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Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Tallon Griekspoor

Polymarket vs Kalshi vs Betfair vs Smarkets for "Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Tallon Griekspoor" — live odds, fees and KYC side-by-side.

Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Tallon Griekspoor Set 1 O/U 8.5 70% Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Tallon Griekspoor Match O/U 21.5 66% Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Tallon Griekspoor Set 2 O/U 10.5 64% Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Tallon Griekspoor Match O/U 22.5 56% Volume: $113K Liquidity: $362K Closes: 3 Aug 2026
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Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Tallon Griekspoor

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Robinhood Prediction Markets) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
70% 30% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Go to the live market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
70% 30% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Go to the live market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Go to the live market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Go to the live market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Go to the live market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Tallon Griekspoor Set 1 O/U 8.570%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Tallon Griekspoor Match O/U 21.566%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Tallon Griekspoor Set 2 O/U 10.564%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Tallon Griekspoor Match O/U 22.556%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Tallon Griekspoor Set 1 O/U 9.556%
Completed Match50%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Tallon Griekspoor Match O/U 23.548%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Tallon Griekspoor Set 1 Winner46%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Tallon Griekspoor Set 2 O/U 8.546%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Tallon Griekspoor Set 2 Winner46%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Tallon Griekspoor42%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Tallon Griekspoor Total Sets: O/U 2.542%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Tallon Griekspoor Set 2 O/U 9.536%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Tallon Griekspoor Set Handicap +/-1.535%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Tallon Griekspoor Set 1 O/U 10.535%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Tallon Griekspoor Set Handicap +/-1.526%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 70% probability to mubadala citi dc open: alejandro tabilo vs tallon griekspoor. This market refers to the tennis match between Alejandro Tabilo and Tallon Griekspoor in the Mubadala Citi DC Open, originally scheduled for July 27, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to '…

Methodology

We read Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Tallon Griekspoor from four platform perspectives: Polymarket (on-chain CLOB), Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), Betfair Exchange (sports book exchange), Smarkets (peer-to-peer betting exchange). Polymarket's live mid is the canonical probability; the side-by-side columns benchmark fees, KYC, settlement currency and deposit rails so you can choose the venue that fits your jurisdiction and trade size.

Resolution & payout

Settlement is the biggest difference between the four platforms: Polymarket on-chain in USDC (instant), Kalshi USD via CFTC (T+1), Betfair and Smarkets in local currency via bank withdrawal (T+1 to T+3). On-chain settlement clears in minutes — the fastest payout path of the four.

FAQ

Polymarket vs Kalshi — which is better?
Depends on your location. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated, US-only with full KYC. Polymarket is global, on-chain, no KYC up to $1,500. Polymarket has ~10x higher liquidity but higher regulatory risk.
What does Polymarket cost vs Kalshi?
Polymarket: 0% fees, only Polygon network costs (~$0.01/trade). Kalshi: up to 7% per trade plus spread. For high-frequency traders, Polymarket is dramatically cheaper.
Is Betfair a Polymarket alternative?
Only partially. Betfair Exchange is UK-focused with a sports-betting emphasis; they have politics markets but with thinner liquidity than Polymarket. Settlement in GBP/EUR, 2-5% commission on winnings.
Which platform is accessible globally?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Kalshi is US-only. Betfair and Smarkets are UK-restricted. Robinhood Prediction Markets has a different geo footprint and routes to Polymarket's order book at 0% fees.
Are all these platforms regulated?
No. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated (US). Betfair and Smarkets are UK Gambling Commission licensed. Polymarket operates without explicit regulation — a different risk profile than a regulated sportsbook.
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Related Topics

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