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Generali Open: Mariano Navone vs Quentin Halys

Which venue prices "Generali Open: Mariano Navone vs Quentin Halys" best? Direct comparison of Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair and Smarkets.

Generali Open: Mariano Navone vs Quentin Halys 67% Generali Open: Mariano Navone vs Quentin Halys Set 1 O/U 8.5 66% Generali Open: Mariano Navone vs Quentin Halys Set 1 Winner 61% Generali Open: Mariano Navone vs Quentin Halys Set 2 O/U 10.5 61% Volume: $114K Liquidity: $180K Closes: 31 Jul 2026
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Generali Open: Mariano Navone vs Quentin Halys

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Robinhood Prediction Markets) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
67% 33% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Go to the live market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
67% 33% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Go to the live market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Go to the live market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Go to the live market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Go to the live market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Generali Open: Mariano Navone vs Quentin Halys67%
Generali Open: Mariano Navone vs Quentin Halys Set 1 O/U 8.566%
Generali Open: Mariano Navone vs Quentin Halys Set 1 Winner61%
Generali Open: Mariano Navone vs Quentin Halys Set 2 O/U 10.561%
Generali Open: Mariano Navone vs Quentin Halys Match O/U 21.556%
Generali Open: Mariano Navone vs Quentin Halys Set 1 O/U 9.553%
Generali Open: Mariano Navone vs Quentin Halys Set 2 Winner51%
Generali Open: Mariano Navone vs Quentin Halys Set 2 O/U 9.551%
Completed Match50%
Generali Open: Mariano Navone vs Quentin Halys Match O/U 22.549%
Generali Open: Mariano Navone vs Quentin Halys Set Handicap +/-1.544%
Generali Open: Mariano Navone vs Quentin Halys Set 2 O/U 8.544%
Generali Open: Mariano Navone vs Quentin Halys Match O/U 23.544%
Generali Open: Mariano Navone vs Quentin Halys Total Sets: O/U 2.540%
Generali Open: Mariano Navone vs Quentin Halys Set 1 O/U 10.538%

Market context

Market consensus: 67% chance of generali open: mariano navone vs quentin halys. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the tennis match between Mariano Navone and Quentin Halys in the Generali Open, originally scheduled for July 24, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve…

Methodology

We read Generali Open: Mariano Navone vs Quentin Halys from four platform perspectives: Polymarket (on-chain CLOB), Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), Betfair Exchange (sports book exchange), Smarkets (peer-to-peer betting exchange). Polymarket's live mid is the canonical probability; the side-by-side columns benchmark fees, KYC, settlement currency and deposit rails so you can choose the venue that fits your jurisdiction and trade size.

Resolution & payout

Settlement is the biggest difference between the four platforms: Polymarket on-chain in USDC (instant), Kalshi USD via CFTC (T+1), Betfair and Smarkets in local currency via bank withdrawal (T+1 to T+3). On-chain settlement clears in minutes — the fastest payout path of the four.

FAQ

Polymarket vs Kalshi — which is better?
Depends on your location. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated, US-only with full KYC. Polymarket is global, on-chain, no KYC up to $1,500. Polymarket has ~10x higher liquidity but higher regulatory risk.
What does Polymarket cost vs Kalshi?
Polymarket: 0% fees, only Polygon network costs (~$0.01/trade). Kalshi: up to 7% per trade plus spread. For high-frequency traders, Polymarket is dramatically cheaper.
What about Smarkets as an alternative?
Smarkets is a UK betting exchange with a lower default commission (2%) than Betfair. Liquidity on political markets is below Polymarket, comparable to Kalshi. Geo-blocked in many jurisdictions.
Are all these platforms regulated?
No. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated (US). Betfair and Smarkets are UK Gambling Commission licensed. Polymarket operates without explicit regulation — a different risk profile than a regulated sportsbook.
Which platform supports Klarna/SOFORT?
Directly: none. Polymarket accepts only USDC on Polygon. Robinhood Prediction Markets offers a fiat on-ramp via Klarna or SOFORT (DE/AT/CH) and converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. T+1 processing.
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Related Topics

Tennis Prediction Markets