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Generali Open: Marco Trungelliti vs Yannick Hanfmann

Polymarket vs Kalshi vs Betfair vs Smarkets for "Generali Open: Marco Trungelliti vs Yannick Hanfmann" — live odds, fees and KYC side-by-side.

Completed Match 100% Generali Open: Marco Trungelliti vs Yannick Hanfmann Match O/U 21.5 100% Generali Open: Marco Trungelliti vs Yannick Hanfmann Match O/U 22.5 100% Generali Open: Marco Trungelliti vs Yannick Hanfmann Set Handicap +/-1.5 100% Volume: $252K Closes: 29 Jul 2026
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Generali Open: Marco Trungelliti vs Yannick Hanfmann

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Robinhood Prediction Markets) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Go to the live market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Go to the live market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Go to the live market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Go to the live market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Go to the live market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Completed Match100%
Generali Open: Marco Trungelliti vs Yannick Hanfmann Match O/U 21.5100%
Generali Open: Marco Trungelliti vs Yannick Hanfmann Match O/U 22.5100%
Generali Open: Marco Trungelliti vs Yannick Hanfmann Set Handicap +/-1.5100%
Generali Open: Marco Trungelliti vs Yannick Hanfmann Set 1 O/U 8.5100%
Generali Open: Marco Trungelliti vs Yannick Hanfmann Set 2 O/U 8.5100%
Generali Open: Marco Trungelliti vs Yannick Hanfmann Set 1 O/U 9.5100%
Generali Open: Marco Trungelliti vs Yannick Hanfmann Set 2 O/U 9.5100%
Generali Open: Marco Trungelliti vs Yannick Hanfmann Set 2 O/U 10.5100%
Generali Open: Marco Trungelliti vs Yannick Hanfmann0%
Generali Open: Marco Trungelliti vs Yannick Hanfmann Set 2 Winner0%
Generali Open: Marco Trungelliti vs Yannick Hanfmann Set 1 Winner0%
Generali Open: Marco Trungelliti vs Yannick Hanfmann Total Sets: O/U 2.50%
Generali Open: Marco Trungelliti vs Yannick Hanfmann Match O/U 23.50%
Generali Open: Marco Trungelliti vs Yannick Hanfmann Set 1 O/U 10.50%

Market context

Market consensus: 100% chance of generali open: marco trungelliti vs yannick hanfmann. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the tennis match between Marco Trungelliti and Yannick Hanfmann in the Generali Open, originally scheduled for July 22, 2026 at 6:30AM ET. This market will r…

Methodology

We read Generali Open: Marco Trungelliti vs Yannick Hanfmann from four platform perspectives: Polymarket (on-chain CLOB), Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), Betfair Exchange (sports book exchange), Smarkets (peer-to-peer betting exchange). Polymarket's live mid is the canonical probability; the side-by-side columns benchmark fees, KYC, settlement currency and deposit rails so you can choose the venue that fits your jurisdiction and trade size.

Resolution & payout

Settlement is the biggest difference between the four platforms: Polymarket on-chain in USDC (instant), Kalshi USD via CFTC (T+1), Betfair and Smarkets in local currency via bank withdrawal (T+1 to T+3). On-chain settlement clears in minutes — the fastest payout path of the four.

FAQ

Polymarket vs Kalshi — which is better?
Depends on your location. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated, US-only with full KYC. Polymarket is global, on-chain, no KYC up to $1,500. Polymarket has ~10x higher liquidity but higher regulatory risk.
What does Polymarket cost vs Kalshi?
Polymarket: 0% fees, only Polygon network costs (~$0.01/trade). Kalshi: up to 7% per trade plus spread. For high-frequency traders, Polymarket is dramatically cheaper.
Which platform has the deepest liquidity?
Polymarket — by a wide margin. Top markets reach $50-500M volume, Kalshi ~$200M cumulative, Betfair similar. Deeper liquidity means your trade moves the quote less.
What about Smarkets as an alternative?
Smarkets is a UK betting exchange with a lower default commission (2%) than Betfair. Liquidity on political markets is below Polymarket, comparable to Kalshi. Geo-blocked in many jurisdictions.
Are all these platforms regulated?
No. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated (US). Betfair and Smarkets are UK Gambling Commission licensed. Polymarket operates without explicit regulation — a different risk profile than a regulated sportsbook.
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Related Topics

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