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Canada vs. Morocco - Player Props

Cross-platform snapshot for "Canada vs. Morocco - Player Props": deepest order book, lowest fee, geo-coverage at a glance.

Tani Oluwaseyi: 1+ shots 100% Tani Oluwaseyi: 2+ shots 100% Jonathan David: 1+ shots 99% Soufiane Rahimi: 1+ shots 95% Volume: $256K Liquidity: $522K Closes: 4 Jul 2026
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Canada vs. Morocco - Player Props

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Robinhood Prediction Markets) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Go to the live market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Go to the live market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Go to the live market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Go to the live market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Go to the live market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Tani Oluwaseyi: 1+ shots100%
Tani Oluwaseyi: 2+ shots100%
Jonathan David: 1+ shots99%
Soufiane Rahimi: 1+ shots95%
Yassine Bounou: 2+ saves76%
Brahim Díaz: 1+ shots75%
Jonathan David: 2+ shots69%
Soufiane Rahimi: 2+ shots on target60%
Jonathan David: 3+ shots59%
Brahim Díaz: 3+ shots53%
Ayoub El Kaabi: 1+ shots52%
Ayoub El Kaabi: 2+ shots52%
Cyle Larin: 1+ shots52%
Promise David: 1+ shots52%
Promise David: 3+ shots52%
Ayoub El Kaabi: 1+ goals51%
Ayoub El Kaabi: 1+ assists51%
Ayoub El Kaabi: 3+ shots50%
Ayoub El Kaabi: 4+ shots50%
Ayoub El Kaabi: 5+ shots50%
Brahim Díaz: 2+ shots50%
Brahim Díaz: 4+ shots50%
Brahim Díaz: 5+ shots50%
Cyle Larin: 2+ shots50%
Cyle Larin: 3+ shots50%
Cyle Larin: 4+ shots50%
Cyle Larin: 5+ shots50%
Jonathan David: 4+ shots50%
Jonathan David: 5+ shots50%
Promise David: 2+ shots50%
Promise David: 4+ shots50%
Promise David: 5+ shots50%
Soufiane Rahimi: 2+ shots50%
Soufiane Rahimi: 3+ shots50%
Soufiane Rahimi: 4+ shots50%
Soufiane Rahimi: 5+ shots50%
Tani Oluwaseyi: 3+ shots50%
Tani Oluwaseyi: 4+ shots50%
Ayoub El Kaabi: 1+ shots on target50%
Ayoub El Kaabi: 2+ shots on target50%
Ayoub El Kaabi: 3+ shots on target50%
Ayoub El Kaabi: 4+ shots on target50%
Brahim Díaz: 1+ shots on target50%
Brahim Díaz: 2+ shots on target50%
Brahim Díaz: 3+ shots on target50%
Cyle Larin: 1+ shots on target50%
Cyle Larin: 2+ shots on target50%
Cyle Larin: 3+ shots on target50%
Ismael Saibari: 1+ shots on target50%
Ismael Saibari: 2+ shots on target50%
Ismael Saibari: 3+ shots on target50%
Ismael Saibari: 4+ shots on target50%
Jonathan David: 1+ shots on target50%
Jonathan David: 2+ shots on target50%
Jonathan David: 3+ shots on target50%
Promise David: 1+ shots on target50%
Promise David: 2+ shots on target50%
Promise David: 3+ shots on target50%
Soufiane Rahimi: 1+ shots on target50%
Soufiane Rahimi: 3+ shots on target50%
Soufiane Rahimi: 4+ shots on target50%
Tani Oluwaseyi: 1+ shots on target50%
Tani Oluwaseyi: 2+ shots on target50%
Tani Oluwaseyi: 3+ shots on target50%
Dayne St. Clair: 2+ saves50%
Dayne St. Clair: 3+ saves50%
Dayne St. Clair: 4+ saves50%
Dayne St. Clair: 5+ saves50%
Yassine Bounou: 3+ saves50%
Yassine Bounou: 4+ saves50%
Yassine Bounou: 5+ saves50%
Ayoub El Kaabi: 1+ goals + assists50%
Ayoub El Kaabi: 2+ goals + assists50%
Ayoub El Kaabi: 3+ goals + assists50%
Ayoub El Kaabi: 4+ goals + assists50%
Brahim Díaz: 2+ goals + assists50%
Brahim Díaz: 3+ goals + assists50%
Cyle Larin: 1+ goals + assists50%
Cyle Larin: 2+ goals + assists50%
Cyle Larin: 3+ goals + assists50%
Cyle Larin: 4+ goals + assists50%
Ismael Saibari: 1+ goals + assists50%
Ismael Saibari: 2+ goals + assists50%
Ismael Saibari: 3+ goals + assists50%
Ismael Saibari: 4+ goals + assists50%
Jonathan David: 1+ goals + assists50%
Jonathan David: 2+ goals + assists50%
Jonathan David: 3+ goals + assists50%
Tani Oluwaseyi: 1+ goals + assists50%
Tani Oluwaseyi: 2+ goals + assists50%
Tani Oluwaseyi: 3+ goals + assists50%
Tani Oluwaseyi: 4+ goals + assists50%
Tani Oluwaseyi: 5+ shots50%
Brahim Díaz: 4+ goals + assists49%
Jonathan David: 4+ goals + assists49%
Brahim Díaz: 1+ goals + assists46%
Soufiane Rahimi: 1+ goals24%
Ismael Saibari: 1+ shots20%
Brahim Díaz: 1+ goals17%
Jonathan David: 1+ goals17%
Cyle Larin: 1+ assists17%
Tani Oluwaseyi: 1+ goals14%
Brahim Díaz: 3+ goals13%
Cyle Larin: 3+ goals13%
Jonathan David: 3+ goals13%
Promise David: 2+ goals13%
Soufiane Rahimi: 2+ goals13%
Soufiane Rahimi: 3+ goals13%
Tani Oluwaseyi: 3+ goals13%
Ayoub El Kaabi: 2+ assists13%
Brahim Díaz: 2+ assists13%
Cyle Larin: 2+ assists13%
Jonathan David: 2+ assists13%
Tani Oluwaseyi: 2+ assists13%
Promise David: 1+ goals11%
Jonathan David: 1+ assists11%
Brahim Díaz: 1+ assists10%
Cyle Larin: 1+ goals9%
Ayoub El Kaabi: 2+ goals8%
Promise David: 3+ goals8%
Tani Oluwaseyi: 1+ assists8%
Ayoub El Kaabi: 3+ goals7%
Brahim Díaz: 2+ goals2%
Cyle Larin: 2+ goals2%
Jonathan David: 2+ goals2%
Tani Oluwaseyi: 2+ goals2%
Ismael Saibari: 1+ goals0%
Ismael Saibari: 2+ goals0%
Ismael Saibari: 3+ goals0%
Ismael Saibari: 2+ shots0%
Ismael Saibari: 3+ shots0%
Ismael Saibari: 4+ shots0%
Ismael Saibari: 5+ shots0%
Ismael Saibari: 1+ assists0%
Ismael Saibari: 2+ assists0%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, canada vs. morocco - player props stands at 100% likelihood according to current market consensus. Player prop markets for the FIFA World Cup game between Canada and Morocco, scheduled for July 4 at 1:00 PM ET.

Methodology

We read Canada vs. Morocco - Player Props from four platform perspectives: Polymarket (on-chain CLOB), Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), Betfair Exchange (sports book exchange), Smarkets (peer-to-peer betting exchange). Polymarket's live mid is the canonical probability; the side-by-side columns benchmark fees, KYC, settlement currency and deposit rails so you can choose the venue that fits your jurisdiction and trade size.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket settles via UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, the two-hour window runs, then the smart contract pays USDC.

Kalshi settles USD through the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse — the cleanest variant, with heavier KYC. Betfair Exchange settles in account currency (GBP/EUR), net of 2-5% commission. Smarkets follows the same model as Betfair with a lower default 2% commission.

FAQ

Polymarket vs Kalshi — which is better?
Depends on your location. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated, US-only with full KYC. Polymarket is global, on-chain, no KYC up to $1,500. Polymarket has ~10x higher liquidity but higher regulatory risk.
Which platform has the deepest liquidity?
Polymarket — by a wide margin. Top markets reach $50-500M volume, Kalshi ~$200M cumulative, Betfair similar. Deeper liquidity means your trade moves the quote less.
What about Smarkets as an alternative?
Smarkets is a UK betting exchange with a lower default commission (2%) than Betfair. Liquidity on political markets is below Polymarket, comparable to Kalshi. Geo-blocked in many jurisdictions.
Which platform is accessible globally?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Kalshi is US-only. Betfair and Smarkets are UK-restricted. Robinhood Prediction Markets has a different geo footprint and routes to Polymarket's order book at 0% fees.
Are all these platforms regulated?
No. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated (US). Betfair and Smarkets are UK Gambling Commission licensed. Polymarket operates without explicit regulation — a different risk profile than a regulated sportsbook.
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Sports