Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Robinhood Prediction Markets) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Go to the live market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Go to the live market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Go to the live market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Go to the live market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Go to the live market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Spread: Texas A&M (-40.5) | 100% |
| Spread -41.5 | 100% |
| Spread -4.5 | 100% |
| Spread -5.5 | 100% |
| Spread -10.5 | 100% |
| Spread -16.5 | 100% |
| Spread -17.5 | 100% |
| Spread -20.5 | 100% |
| Spread -21.5 | 100% |
| Spread -24.5 | 100% |
| Spread -27.5 | 100% |
| Spread -31.5 | 100% |
| Spread -34.5 | 100% |
| O/U 33.5 | 100% |
| O/U 35.5 | 100% |
| O/U 37.5 | 100% |
| O/U 39.5 | 100% |
| O/U 41.5 | 100% |
| O/U 43.5 | 100% |
| O/U 45.5 | 100% |
| O/U 47.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -8.5 | 100% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 100% |
| 3Q Spread -6.5 | 100% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 100% |
| 3Q Spread -8.5 | 100% |
| 3Q Spread -9.5 | 100% |
| Missouri State O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Texas A&M O/U 40.5 | 100% |
| Texas A&M O/U 43.5 | 100% |
| Texas A&M O/U 46.5 | 100% |
| Texas A&M O/U 41.5 | 100% |
| Texas A&M O/U 44.5 | 100% |
| Texas A&M O/U 39.5 | 100% |
| Texas A&M O/U 42.5 | 100% |
| Texas A&M O/U 45.5 | 100% |
| Spread -38.5 | 100% |
| Spread -0.5 | 91% |
| Spread -1.5 | 91% |
| Spread -2.5 | 91% |
| Spread -3.5 | 91% |
| Spread -6.5 | 91% |
| Spread -7.5 | 91% |
| Spread -8.5 | 91% |
| Spread -13.5 | 91% |
| Spread -14.5 | 91% |
| O/U 49.5 | 91% |
| 2H Spread -13.5 | 91% |
| 2H Spread -14.5 | 91% |
| 2H Spread -15.5 | 91% |
| 2H Spread -16.5 | 91% |
| 2H Spread -17.5 | 91% |
| Texas A&M O/U 49.5 | 91% |
| Texas A&M 2H O/U 18.5 | 91% |
| Texas A&M 2H O/U 20.5 | 91% |
| Texas A&M 2H O/U 22.5 | 91% |
| Texas A&M O/U 47.5 | 91% |
| Texas A&M 2H O/U 17.5 | 91% |
| Texas A&M 2H O/U 19.5 | 91% |
| Texas A&M 2H O/U 21.5 | 91% |
| Texas A&M O/U 48.5 | 91% |
| Texas A&M 2H O/U 15.5 | 91% |
| 2H Spread -18.5 | 91% |
| 2H Spread -20.5 | 51% |
| Texas A&M O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Missouri State O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Rueben Owens: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Jamarion Morrow: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Marcel Reed: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Mario Craver: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Isaiah Horton: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Carsyn Baker: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Ashton Bethel-Roman: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Terry Bussey: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Micah Riley: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Houston Thomas: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Richie Anderson: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Skyler Locklear: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Ramone Green Jr.: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Jmariyae Robinson: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Makai Cope: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Jeron Askren: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Isaiah Myers: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| James BlackStrain: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Missouri State O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Missouri State O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Missouri State O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Missouri State O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Texas A&M O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Texas A&M O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Texas A&M O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Texas A&M O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -19.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -21.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -22.5 | 50% |
| O/U 61.5 | 10% |
| O/U 63.5 | 10% |
| O/U 67.5 | 10% |
| O/U 69.5 | 10% |
| 2H Moneyline | 10% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 10% |
| Missouri State O/U 4.5 | 10% |
| Missouri State O/U 7.5 | 10% |
| Missouri State O/U 10.5 | 10% |
| Missouri State O/U 13.5 | 10% |
| Missouri State 2H O/U 0.5 | 10% |
| Missouri State 2H O/U 2.5 | 10% |
| Texas A&M O/U 50.5 | 10% |
| Missouri State 2H O/U 4.5 | 10% |
| O/U 52.5 | 1% |
| O/U 53.5 | 1% |
| O/U 51.5 | 1% |
| O/U 57.5 | 1% |
| O/U 73.5 | 1% |
| Texas A&M O/U 52.5 | 1% |
| Texas A&M O/U 53.5 | 1% |
| Texas A&M O/U 51.5 | 1% |
| Missouri State vs. Texas A&M | 0% |
| O/U 55.5 | 0% |
| O/U 59.5 | 0% |
| O/U 65.5 | 0% |
| O/U 71.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -22.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -23.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -24.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -25.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -26.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -9.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -10.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -11.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -12.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -11.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -12.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -13.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -14.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -15.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 0% |
| Texas A&M 1H O/U 25.5 | 0% |
| Texas A&M 1H O/U 27.5 | 0% |
| Texas A&M 1H O/U 29.5 | 0% |
| Missouri State 1H O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| Missouri State 1H O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Missouri State 1H O/U 4.5 | 0% |
| 1H Moneyline | 0% |
| 1H Spread -27.5 | 0% |
Market context
Missouri State vs. Texas A&M — current market-implied probability: 100%. In the upcoming college football game, scheduled for September 5 at 7:00PM ET: If Missouri State wins, the market will resolve to "Missouri State". If Texas A&M wins, the market will resolve to "Texas…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $151K.
Methodology
We read Missouri State vs. Texas A&M from four platform perspectives: Polymarket (on-chain CLOB), Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), Betfair Exchange (sports book exchange), Smarkets (peer-to-peer betting exchange). Polymarket's live mid is the canonical probability; the side-by-side columns benchmark fees, KYC, settlement currency and deposit rails so you can choose the venue that fits your jurisdiction and trade size.
Resolution & payout
Settlement is the biggest difference between the four platforms: Polymarket on-chain in USDC (instant), Kalshi USD via CFTC (T+1), Betfair and Smarkets in local currency via bank withdrawal (T+1 to T+3). On-chain settlement clears in minutes — the fastest payout path of the four.
FAQ
- Which platform has the deepest liquidity?
- Polymarket — by a wide margin. Top markets reach $50-500M volume, Kalshi ~$200M cumulative, Betfair similar. Deeper liquidity means your trade moves the quote less.
- Is Betfair a Polymarket alternative?
- Only partially. Betfair Exchange is UK-focused with a sports-betting emphasis; they have politics markets but with thinner liquidity than Polymarket. Settlement in GBP/EUR, 2-5% commission on winnings.
- What about Smarkets as an alternative?
- Smarkets is a UK betting exchange with a lower default commission (2%) than Betfair. Liquidity on political markets is below Polymarket, comparable to Kalshi. Geo-blocked in many jurisdictions.
- Which platform is accessible globally?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Kalshi is US-only. Betfair and Smarkets are UK-restricted. Robinhood Prediction Markets has a different geo footprint and routes to Polymarket's order book at 0% fees.
- Are all these platforms regulated?
- No. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated (US). Betfair and Smarkets are UK Gambling Commission licensed. Polymarket operates without explicit regulation — a different risk profile than a regulated sportsbook.
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