Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Robinhood Prediction Markets) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
83% | 17% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Go to the live market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
83% | 17% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Go to the live market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Go to the live market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Go to the live market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Go to the live market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Total Corners: O/U 6.5 | 83% |
| Norway Corners: O/U 3.5 | 78% |
| Côte d'Ivoire Corners: O/U 2.5 | 73% |
| Total Corners: O/U 7.5 | 72% |
| 2nd Half Total Corners: O/U 3.5 | 71% |
| 1st Half Total Corners: O/U 3.5 | 60% |
| Norway Corners: O/U 4.5 | 60% |
| Total Corners: O/U 8.5 | 56% |
| Côte d'Ivoire Corners: O/U 3.5 | 55% |
| 2nd Half Total Corners: O/U 4.5 | 52% |
| Total Corners: Odd or Even | 50% |
| Total Corners: O/U 9.5 | 45% |
| 1st Half Total Corners: O/U 4.5 | 44% |
| Norway Corners: O/U 5.5 | 44% |
| 2nd Half Total Corners: O/U 5.5 | 41% |
| Team to Take First Corner | 40% |
| Côte d'Ivoire Corners: O/U 4.5 | 38% |
| Total Corners: O/U 10.5 | 35% |
| 1st Half Total Corners: O/U 5.5 | 28% |
| Total Corners: O/U 11.5 | 24% |
| Total Corners: O/U 12.5 | 18% |
Market context
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway - Total Corners — current market-implied probability: 83%. Total corners markets for the FIFA World Cup game between Côte d'Ivoire and Norway, scheduled for June 30 at 1:00 PM ET.
Methodology
We read Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway - Total Corners from four platform perspectives: Polymarket (on-chain CLOB), Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), Betfair Exchange (sports book exchange), Smarkets (peer-to-peer betting exchange). Polymarket's live mid is the canonical probability; the side-by-side columns benchmark fees, KYC, settlement currency and deposit rails so you can choose the venue that fits your jurisdiction and trade size.
Resolution & payout
Settlement is the biggest difference between the four platforms: Polymarket on-chain in USDC (instant), Kalshi USD via CFTC (T+1), Betfair and Smarkets in local currency via bank withdrawal (T+1 to T+3). On-chain settlement clears in minutes — the fastest payout path of the four.
FAQ
- Which platform has the deepest liquidity?
- Polymarket — by a wide margin. Top markets reach $50-500M volume, Kalshi ~$200M cumulative, Betfair similar. Deeper liquidity means your trade moves the quote less.
- Is Betfair a Polymarket alternative?
- Only partially. Betfair Exchange is UK-focused with a sports-betting emphasis; they have politics markets but with thinner liquidity than Polymarket. Settlement in GBP/EUR, 2-5% commission on winnings.
- What about Smarkets as an alternative?
- Smarkets is a UK betting exchange with a lower default commission (2%) than Betfair. Liquidity on political markets is below Polymarket, comparable to Kalshi. Geo-blocked in many jurisdictions.
- Which platform is accessible globally?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Kalshi is US-only. Betfair and Smarkets are UK-restricted. Robinhood Prediction Markets has a different geo footprint and routes to Polymarket's order book at 0% fees.
- Which platform supports Klarna/SOFORT?
- Directly: none. Polymarket accepts only USDC on Polygon. Robinhood Prediction Markets offers a fiat on-ramp via Klarna or SOFORT (DE/AT/CH) and converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. T+1 processing.
Trade Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway - Total Corners on Robinhood Prediction Markets
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