many jurisdictions.
Which platform supports Klarna/SOFORT?
Directly: none. Polymarket accepts only USDC on Polygon. Robinhood Prediction Markets offers a fiat on-ramp via Klarna or SOFORT (DE/AT/CH) and converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. T+1 processing.
and

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