Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Robinhood Prediction Markets) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Go to the live market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Go to the live market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Go to the live market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Go to the live market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Go to the live market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Kentucky O/U 13.5 | 100% |
| Kentucky 1H O/U 7.5 | 100% |
| Kentucky 1H O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Kentucky 1H O/U 11.5 | 100% |
| Kentucky O/U 12.5 | 100% |
| Alabama 1H O/U 12.5 | 100% |
| Kentucky O/U 11.5 | 100% |
| Kentucky 1H O/U 6.5 | 100% |
| Kentucky 1H O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| Kentucky 1H O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 18.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 21.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 24.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 3.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 6.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 12.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 11.5 | 100% |
| O/U 31.5 | 95% |
| O/U 37.5 | 94% |
| O/U 29.5 | 91% |
| Kentucky O/U 16.5 | 91% |
| Kentucky O/U 15.5 | 91% |
| Kentucky O/U 14.5 | 91% |
| 1H O/U 27.5 | 91% |
| 2Q O/U 14.5 | 91% |
| O/U 43.5 | 75% |
| O/U 33.5 | 71% |
| O/U 35.5 | 71% |
| O/U 39.5 | 70% |
| O/U 41.5 | 70% |
| O/U 47.5 | 69% |
| O/U 45.5 | 68% |
| O/U 48.5 | 66% |
| O/U 49.5 | 60% |
| Alabama O/U 34.5 | 56% |
| O/U 51.5 | 54% |
| O/U 53.5 | 53% |
| Alabama vs. Kentucky | 52% |
| Alabama O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Alabama O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Alabama O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Alabama O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Kentucky O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Kentucky O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Kentucky O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Kentucky O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| Spread -27.5 | 50% |
| Spread -31.5 | 50% |
| Spread -34.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| Alabama O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Alabama O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| Alabama O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Alabama O/U 32.5 | 50% |
| Alabama O/U 35.5 | 50% |
| Kentucky O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Kentucky O/U 22.5 | 50% |
| Kentucky O/U 25.5 | 50% |
| Kentucky O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Alabama O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Kentucky O/U 18.5 | 50% |
| Kentucky O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Kentucky O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Daniel Hill: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Keelon Russell: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| CJ Baxter: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Kevin Riley: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Jason Patterson: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Lotzeir Brooks: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| EJ Crowell: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Willie Rodriguez: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Trae'shawn Brown: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Kenny Minchey: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| DJ Miller: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Nic Anderson: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Josh Ford: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Kaleb Edwards: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Derek Meadows: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Kenny Darby: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Martels Carter Jr.: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Rico Scott: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Prince Jean: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Cederian Morgan: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Mikkel Skinner: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Henry Boyer: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Ja'Kayden Ferguson: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Brock Coffman: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| Alabama O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Alabama O/U 27.5 | 50% |
| Alabama O/U 30.5 | 50% |
| Alabama O/U 33.5 | 50% |
| Alabama O/U 36.5 | 50% |
| Kentucky 2H O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Kentucky 2H O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| Kentucky 2H O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Alabama 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Alabama 2H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Alabama 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Kentucky O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Kentucky O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| Kentucky O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Kentucky 2H O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Kentucky 2H O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Kentucky 2H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Ryan Williams: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Kentucky 2H O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Alabama O/U 22.5 | 50% |
| Alabama O/U 25.5 | 50% |
| Alabama O/U 28.5 | 50% |
| Alabama O/U 31.5 | 50% |
| Alabama 2H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Alabama 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Alabama 2H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| Spread -30.5 | 50% |
| Spread -26.5 | 50% |
| Spread -18.5 | 50% |
| Spread -15.5 | 50% |
| Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| O/U 57.5 | 43% |
| Spread -3.5 | 41% |
| O/U 59.5 | 39% |
| Spread -3.5 | 39% |
| Spread -4.5 | 38% |
| Spread -6.5 | 38% |
| O/U 55.5 | 36% |
| O/U 61.5 | 36% |
| O/U 63.5 | 36% |
| O/U 65.5 | 36% |
| O/U 69.5 | 35% |
| Spread -4.5 | 32% |
| Spread -12.5 | 32% |
| Spread -5.5 | 31% |
| Spread -7.5 | 31% |
| Spread -8.5 | 29% |
| Spread -7.5 | 27% |
| Spread -13.5 | 27% |
| Spread -10.5 | 23% |
| Spread -9.5 | 18% |
| Spread -11.5 | 18% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 10% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 10% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 10% |
| Alabama 1H O/U 16.5 | 10% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 10% |
| 2Q O/U 20.5 | 10% |
| O/U 67.5 | 7% |
| Spread -14.5 | 6% |
| Spread -16.5 | 6% |
| Spread -17.5 | 6% |
| Spread -20.5 | 6% |
| Spread -10.5 | 6% |
| Spread -21.5 | 5% |
| Spread -24.5 | 5% |
| Spread -23.5 | 5% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 0% |
| 1H Moneyline | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| Alabama 1H O/U 14.5 | 0% |
| Alabama 1H O/U 18.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 30.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 15.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| 2Q O/U 17.5 | 0% |
| Alabama 1H O/U 13.5 | 0% |
| Alabama 1H O/U 15.5 | 0% |
| Alabama 1H O/U 17.5 | 0% |
Market context
Alabama vs. Kentucky — current market-implied probability: 100%. In the upcoming college football game between Alabama and Kentucky, scheduled for September 12 at 3:30PM ET: This market will resolve to "Alabama" if Alabama win the game. This market will resolve to …
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $760K.
Methodology
We read Alabama vs. Kentucky from four platform perspectives: Polymarket (on-chain CLOB), Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), Betfair Exchange (sports book exchange), Smarkets (peer-to-peer betting exchange). Polymarket's live mid is the canonical probability; the side-by-side columns benchmark fees, KYC, settlement currency and deposit rails so you can choose the venue that fits your jurisdiction and trade size.
Resolution & payout
Settlement is the biggest difference between the four platforms: Polymarket on-chain in USDC (instant), Kalshi USD via CFTC (T+1), Betfair and Smarkets in local currency via bank withdrawal (T+1 to T+3). On-chain settlement clears in minutes — the fastest payout path of the four.
FAQ
- What does Polymarket cost vs Kalshi?
- Polymarket: 0% fees, only Polygon network costs (~$0.01/trade). Kalshi: up to 7% per trade plus spread. For high-frequency traders, Polymarket is dramatically cheaper.
- Is Betfair a Polymarket alternative?
- Only partially. Betfair Exchange is UK-focused with a sports-betting emphasis; they have politics markets but with thinner liquidity than Polymarket. Settlement in GBP/EUR, 2-5% commission on winnings.
- What about Smarkets as an alternative?
- Smarkets is a UK betting exchange with a lower default commission (2%) than Betfair. Liquidity on political markets is below Polymarket, comparable to Kalshi. Geo-blocked in many jurisdictions.
- Which platform is accessible globally?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Kalshi is US-only. Betfair and Smarkets are UK-restricted. Robinhood Prediction Markets has a different geo footprint and routes to Polymarket's order book at 0% fees.
- Which platform supports Klarna/SOFORT?
- Directly: none. Polymarket accepts only USDC on Polygon. Robinhood Prediction Markets offers a fiat on-ramp via Klarna or SOFORT (DE/AT/CH) and converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. T+1 processing.
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