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Curitiba: Felipe Meligeni Alves vs Carlos Maria Zarate

Polymarket vs Kalshi vs Betfair vs Smarkets for "Curitiba: Felipe Meligeni Alves vs Carlos Maria Zarate" — live odds, fees and KYC side-by-side.

Curitiba: Felipe Meligeni Alves vs Carlos Maria Zarate 100% Completed Match 100% Curitiba: Felipe Meligeni Alves vs Carlos Maria Zarate Set 1 Winner 100% Curitiba: Felipe Meligeni Alves vs Carlos Maria Zarate Set 2 Winner 100% Volume: $101K Closes: 5 Oct 2026
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Curitiba: Felipe Meligeni Alves vs Carlos Maria Zarate

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Robinhood Prediction Markets) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Go to the live market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Go to the live market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
— — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Go to the live market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
— — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Go to the live market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
— — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Go to the live market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Curitiba: Felipe Meligeni Alves vs Carlos Maria Zarate100%
Completed Match100%
Curitiba: Felipe Meligeni Alves vs Carlos Maria Zarate Set 1 Winner100%
Curitiba: Felipe Meligeni Alves vs Carlos Maria Zarate Set 2 Winner100%
Curitiba: Felipe Meligeni Alves vs Carlos Maria Zarate Set 1 O/U 8.5100%
Curitiba: Felipe Meligeni Alves vs Carlos Maria Zarate Set 1 O/U 9.5100%
Curitiba: Felipe Meligeni Alves vs Carlos Maria Zarate Set Handicap +/-1.5100%
Curitiba: Felipe Meligeni Alves vs Carlos Maria Zarate Game Spread +/-3.5100%
Curitiba: Felipe Meligeni Alves vs Carlos Maria Zarate Total Sets: O/U 2.50%
Curitiba: Felipe Meligeni Alves vs Carlos Maria Zarate Set 1 O/U 10.50%
Curitiba: Felipe Meligeni Alves vs Carlos Maria Zarate Set 2 O/U 8.50%
Curitiba: Felipe Meligeni Alves vs Carlos Maria Zarate Set 2 O/U 9.50%
Curitiba: Felipe Meligeni Alves vs Carlos Maria Zarate Set 2 O/U 10.50%
Curitiba: Felipe Meligeni Alves vs Carlos Maria Zarate Match O/U 21.50%
Curitiba: Felipe Meligeni Alves vs Carlos Maria Zarate Match O/U 22.50%
Curitiba: Felipe Meligeni Alves vs Carlos Maria Zarate Match O/U 23.50%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 100% YES probability for Curitiba: Felipe Meligeni Alves vs Carlos Maria Zarate. This market refers to the tennis match between Felipe Meligeni Alves and Carlos Maria Zarate in the Curitiba, originally scheduled for September 28, 2026 at 9:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Fe…

Methodology

This page compares Curitiba: Felipe Meligeni Alves vs Carlos Maria Zarate specifically across Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets. The live probability is the Polymarket mid; the comparison columns summarise each venue's fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Robinhood Prediction Markets, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement is the biggest difference between the four platforms: Polymarket on-chain in USDC (instant), Kalshi USD via CFTC (T+1), Betfair and Smarkets in local currency via bank withdrawal (T+1 to T+3). On-chain settlement clears in minutes — the fastest payout path of the four.

FAQ

Polymarket vs Kalshi — which is better?
Depends on your location. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated, US-only with full KYC. Polymarket is global, on-chain, no KYC up to $1,500. Polymarket has ~10x higher liquidity but higher regulatory risk.
What does Polymarket cost vs Kalshi?
Polymarket: 0% fees, only Polygon network costs (~$0.01/trade). Kalshi: up to 7% per trade plus spread. For high-frequency traders, Polymarket is dramatically cheaper.
Is Betfair a Polymarket alternative?
Only partially. Betfair Exchange is UK-focused with a sports-betting emphasis; they have politics markets but with thinner liquidity than Polymarket. Settlement in GBP/EUR, 2-5% commission on winnings.
Which platform is accessible globally?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Kalshi is US-only. Betfair and Smarkets are UK-restricted. Robinhood Prediction Markets has a different geo footprint and routes to Polymarket's order book at 0% fees.
Which platform supports Klarna/SOFORT?
Directly: none. Polymarket accepts only USDC on Polygon. Robinhood Prediction Markets offers a fiat on-ramp via Klarna or SOFORT (DE/AT/CH) and converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. T+1 processing.
and

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Related Topics

Tennis Prediction Markets