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Los Cabos Open, Qualification: Miguel Tobon vs Bernard Tomic

Which venue prices "Los Cabos Open, Qualification: Miguel Tobon vs Bernard Tomic" best? Direct comparison of Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair and Smarkets.

Completed Match 100% Los Cabos Open, Qualification: Miguel Tobon vs Bernard Tomic Total Sets: O/U 2.5 100% Los Cabos Open, Qualification: Miguel Tobon vs Bernard Tomic Set 1 Winner 100% Los Cabos Open, Qualification: Miguel Tobon vs Bernard Tomic Set 2 O/U 8.5 100% Volume: $387K Closes: 2 Aug 2026
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Los Cabos Open, Qualification: Miguel Tobon vs Bernard Tomic

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Robinhood Prediction Markets) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Go to the live market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Go to the live market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Go to the live market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Go to the live market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Go to the live market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Completed Match100%
Los Cabos Open, Qualification: Miguel Tobon vs Bernard Tomic Total Sets: O/U 2.5100%
Los Cabos Open, Qualification: Miguel Tobon vs Bernard Tomic Set 1 Winner100%
Los Cabos Open, Qualification: Miguel Tobon vs Bernard Tomic Set 2 O/U 8.5100%
Los Cabos Open, Qualification: Miguel Tobon vs Bernard Tomic Match O/U 21.5100%
Los Cabos Open, Qualification: Miguel Tobon vs Bernard Tomic Set 1 O/U 8.5100%
Los Cabos Open, Qualification: Miguel Tobon vs Bernard Tomic Set 2 O/U 9.5100%
Los Cabos Open, Qualification: Miguel Tobon vs Bernard Tomic Set 1 O/U 9.5100%
Los Cabos Open, Qualification: Miguel Tobon vs Bernard Tomic Match O/U 22.5100%
Los Cabos Open, Qualification: Miguel Tobon vs Bernard Tomic Match O/U 23.5100%
Los Cabos Open, Qualification: Miguel Tobon vs Bernard Tomic Set 1 O/U 10.5100%
Los Cabos Open, Qualification: Miguel Tobon vs Bernard Tomic0%
Los Cabos Open, Qualification: Miguel Tobon vs Bernard Tomic Set 2 Winner0%
Los Cabos Open, Qualification: Miguel Tobon vs Bernard Tomic Set Handicap +/-1.50%
Los Cabos Open, Qualification: Miguel Tobon vs Bernard Tomic Set 2 O/U 10.50%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to los cabos open, qualification: miguel tobon vs bernard tomic. This market refers to the tennis match between Miguel Tobon and Bernard Tomic in the Los Cabos Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for July 25, 2026 at 9:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'M…

Methodology

We read Los Cabos Open, Qualification: Miguel Tobon vs Bernard Tomic from four platform perspectives: Polymarket (on-chain CLOB), Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), Betfair Exchange (sports book exchange), Smarkets (peer-to-peer betting exchange). Polymarket's live mid is the canonical probability; the side-by-side columns benchmark fees, KYC, settlement currency and deposit rails so you can choose the venue that fits your jurisdiction and trade size.

Resolution & payout

Settlement is the biggest difference between the four platforms: Polymarket on-chain in USDC (instant), Kalshi USD via CFTC (T+1), Betfair and Smarkets in local currency via bank withdrawal (T+1 to T+3). On-chain settlement clears in minutes — the fastest payout path of the four.

FAQ

Polymarket vs Kalshi — which is better?
Depends on your location. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated, US-only with full KYC. Polymarket is global, on-chain, no KYC up to $1,500. Polymarket has ~10x higher liquidity but higher regulatory risk.
Which platform has the deepest liquidity?
Polymarket — by a wide margin. Top markets reach $50-500M volume, Kalshi ~$200M cumulative, Betfair similar. Deeper liquidity means your trade moves the quote less.
Is Betfair a Polymarket alternative?
Only partially. Betfair Exchange is UK-focused with a sports-betting emphasis; they have politics markets but with thinner liquidity than Polymarket. Settlement in GBP/EUR, 2-5% commission on winnings.
What about Smarkets as an alternative?
Smarkets is a UK betting exchange with a lower default commission (2%) than Betfair. Liquidity on political markets is below Polymarket, comparable to Kalshi. Geo-blocked in many jurisdictions.
Which platform supports Klarna/SOFORT?
Directly: none. Polymarket accepts only USDC on Polygon. Robinhood Prediction Markets offers a fiat on-ramp via Klarna or SOFORT (DE/AT/CH) and converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. T+1 processing.
and

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Related Topics

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