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North Dakota State vs. Air Force

Which venue prices "North Dakota State vs. Air Force" best? Direct comparison of Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair and Smarkets.

1Q Spread -0.5 100% 1Q Spread -1.5 100% 1Q Spread -2.5 100% 1Q Moneyline 100% Volume: $169K Liquidity: $149K Closes: 13 Sept 2026
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North Dakota State vs. Air Force

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Robinhood Prediction Markets) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Go to the live market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Go to the live market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Go to the live market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Go to the live market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Go to the live market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
1Q Spread -0.5100%
1Q Spread -1.5100%
1Q Spread -2.5100%
1Q Moneyline100%
North Dakota State 1H O/U 11.5100%
North Dakota State 1H O/U 13.5100%
North Dakota State 1H O/U 10.5100%
North Dakota State 1H O/U 12.5100%
North Dakota State 1H O/U 14.5100%
1H O/U 17.5100%
1H O/U 20.5100%
1H O/U 23.5100%
1H O/U 26.5100%
1Q Spread -3.5100%
1Q O/U 2.5100%
1Q O/U 5.5100%
2Q O/U 7.5100%
2Q O/U 10.5100%
2Q O/U 13.5100%
2Q O/U 16.5100%
2Q O/U 19.5100%
O/U 38.599%
O/U 32.598%
1H Spread -1.597%
1H Spread -2.597%
1H Spread -3.597%
O/U 49.596%
O/U 48.596%
O/U 47.596%
O/U 44.596%
O/U 50.596%
North Dakota State O/U 24.596%
North Dakota State O/U 27.596%
O/U 52.594%
O/U 28.591%
O/U 30.591%
O/U 34.591%
O/U 36.591%
O/U 40.591%
North Dakota State O/U 18.591%
North Dakota State O/U 21.591%
North Dakota State 1H O/U 15.591%
1H O/U 29.591%
North Dakota State vs. Air Force90%
Spread -1.590%
Spread -2.587%
O/U 56.586%
North Dakota State O/U 30.586%
Spread -3.583%
Spread -4.583%
Spread -5.577%
Spread -6.576%
Spread -7.575%
1H Spread -0.574%
Air Force O/U 20.572%
2H Spread -1.570%
Air Force O/U 23.567%
O/U 62.566%
Spread -10.565%
Spread -9.563%
Spread -0.551%
Spread -13.551%
O/U 46.550%
Spread -8.550%
Spread -31.550%
Spread -34.550%
O/U 42.550%
O/U 54.550%
O/U 58.550%
O/U 60.550%
O/U 64.550%
O/U 66.550%
2H Moneyline50%
North Dakota State O/U 3.550%
Air Force O/U 2.550%
1H Moneyline50%
2H Spread -0.550%
2H Spread -2.550%
2H Spread -3.550%
2Q Spread -0.550%
2Q Spread -1.550%
2Q Spread -2.550%
2Q Moneyline50%
3Q Spread -0.550%
3Q Spread -1.550%
3Q Spread -2.550%
3Q Moneyline50%
4Q Spread -0.550%
4Q Spread -1.550%
4Q Spread -2.550%
4Q Moneyline50%
Air Force O/U 17.550%
Air Force O/U 26.550%
Air Force O/U 29.550%
Air Force 1H O/U 8.550%
Air Force 1H O/U 10.550%
Air Force 1H O/U 12.550%
Air Force 1H O/U 14.550%
4Q Spread -0.550%
4Q Spread -1.550%
4Q Spread -2.550%
Air Force 2H O/U 10.550%
Air Force 2H O/U 12.550%
Air Force 2H O/U 14.550%
North Dakota State 2H O/U 11.550%
North Dakota State 2H O/U 13.550%
North Dakota State 2H O/U 15.550%
North Dakota State O/U 2.550%
Spread -22.550%
Spread -19.550%
Spread -18.550%
Spread -15.550%
Spread -12.550%
Spread -0.550%
Spread -8.550%
Spread -12.550%
Spread -15.550%
Spread -18.550%
1H Spread -0.550%
1H Spread -1.550%
2H Spread -5.550%
2H Spread -1.550%
2H O/U 17.550%
2H O/U 20.550%
2H O/U 23.550%
2H O/U 26.550%
2H O/U 29.550%
2Q Spread -3.550%
2Q Spread -0.550%
2Q Spread -1.550%
2Q Spread -3.550%
3Q Spread -3.550%
3Q Spread -0.550%
3Q Spread -1.550%
3Q Spread -3.550%
3Q O/U 3.550%
3Q O/U 6.550%
3Q O/U 9.550%
3Q O/U 12.550%
3Q O/U 15.550%
4Q Spread -3.550%
4Q Spread -3.550%
4Q O/U 7.550%
4Q O/U 10.550%
4Q O/U 13.550%
4Q O/U 16.550%
4Q O/U 19.550%
Air Force 1H O/U 9.550%
Air Force 1H O/U 11.550%
Air Force 1H O/U 13.550%
DJ Scott: Anytime Touchdown50%
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Logan Conklin: Anytime Touchdown50%
Mason Hayes: Anytime Touchdown50%
Air Force 2H O/U 8.550%
North Dakota State 2H O/U 10.550%
North Dakota State 2H O/U 12.550%
North Dakota State 2H O/U 14.550%
O/U 68.549%
Spread -14.548%
Spread -17.540%
Spread -16.536%
Spread -20.527%
Spread -21.521%
Spread -24.513%
Spread -27.510%
Spread -1.58%
Spread -2.58%
Spread -5.56%
Spread -3.54%
Spread -4.54%
Spread -6.54%
1H Spread -3.54%
Spread -11.53%
Spread -14.53%
1Q Spread -0.50%
1Q Spread -1.50%
1Q Spread -3.50%
1Q O/U 8.50%
1Q O/U 11.50%
1Q O/U 14.50%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to north dakota state vs. air force. In the upcoming college football game between North Dakota State and Air Force, scheduled for September 12 at 10:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "North Dakota State" if North Dakota State win the…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices 1Q Spread -0.5 at 100% for "North Dakota State vs. Air Force".

1Q Spread -0.5 100% Other 0%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $169K.

Methodology

We read North Dakota State vs. Air Force from four platform perspectives: Polymarket (on-chain CLOB), Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), Betfair Exchange (sports book exchange), Smarkets (peer-to-peer betting exchange). Polymarket's live mid is the canonical probability; the side-by-side columns benchmark fees, KYC, settlement currency and deposit rails so you can choose the venue that fits your jurisdiction and trade size.

Resolution & payout

Settlement is the biggest difference between the four platforms: Polymarket on-chain in USDC (instant), Kalshi USD via CFTC (T+1), Betfair and Smarkets in local currency via bank withdrawal (T+1 to T+3). On-chain settlement clears in minutes — the fastest payout path of the four.

FAQ

What does Polymarket cost vs Kalshi?
Polymarket: 0% fees, only Polygon network costs (~$0.01/trade). Kalshi: up to 7% per trade plus spread. For high-frequency traders, Polymarket is dramatically cheaper.
Which platform has the deepest liquidity?
Polymarket — by a wide margin. Top markets reach $50-500M volume, Kalshi ~$200M cumulative, Betfair similar. Deeper liquidity means your trade moves the quote less.
Is Betfair a Polymarket alternative?
Only partially. Betfair Exchange is UK-focused with a sports-betting emphasis; they have politics markets but with thinner liquidity than Polymarket. Settlement in GBP/EUR, 2-5% commission on winnings.
Are all these platforms regulated?
No. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated (US). Betfair and Smarkets are UK Gambling Commission licensed. Polymarket operates without explicit regulation — a different risk profile than a regulated sportsbook.
Which platform supports Klarna/SOFORT?
Directly: none. Polymarket accepts only USDC on Polygon. Robinhood Prediction Markets offers a fiat on-ramp via Klarna or SOFORT (DE/AT/CH) and converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. T+1 processing.
Alex ChenAlex ChenPrediction Market AnalystandJordan LeeJordan LeeSports Prediction Reporter

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