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Generali Open: Yannick Hanfmann vs Sebastian Baez

Polymarket vs Kalshi vs Betfair vs Smarkets for "Generali Open: Yannick Hanfmann vs Sebastian Baez" — live odds, fees and KYC side-by-side.

Generali Open: Yannick Hanfmann vs Sebastian Baez Set 1 O/U 8.5 66% Generali Open: Yannick Hanfmann vs Sebastian Baez Set 2 O/U 10.5 63% Generali Open: Yannick Hanfmann vs Sebastian Baez Match O/U 21.5 62% Generali Open: Yannick Hanfmann vs Sebastian Baez 55% Volume: $58K Liquidity: $119K Closes: 31 Jul 2026
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Generali Open: Yannick Hanfmann vs Sebastian Baez

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Robinhood Prediction Markets) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
66% 34% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Go to the live market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
66% 34% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Go to the live market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Go to the live market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Go to the live market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Go to the live market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Generali Open: Yannick Hanfmann vs Sebastian Baez Set 1 O/U 8.566%
Generali Open: Yannick Hanfmann vs Sebastian Baez Set 2 O/U 10.563%
Generali Open: Yannick Hanfmann vs Sebastian Baez Match O/U 21.562%
Generali Open: Yannick Hanfmann vs Sebastian Baez55%
Generali Open: Yannick Hanfmann vs Sebastian Baez Match O/U 22.555%
Generali Open: Yannick Hanfmann vs Sebastian Baez Set 1 O/U 9.555%
Generali Open: Yannick Hanfmann vs Sebastian Baez Set 2 Winner54%
Generali Open: Yannick Hanfmann vs Sebastian Baez Set 1 Winner54%
Completed Match50%
Generali Open: Yannick Hanfmann vs Sebastian Baez Match O/U 23.549%
Generali Open: Yannick Hanfmann vs Sebastian Baez Set 2 O/U 9.548%
Generali Open: Yannick Hanfmann vs Sebastian Baez Set 2 O/U 8.547%
Generali Open: Yannick Hanfmann vs Sebastian Baez Total Sets: O/U 2.545%
Generali Open: Yannick Hanfmann vs Sebastian Baez Set 1 O/U 10.539%
Generali Open: Yannick Hanfmann vs Sebastian Baez Set Handicap +/-1.532%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 66% probability to generali open: yannick hanfmann vs sebastian baez. This market refers to the tennis match between Yannick Hanfmann and Sebastian Baez in the Generali Open, originally scheduled for July 24, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Yannick Hanf…

Methodology

This page compares Generali Open: Yannick Hanfmann vs Sebastian Baez specifically across Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets. The live probability is the Polymarket mid; the comparison columns summarise each venue's fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Robinhood Prediction Markets, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement is the biggest difference between the four platforms: Polymarket on-chain in USDC (instant), Kalshi USD via CFTC (T+1), Betfair and Smarkets in local currency via bank withdrawal (T+1 to T+3). On-chain settlement clears in minutes — the fastest payout path of the four.

FAQ

Polymarket vs Kalshi — which is better?
Depends on your location. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated, US-only with full KYC. Polymarket is global, on-chain, no KYC up to $1,500. Polymarket has ~10x higher liquidity but higher regulatory risk.
What does Polymarket cost vs Kalshi?
Polymarket: 0% fees, only Polygon network costs (~$0.01/trade). Kalshi: up to 7% per trade plus spread. For high-frequency traders, Polymarket is dramatically cheaper.
Which platform has the deepest liquidity?
Polymarket — by a wide margin. Top markets reach $50-500M volume, Kalshi ~$200M cumulative, Betfair similar. Deeper liquidity means your trade moves the quote less.
Is Betfair a Polymarket alternative?
Only partially. Betfair Exchange is UK-focused with a sports-betting emphasis; they have politics markets but with thinner liquidity than Polymarket. Settlement in GBP/EUR, 2-5% commission on winnings.
Which platform supports Klarna/SOFORT?
Directly: none. Polymarket accepts only USDC on Polygon. Robinhood Prediction Markets offers a fiat on-ramp via Klarna or SOFORT (DE/AT/CH) and converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. T+1 processing.
and

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