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Manacor: Luca Potenza vs Inaki Montes

Cross-platform snapshot for "Manacor: Luca Potenza vs Inaki Montes": deepest order book, lowest fee, geo-coverage at a glance.

Completed Match 100% Manacor: Luca Potenza vs Inaki Montes Set 1 Winner 100% Manacor: Luca Potenza vs Inaki Montes Total Sets: O/U 2.5 100% Manacor: Luca Potenza vs Inaki Montes Set 2 O/U 8.5 100% Volume: $254K Liquidity: $575K Closes: 12 Sept 2026
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Manacor: Luca Potenza vs Inaki Montes

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Robinhood Prediction Markets) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Go to the live market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Go to the live market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Go to the live market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Go to the live market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Go to the live market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Completed Match100%
Manacor: Luca Potenza vs Inaki Montes Set 1 Winner100%
Manacor: Luca Potenza vs Inaki Montes Total Sets: O/U 2.5100%
Manacor: Luca Potenza vs Inaki Montes Set 2 O/U 8.5100%
Manacor: Luca Potenza vs Inaki Montes Match O/U 21.5100%
Manacor: Luca Potenza vs Inaki Montes Set 2 O/U 9.5100%
Manacor: Luca Potenza vs Inaki Montes Match O/U 22.5100%
Manacor: Luca Potenza vs Inaki Montes Set 2 O/U 10.5100%
Manacor: Luca Potenza vs Inaki Montes Match O/U 23.5100%
Manacor: Luca Potenza vs Inaki Montes0%
Manacor: Luca Potenza vs Inaki Montes Set 2 Winner0%
Manacor: Luca Potenza vs Inaki Montes Set 1 O/U 8.50%
Manacor: Luca Potenza vs Inaki Montes Set Handicap +/-1.50%
Manacor: Luca Potenza vs Inaki Montes Set 1 O/U 9.50%
Manacor: Luca Potenza vs Inaki Montes Set Handicap +/-1.50%
Manacor: Luca Potenza vs Inaki Montes Set 1 O/U 10.50%

Market context

Market consensus: 100% chance of manacor: luca potenza vs inaki montes. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the tennis match between Luca Potenza and Inaki Montes in the Manacor, originally scheduled for September 5, 2026 at 10:45AM ET. This market will resolve to …

Methodology

This page compares Manacor: Luca Potenza vs Inaki Montes specifically across Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets. The live probability is the Polymarket mid; the comparison columns summarise each venue's fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Robinhood Prediction Markets, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket settles via UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, the two-hour window runs, then the smart contract pays USDC.

Kalshi settles USD through the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse — the cleanest variant, with heavier KYC. Betfair Exchange settles in account currency (GBP/EUR), net of 2-5% commission. Smarkets follows the same model as Betfair with a lower default 2% commission.

FAQ

Polymarket vs Kalshi — which is better?
Depends on your location. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated, US-only with full KYC. Polymarket is global, on-chain, no KYC up to $1,500. Polymarket has ~10x higher liquidity but higher regulatory risk.
What does Polymarket cost vs Kalshi?
Polymarket: 0% fees, only Polygon network costs (~$0.01/trade). Kalshi: up to 7% per trade plus spread. For high-frequency traders, Polymarket is dramatically cheaper.
Which platform has the deepest liquidity?
Polymarket — by a wide margin. Top markets reach $50-500M volume, Kalshi ~$200M cumulative, Betfair similar. Deeper liquidity means your trade moves the quote less.
What about Smarkets as an alternative?
Smarkets is a UK betting exchange with a lower default commission (2%) than Betfair. Liquidity on political markets is below Polymarket, comparable to Kalshi. Geo-blocked in many jurisdictions.
Which platform is accessible globally?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Kalshi is US-only. Betfair and Smarkets are UK-restricted. Robinhood Prediction Markets has a different geo footprint and routes to Polymarket's order book at 0% fees.
and

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Related Topics

Tennis Prediction Markets