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Norway vs. England - More Markets

Which venue prices "Norway vs. England - More Markets" best? Direct comparison of Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair and Smarkets.

O/U 0.5 93% England O/U 0.5 85% O/U 1.5 78% 2nd Half O/U 0.5 76% Volume: $144K Liquidity: $1.5M Closes: 11 Jul 2026
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Norway vs. England - More Markets

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Robinhood Prediction Markets) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
93% 7% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Go to the live market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
93% 7% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Go to the live market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Go to the live market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Go to the live market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Go to the live market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 0.593%
England O/U 0.585%
O/U 1.578%
2nd Half O/U 0.576%
1st Half O/U 0.568%
Norway O/U 0.567%
Both Teams to Score56%
O/U 2.554%
England O/U 1.553%
England 1st Half O/U 0.550%
Norway 2nd Half O/U 0.550%
Norway 2nd Half O/U 1.550%
England 2nd Half O/U 0.550%
England 2nd Half O/U 1.550%
Norway 1st Half O/U 1.549%
England 1st Half O/U 1.547%
2nd Half O/U 1.546%
Team to Advance36%
Norway 1st Half O/U 0.534%
Both Teams to Score in Second Half32%
O/U 3.531%
1st Half O/U 1.531%
Norway O/U 1.531%
England (-1.5)28%
Will the Match Go to Extra Time?27%
England O/U 2.526%
2nd Half O/U 2.522%
Both Teams to Score in First Half19%
Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?19%
O/U 4.516%
England (-2.5)12%
1st Half O/U 2.511%
Norway O/U 2.510%
Norway (-1.5)9%
O/U 5.58%
England (-3.5)6%
England (-4.5)6%
O/U 6.56%
O/U 8.56%
Norway (-2.5)3%
Norway (-3.5)3%
Norway (-4.5)1%
Norway (-5.5)1%
England (-5.5)1%
O/U 7.51%

Market context

The Norway vs. England - More Markets prediction market currently prices this outcome at 93% YES. More markets for the FIFA World Cup game, scheduled for July 11 at 5:00 PM ET.

Methodology

This page compares Norway vs. England - More Markets specifically across Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets. The live probability is the Polymarket mid; the comparison columns summarise each venue's fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Robinhood Prediction Markets, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement is the biggest difference between the four platforms: Polymarket on-chain in USDC (instant), Kalshi USD via CFTC (T+1), Betfair and Smarkets in local currency via bank withdrawal (T+1 to T+3). On-chain settlement clears in minutes — the fastest payout path of the four.

FAQ

Which platform has the deepest liquidity?
Polymarket — by a wide margin. Top markets reach $50-500M volume, Kalshi ~$200M cumulative, Betfair similar. Deeper liquidity means your trade moves the quote less.
Is Betfair a Polymarket alternative?
Only partially. Betfair Exchange is UK-focused with a sports-betting emphasis; they have politics markets but with thinner liquidity than Polymarket. Settlement in GBP/EUR, 2-5% commission on winnings.
What about Smarkets as an alternative?
Smarkets is a UK betting exchange with a lower default commission (2%) than Betfair. Liquidity on political markets is below Polymarket, comparable to Kalshi. Geo-blocked in many jurisdictions.
Which platform is accessible globally?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Kalshi is US-only. Betfair and Smarkets are UK-restricted. Robinhood Prediction Markets has a different geo footprint and routes to Polymarket's order book at 0% fees.
Are all these platforms regulated?
No. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated (US). Betfair and Smarkets are UK Gambling Commission licensed. Polymarket operates without explicit regulation — a different risk profile than a regulated sportsbook.
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Related Topics

Sports