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Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Hugo Gaston vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaer

Polymarket vs Kalshi vs Betfair vs Smarkets for "Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Hugo Gaston vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaer" — live odds, fees and KYC side-by-side.

Completed Match 100% Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Hugo Gaston vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaer Set 2 Winner 100% Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Hugo Gaston vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaer Set 2 O/U 8.5 100% Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Hugo Gaston vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaer Total Sets: O/U 2.5 100% Volume: $169K Closes: 18 Aug 2026
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Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Hugo Gaston vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaer

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Robinhood Prediction Markets) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Go to the live market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Go to the live market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Go to the live market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Go to the live market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Go to the live market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Completed Match100%
Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Hugo Gaston vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaer Set 2 Winner100%
Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Hugo Gaston vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaer Set 2 O/U 8.5100%
Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Hugo Gaston vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaer Total Sets: O/U 2.5100%
Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Hugo Gaston vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaer Match O/U 21.5100%
Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Hugo Gaston vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaer Match O/U 22.5100%
Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Hugo Gaston vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaer Match O/U 23.5100%
Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Hugo Gaston vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaer0%
Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Hugo Gaston vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaer Set 1 O/U 8.50%
Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Hugo Gaston vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaer Set 1 Winner0%
Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Hugo Gaston vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaer Set Handicap +/-1.50%
Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Hugo Gaston vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaer Set 1 O/U 9.50%
Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Hugo Gaston vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaer Set 2 O/U 9.50%
Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Hugo Gaston vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaer Set 1 O/U 10.50%
Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Hugo Gaston vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaer Set 2 O/U 10.50%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to cincinnati open, qualification: hugo gaston vs nicolai budkov kjaer. This market refers to the tennis match between Hugo Gaston and Nicolai Budkov Kjaer in the Cincinnati Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for August 11, 2026 at 3:00PM ET. This market will reso…

Methodology

We read Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Hugo Gaston vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaer from four platform perspectives: Polymarket (on-chain CLOB), Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), Betfair Exchange (sports book exchange), Smarkets (peer-to-peer betting exchange). Polymarket's live mid is the canonical probability; the side-by-side columns benchmark fees, KYC, settlement currency and deposit rails so you can choose the venue that fits your jurisdiction and trade size.

Resolution & payout

Settlement is the biggest difference between the four platforms: Polymarket on-chain in USDC (instant), Kalshi USD via CFTC (T+1), Betfair and Smarkets in local currency via bank withdrawal (T+1 to T+3). On-chain settlement clears in minutes — the fastest payout path of the four.

FAQ

Polymarket vs Kalshi — which is better?
Depends on your location. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated, US-only with full KYC. Polymarket is global, on-chain, no KYC up to $1,500. Polymarket has ~10x higher liquidity but higher regulatory risk.
What does Polymarket cost vs Kalshi?
Polymarket: 0% fees, only Polygon network costs (~$0.01/trade). Kalshi: up to 7% per trade plus spread. For high-frequency traders, Polymarket is dramatically cheaper.
Which platform has the deepest liquidity?
Polymarket — by a wide margin. Top markets reach $50-500M volume, Kalshi ~$200M cumulative, Betfair similar. Deeper liquidity means your trade moves the quote less.
What about Smarkets as an alternative?
Smarkets is a UK betting exchange with a lower default commission (2%) than Betfair. Liquidity on political markets is below Polymarket, comparable to Kalshi. Geo-blocked in many jurisdictions.
Which platform supports Klarna/SOFORT?
Directly: none. Polymarket accepts only USDC on Polygon. Robinhood Prediction Markets offers a fiat on-ramp via Klarna or SOFORT (DE/AT/CH) and converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. T+1 processing.
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Related Topics

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