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California vs. Syracuse

Cross-platform snapshot for "California vs. Syracuse": deepest order book, lowest fee, geo-coverage at a glance.

1H Spread -0.5 100% 1H Spread -1.5 100% 1H Spread -2.5 100% 1H Spread -3.5 100% Volume: $295K Liquidity: $134K Closes: 12 Sept 2026
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California vs. Syracuse

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Robinhood Prediction Markets) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Go to the live market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Go to the live market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Go to the live market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Go to the live market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Go to the live market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
1H Spread -0.5100%
1H Spread -1.5100%
1H Spread -2.5100%
1H Spread -3.5100%
1Q Spread -0.5100%
1Q Spread -1.5100%
1Q Spread -2.5100%
2Q Spread -0.5100%
2Q Spread -1.5100%
1H Spread -4.5100%
2Q O/U 10.5100%
2Q O/U 13.5100%
Spread -1.578%
O/U 34.572%
O/U 40.563%
Spread -4.559%
Spread -2.556%
Spread -16.554%
Spread -3.552%
Spread -13.552%
Spread -18.552%
California O/U 0.550%
California O/U 1.550%
California O/U 2.550%
California O/U 3.550%
Syracuse O/U 0.550%
Syracuse O/U 1.550%
Syracuse O/U 2.550%
Syracuse O/U 3.550%
Spread -0.550%
Spread -0.550%
Spread -8.550%
Spread -17.550%
Spread -20.550%
Spread -21.550%
Spread -24.550%
Spread -27.550%
Spread -31.550%
Spread -34.550%
O/U 36.550%
O/U 38.550%
O/U 42.550%
O/U 44.550%
O/U 48.550%
O/U 50.550%
O/U 60.550%
O/U 66.550%
O/U 72.550%
O/U 74.550%
2H Moneyline50%
2H Spread -0.550%
2H Spread -1.550%
2H Spread -2.550%
2H Spread -3.550%
3Q Spread -0.550%
3Q Spread -1.550%
3Q Spread -2.550%
3Q Moneyline50%
4Q Spread -0.550%
4Q Spread -1.550%
4Q Spread -2.550%
4Q Moneyline50%
Syracuse O/U 24.550%
Syracuse O/U 27.550%
Syracuse O/U 30.550%
Syracuse O/U 33.550%
Syracuse O/U 36.550%
California O/U 21.550%
California O/U 24.550%
California O/U 27.550%
California O/U 30.550%
California O/U 33.550%
Syracuse O/U 3.550%
California O/U 3.550%
Adam Mohammed: Anytime Touchdown50%
Tylik Hill: Anytime Touchdown50%
Umari Hatcher: Anytime Touchdown50%
Shavane Anderson Jr.: Anytime Touchdown50%
Ian Strong: Anytime Touchdown50%
Chase Hendricks: Anytime Touchdown50%
Cole Weaver: Anytime Touchdown50%
Matt Outten: Anytime Touchdown50%
Mason Mini: Anytime Touchdown50%
David Clement: Anytime Touchdown50%
Steve Angeli: Anytime Touchdown50%
Ashten Emory: Anytime Touchdown50%
Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele: Anytime Touchdown50%
Noah Meyers: Anytime Touchdown50%
Cooper Perry: Anytime Touchdown50%
Jordan King: Anytime Touchdown50%
Dorian Thomas: Anytime Touchdown50%
Syracuse O/U 23.550%
Syracuse O/U 26.550%
Syracuse O/U 29.550%
Syracuse O/U 32.550%
Syracuse O/U 35.550%
California O/U 20.550%
California O/U 23.550%
California O/U 26.550%
California O/U 29.550%
California O/U 32.550%
Carter Vargas: Anytime Touchdown50%
Darien Williams: Anytime Touchdown50%
Julian McFadden: Anytime Touchdown50%
Zamondre Merriweather: Anytime Touchdown50%
Kyion Grayes: Anytime Touchdown50%
Mark Hamper: Anytime Touchdown50%
2H Spread -4.550%
California 2H O/U 11.550%
California 2H O/U 13.550%
California 2H O/U 15.550%
Syracuse 2H O/U 12.550%
Syracuse 2H O/U 14.550%
Syracuse 2H O/U 16.550%
Spread -12.550%
Spread -12.550%
2H Spread -1.550%
2H Spread -5.550%
2H O/U 22.550%
2H O/U 25.550%
2H O/U 28.550%
2H O/U 31.550%
2H O/U 34.550%
3Q Spread -3.550%
3Q Spread -1.550%
3Q Spread -0.550%
3Q Spread -3.550%
3Q O/U 6.550%
3Q O/U 9.550%
3Q O/U 12.550%
3Q O/U 15.550%
3Q O/U 18.550%
4Q Spread -3.550%
4Q Spread -1.550%
4Q Spread -0.550%
4Q Spread -3.550%
4Q O/U 9.550%
4Q O/U 12.550%
4Q O/U 15.550%
4Q O/U 18.550%
4Q O/U 21.550%
O/U 70.547%
Spread -11.542%
Spread -7.540%
O/U 46.540%
Spread -14.539%
Spread -2.538%
Spread -6.538%
Spread -1.537%
Spread -6.537%
Spread -13.535%
Spread -4.535%
Spread -10.534%
Spread -10.533%
Spread -5.532%
O/U 62.532%
O/U 68.530%
Spread -9.530%
Spread -3.529%
O/U 52.528%
Spread -16.526%
Spread -9.526%
California vs. Syracuse22%
O/U 53.519%
O/U 54.516%
O/U 55.514%
O/U 56.512%
O/U 58.511%
1H O/U 24.510%
O/U 64.55%
1H Moneyline0%
1Q Moneyline0%
2Q Spread -2.50%
2Q Moneyline0%
California 1H O/U 11.50%
California 1H O/U 13.50%
California 1H O/U 15.50%
Syracuse 1H O/U 12.50%
Syracuse 1H O/U 14.50%
Syracuse 1H O/U 16.50%
1H Spread -1.50%
1H Spread -5.50%
1H O/U 21.50%
1H O/U 27.50%
1H O/U 30.50%
1H O/U 33.50%
1Q Spread -3.50%
1Q Spread -1.50%
1Q Spread -0.50%
1Q Spread -3.50%
1Q O/U 4.50%
1Q O/U 7.50%
1Q O/U 10.50%
1Q O/U 13.50%
1Q O/U 16.50%
2Q Spread -3.50%
2Q Spread -1.50%
2Q Spread -0.50%
2Q Spread -3.50%
2Q O/U 16.50%
2Q O/U 19.50%
2Q O/U 22.50%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, california vs. syracuse stands at 100% likelihood according to current market consensus. In the upcoming college football game between California and Syracuse, scheduled for September 12 at 3:30PM ET: This market will resolve to "California" if California win the game.…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices 1H Spread -0.5 at 100% for "California vs. Syracuse".

1H Spread -0.5 100% Other 0%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $295K.

Methodology

We read California vs. Syracuse from four platform perspectives: Polymarket (on-chain CLOB), Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), Betfair Exchange (sports book exchange), Smarkets (peer-to-peer betting exchange). Polymarket's live mid is the canonical probability; the side-by-side columns benchmark fees, KYC, settlement currency and deposit rails so you can choose the venue that fits your jurisdiction and trade size.

Resolution & payout

Settlement is the biggest difference between the four platforms: Polymarket on-chain in USDC (instant), Kalshi USD via CFTC (T+1), Betfair and Smarkets in local currency via bank withdrawal (T+1 to T+3). On-chain settlement clears in minutes — the fastest payout path of the four.

FAQ

What does Polymarket cost vs Kalshi?
Polymarket: 0% fees, only Polygon network costs (~$0.01/trade). Kalshi: up to 7% per trade plus spread. For high-frequency traders, Polymarket is dramatically cheaper.
Which platform has the deepest liquidity?
Polymarket — by a wide margin. Top markets reach $50-500M volume, Kalshi ~$200M cumulative, Betfair similar. Deeper liquidity means your trade moves the quote less.
What about Smarkets as an alternative?
Smarkets is a UK betting exchange with a lower default commission (2%) than Betfair. Liquidity on political markets is below Polymarket, comparable to Kalshi. Geo-blocked in many jurisdictions.
Which platform is accessible globally?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Kalshi is US-only. Betfair and Smarkets are UK-restricted. Robinhood Prediction Markets has a different geo footprint and routes to Polymarket's order book at 0% fees.
Which platform supports Klarna/SOFORT?
Directly: none. Polymarket accepts only USDC on Polygon. Robinhood Prediction Markets offers a fiat on-ramp via Klarna or SOFORT (DE/AT/CH) and converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. T+1 processing.
Alex ChenAlex ChenPrediction Market AnalystandJordan LeeJordan LeeSports Prediction Reporter

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