🎁 New traders: 100% Deposit Match up to $500 · 0% fees · instant USDC payoutsClaim it →
Skip to main content
HomeGuideCryptoMarketsBlogGo to the live market →

US Open ATP: Tomas Etcheverry vs Jacob Fearnley

Which venue prices "US Open ATP: Tomas Etcheverry vs Jacob Fearnley" best? Direct comparison of Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair and Smarkets.

US Open ATP: Tomas Etcheverry vs Jacob Fearnley Set 1 Winner 100% US Open ATP: Tomas Etcheverry vs Jacob Fearnley Set 2 O/U 8.5 100% US Open ATP: Tomas Etcheverry vs Jacob Fearnley Set 1 O/U 8.5 100% US Open ATP: Tomas Etcheverry vs Jacob Fearnley Set 2 Winner 97% Volume: $124K Liquidity: $23K Closes: 9 Sept 2026
Open live market →
US Open ATP: Tomas Etcheverry vs Jacob Fearnley

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Robinhood Prediction Markets) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Go to the live market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Go to the live market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Go to the live market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Go to the live market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Go to the live market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
US Open ATP: Tomas Etcheverry vs Jacob Fearnley Set 1 Winner100%
US Open ATP: Tomas Etcheverry vs Jacob Fearnley Set 2 O/U 8.5100%
US Open ATP: Tomas Etcheverry vs Jacob Fearnley Set 1 O/U 8.5100%
US Open ATP: Tomas Etcheverry vs Jacob Fearnley Set 2 Winner97%
US Open ATP: Tomas Etcheverry vs Jacob Fearnley91%
US Open ATP: Tomas Etcheverry vs Jacob Fearnley Set 3 Winner67%
Completed Match50%
US Open ATP: Tomas Etcheverry vs Jacob Fearnley Match O/U 36.550%
US Open ATP: Tomas Etcheverry vs Jacob Fearnley Set Handicap +/-1.550%
US Open ATP: Tomas Etcheverry vs Jacob Fearnley Set 2 O/U 9.550%
US Open ATP: Tomas Etcheverry vs Jacob Fearnley Set 4 Winner50%
US Open ATP: Tomas Etcheverry vs Jacob Fearnley Match O/U 40.550%
US Open ATP: Tomas Etcheverry vs Jacob Fearnley Set 2 O/U 10.550%
US Open ATP: Tomas Etcheverry vs Jacob Fearnley Set 3 O/U 8.550%
US Open ATP: Tomas Etcheverry vs Jacob Fearnley Set 3 O/U 9.550%
US Open ATP: Tomas Etcheverry vs Jacob Fearnley Set 3 O/U 10.550%
US Open ATP: Tomas Etcheverry vs Jacob Fearnley Set 4 O/U 8.550%
US Open ATP: Tomas Etcheverry vs Jacob Fearnley Set 4 O/U 9.550%
US Open ATP: Tomas Etcheverry vs Jacob Fearnley Set 4 O/U 10.550%
US Open ATP: Tomas Etcheverry vs Jacob Fearnley Game Spread +/-0.550%
US Open ATP: Tomas Etcheverry vs Jacob Fearnley Match O/U 38.532%
US Open ATP: Tomas Etcheverry vs Jacob Fearnley Total Sets: O/U 3.524%
US Open ATP: Tomas Etcheverry vs Jacob Fearnley Total Sets: O/U 4.519%
US Open ATP: Tomas Etcheverry vs Jacob Fearnley Set 1 O/U 9.50%
US Open ATP: Tomas Etcheverry vs Jacob Fearnley Set Handicap +/-2.50%
US Open ATP: Tomas Etcheverry vs Jacob Fearnley Set 1 O/U 10.50%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 100% YES probability for US Open ATP: Tomas Etcheverry vs Jacob Fearnley. This market refers to the tennis match between Tomas Etcheverry and Jacob Fearnley in the US Open ATP, originally scheduled for September 2, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Tomas Etc…

Methodology

This page compares US Open ATP: Tomas Etcheverry vs Jacob Fearnley specifically across Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets. The live probability is the Polymarket mid; the comparison columns summarise each venue's fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Robinhood Prediction Markets, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement is the biggest difference between the four platforms: Polymarket on-chain in USDC (instant), Kalshi USD via CFTC (T+1), Betfair and Smarkets in local currency via bank withdrawal (T+1 to T+3). On-chain settlement clears in minutes — the fastest payout path of the four.

FAQ

What does Polymarket cost vs Kalshi?
Polymarket: 0% fees, only Polygon network costs (~$0.01/trade). Kalshi: up to 7% per trade plus spread. For high-frequency traders, Polymarket is dramatically cheaper.
Is Betfair a Polymarket alternative?
Only partially. Betfair Exchange is UK-focused with a sports-betting emphasis; they have politics markets but with thinner liquidity than Polymarket. Settlement in GBP/EUR, 2-5% commission on winnings.
What about Smarkets as an alternative?
Smarkets is a UK betting exchange with a lower default commission (2%) than Betfair. Liquidity on political markets is below Polymarket, comparable to Kalshi. Geo-blocked in many jurisdictions.
Which platform is accessible globally?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Kalshi is US-only. Betfair and Smarkets are UK-restricted. Robinhood Prediction Markets has a different geo footprint and routes to Polymarket's order book at 0% fees.
Which platform supports Klarna/SOFORT?
Directly: none. Polymarket accepts only USDC on Polygon. Robinhood Prediction Markets offers a fiat on-ramp via Klarna or SOFORT (DE/AT/CH) and converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. T+1 processing.
and

Trade US Open ATP: Tomas Etcheverry vs Jacob Fearnley on Robinhood Prediction Markets

Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

Open live market →

Related Topics

Tennis Prediction Markets