Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Robinhood Prediction Markets) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Go to the live market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Go to the live market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Go to the live market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Go to the live market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Go to the live market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 48.5 | 100% |
| Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| Spread -4.5 | 100% |
| Spread -5.5 | 100% |
| Spread -6.5 | 100% |
| Spread -7.5 | 100% |
| Spread -8.5 | 100% |
| Spread -10.5 | 100% |
| Spread -13.5 | 100% |
| Spread -14.5 | 100% |
| Spread -16.5 | 100% |
| Spread -17.5 | 100% |
| Spread -20.5 | 100% |
| Spread -21.5 | 100% |
| O/U 28.5 | 100% |
| O/U 30.5 | 100% |
| O/U 32.5 | 100% |
| O/U 34.5 | 100% |
| O/U 36.5 | 100% |
| O/U 38.5 | 100% |
| O/U 40.5 | 100% |
| O/U 42.5 | 100% |
| O/U 44.5 | 100% |
| O/U 46.5 | 100% |
| O/U 50.5 | 100% |
| O/U 52.5 | 100% |
| 2H Moneyline | 100% |
| Wake Forest O/U 30.5 | 100% |
| Wake Forest O/U 33.5 | 100% |
| Wake Forest O/U 36.5 | 100% |
| Akron O/U 6.5 | 100% |
| Akron O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Akron O/U 12.5 | 100% |
| Akron O/U 15.5 | 100% |
| Akron O/U 4.5 | 100% |
| Akron O/U 7.5 | 100% |
| Akron O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| Akron O/U 13.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -11.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -12.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -14.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -15.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -5.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -8.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -6.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -8.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -9.5 | 100% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 100% |
| Wake Forest 1H O/U 18.5 | 100% |
| Wake Forest 1H O/U 20.5 | 100% |
| Wake Forest 1H O/U 22.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -16.5 | 100% |
| Akron 2H O/U 4.5 | 100% |
| Akron 2H O/U 6.5 | 100% |
| Akron 2H O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| Wake Forest O/U 29.5 | 100% |
| Wake Forest O/U 32.5 | 100% |
| Wake Forest O/U 35.5 | 100% |
| Wake Forest O/U 31.5 | 100% |
| Wake Forest O/U 34.5 | 100% |
| Wake Forest O/U 37.5 | 100% |
| Akron O/U 5.5 | 100% |
| Akron O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| Akron O/U 11.5 | 100% |
| Akron O/U 14.5 | 100% |
| Wake Forest 1H O/U 17.5 | 100% |
| Wake Forest 1H O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| Wake Forest 1H O/U 21.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -10.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -11.5 | 100% |
| Akron 1H O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| O/U 49.5 | 100% |
| O/U 29.5 | 100% |
| O/U 31.5 | 100% |
| O/U 33.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -17.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -18.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -12.5 | 100% |
| Akron vs. Wake Forest | 0% |
| Spread: Wake Forest (-23.5) | 0% |
| Spread -24.5 | 0% |
| Spread -27.5 | 0% |
| Spread -31.5 | 0% |
| Spread -34.5 | 0% |
| O/U 54.5 | 0% |
| O/U 56.5 | 0% |
| O/U 58.5 | 0% |
| O/U 60.5 | 0% |
| O/U 62.5 | 0% |
| O/U 64.5 | 0% |
| O/U 66.5 | 0% |
| O/U 68.5 | 0% |
| Wake Forest O/U 39.5 | 0% |
| Wake Forest O/U 42.5 | 0% |
| Akron O/U 18.5 | 0% |
| Akron O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| 1H Moneyline | 0% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 0% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -6.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -8.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 0% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| 4Q Spread -6.5 | 0% |
| 4Q Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| Akron 1H O/U 4.5 | 0% |
| Akron 1H O/U 6.5 | 0% |
| Akron 1H O/U 8.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| 2H Spread -8.5 | 0% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 0% |
| 2H Spread -10.5 | 0% |
| 2H Spread -11.5 | 0% |
| Wake Forest 2H O/U 13.5 | 0% |
| Wake Forest 2H O/U 15.5 | 0% |
| Wake Forest 2H O/U 17.5 | 0% |
| Wake Forest O/U 38.5 | 0% |
| Wake Forest O/U 41.5 | 0% |
| Akron 1H O/U 3.5 | 0% |
| Akron 1H O/U 5.5 | 0% |
| Akron 1H O/U 7.5 | 0% |
| Wake Forest 2H O/U 14.5 | 0% |
| Wake Forest 2H O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| Wake Forest 2H O/U 18.5 | 0% |
| 2H Spread -12.5 | 0% |
| 4Q Spread -8.5 | 0% |
| Wake Forest O/U 40.5 | 0% |
| Wake Forest O/U 43.5 | 0% |
| Akron O/U 17.5 | 0% |
| Spread -25.5 | 0% |
| Spread -26.5 | 0% |
| Wake Forest O/U 44.5 | 0% |
| Wake Forest 2H O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| 2H Spread -13.5 | 0% |
| 2H Spread -14.5 | 0% |
Market context
Market consensus: 100% chance of akron vs. wake forest. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. In the upcoming college football game, scheduled for September 3 at 7:00PM ET: If Akron wins, the market will resolve to "Akron". If Wake Forest wins, the market will resolve to "W…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $71K.
Methodology
We read Akron vs. Wake Forest from four platform perspectives: Polymarket (on-chain CLOB), Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), Betfair Exchange (sports book exchange), Smarkets (peer-to-peer betting exchange). Polymarket's live mid is the canonical probability; the side-by-side columns benchmark fees, KYC, settlement currency and deposit rails so you can choose the venue that fits your jurisdiction and trade size.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket settles via UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, the two-hour window runs, then the smart contract pays USDC.
Kalshi settles USD through the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse — the cleanest variant, with heavier KYC. Betfair Exchange settles in account currency (GBP/EUR), net of 2-5% commission. Smarkets follows the same model as Betfair with a lower default 2% commission.
FAQ
- What does Polymarket cost vs Kalshi?
- Polymarket: 0% fees, only Polygon network costs (~$0.01/trade). Kalshi: up to 7% per trade plus spread. For high-frequency traders, Polymarket is dramatically cheaper.
- What about Smarkets as an alternative?
- Smarkets is a UK betting exchange with a lower default commission (2%) than Betfair. Liquidity on political markets is below Polymarket, comparable to Kalshi. Geo-blocked in many jurisdictions.
- Which platform is accessible globally?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Kalshi is US-only. Betfair and Smarkets are UK-restricted. Robinhood Prediction Markets has a different geo footprint and routes to Polymarket's order book at 0% fees.
- Are all these platforms regulated?
- No. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated (US). Betfair and Smarkets are UK Gambling Commission licensed. Polymarket operates without explicit regulation — a different risk profile than a regulated sportsbook.
- Which platform supports Klarna/SOFORT?
- Directly: none. Polymarket accepts only USDC on Polygon. Robinhood Prediction Markets offers a fiat on-ramp via Klarna or SOFORT (DE/AT/CH) and converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. T+1 processing.
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