Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Robinhood Prediction Markets) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
94% | 6% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Go to the live market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
94% | 6% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Go to the live market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Go to the live market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Go to the live market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Go to the live market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Spread -0.5 | 94% |
| Spread -1.5 | 94% |
| Spread -2.5 | 94% |
| Spread -7.5 | 94% |
| Spread -8.5 | 94% |
| O/U 29.5 | 94% |
| Spread -5.5 | 93% |
| Spread -10.5 | 93% |
| Spread -4.5 | 91% |
| O/U 31.5 | 91% |
| Spread -13.5 | 89% |
| Spread -14.5 | 89% |
| O/U 33.5 | 88% |
| NC State O/U 32.5 | 87% |
| Spread -6.5 | 86% |
| Spread -16.5 | 86% |
| O/U 35.5 | 86% |
| Spread -17.5 | 84% |
| O/U 37.5 | 83% |
| Spread -20.5 | 80% |
| O/U 39.5 | 79% |
| Spread -21.5 | 78% |
| O/U 41.5 | 77% |
| Spread -23.5 | 75% |
| Spread -26.5 | 74% |
| 1H Spread -15.5 | 73% |
| Spread -24.5 | 72% |
| Spread -25.5 | 72% |
| Spread -27.5 | 69% |
| O/U 45.5 | 66% |
| 1H Spread -14.5 | 64% |
| Spread -30.5 | 62% |
| Spread -29.5 | 62% |
| Spread -28.5 | 61% |
| O/U 43.5 | 60% |
| Spread -3.5 | 59% |
| O/U 47.5 | 58% |
| 1H Spread -16.5 | 57% |
| O/U 48.5 | 56% |
| Spread -31.5 | 55% |
| O/U 49.5 | 54% |
| Spread -32.5 | 54% |
| 1H Spread -17.5 | 53% |
| Richmond O/U 9.5 | 52% |
| 1H O/U 20.5 | 52% |
| 1H O/U 23.5 | 52% |
| 1H O/U 26.5 | 52% |
| Richmond O/U 0.5 | 51% |
| Richmond O/U 1.5 | 51% |
| Richmond O/U 3.5 | 51% |
| NC State O/U 0.5 | 51% |
| NC State O/U 2.5 | 51% |
| 2H Moneyline | 51% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 51% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 51% |
| 1Q Spread -8.5 | 51% |
| 2Q Spread -8.5 | 51% |
| 2Q Spread -10.5 | 51% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 51% |
| 3Q Spread -6.5 | 51% |
| 3Q Spread -8.5 | 51% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 51% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 51% |
| 4Q Spread -6.5 | 51% |
| Richmond O/U 3.5 | 51% |
| Richmond O/U 6.5 | 51% |
| Richmond O/U 12.5 | 51% |
| NC State O/U 35.5 | 51% |
| NC State O/U 38.5 | 51% |
| NC State O/U 41.5 | 51% |
| NC State O/U 44.5 | 51% |
| 1Q Spread -9.5 | 51% |
| Joshisa Trader: Anytime Touchdown | 51% |
| Preston Douglas: Anytime Touchdown | 51% |
| Vander Ploog: Anytime Touchdown | 51% |
| Keenan Jackson: Anytime Touchdown | 51% |
| Victor Snow: Anytime Touchdown | 51% |
| Davion Dozier: Anytime Touchdown | 51% |
| Sean Clarke: Anytime Touchdown | 51% |
| Ashten Snelsire: Anytime Touchdown | 51% |
| NC State O/U 36.5 | 51% |
| NC State O/U 42.5 | 51% |
| NC State O/U 45.5 | 51% |
| NC State O/U 40.5 | 51% |
| Richmond O/U 1.5 | 51% |
| Richmond O/U 4.5 | 51% |
| Richmond O/U 10.5 | 51% |
| Richmond O/U 13.5 | 51% |
| Richmond O/U 2.5 | 51% |
| Richmond O/U 5.5 | 51% |
| Richmond O/U 8.5 | 51% |
| NC State O/U 47.5 | 51% |
| O/U 50.5 | 51% |
| NC State 1H O/U 19.5 | 51% |
| NC State 1H O/U 23.5 | 51% |
| Richmond 1H O/U 1.5 | 51% |
| Richmond 1H O/U 3.5 | 51% |
| 4Q Spread -9.5 | 51% |
| NC State 1H O/U 18.5 | 51% |
| NC State 1H O/U 20.5 | 51% |
| 2Q Spread -12.5 | 51% |
| 1H Spread -21.5 | 51% |
| 2H O/U 19.5 | 51% |
| 2H O/U 22.5 | 51% |
| 2H O/U 25.5 | 51% |
| 2H O/U 28.5 | 51% |
| 2H O/U 31.5 | 51% |
| 1Q Spread -11.5 | 51% |
| 1Q O/U 4.5 | 51% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 51% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 51% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 51% |
| 1Q O/U 16.5 | 51% |
| 2Q Spread -13.5 | 51% |
| 2Q O/U 9.5 | 51% |
| 2Q O/U 12.5 | 51% |
| 2Q O/U 15.5 | 51% |
| 2Q O/U 18.5 | 51% |
| 2Q O/U 21.5 | 51% |
| 3Q Spread -11.5 | 51% |
| 3Q O/U 4.5 | 51% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 51% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 51% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 51% |
| 3Q O/U 16.5 | 51% |
| 4Q Spread -11.5 | 51% |
| 4Q O/U 6.5 | 51% |
| 4Q O/U 9.5 | 51% |
| 4Q O/U 12.5 | 51% |
| 4Q O/U 15.5 | 51% |
| 4Q O/U 18.5 | 51% |
| Richmond 2H O/U 2.5 | 51% |
| Richmond 2H O/U 4.5 | 51% |
| Richmond 2H O/U 6.5 | 51% |
| NC State 2H O/U 19.5 | 51% |
| NC State 2H O/U 23.5 | 51% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 51% |
| Richmond O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| NC State O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| NC State O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| Richmond O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -11.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| Will Wilson: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| CJ Bailey: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Davion Gause: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Hunter Provience: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Quanye Veney: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Jamaal Brown: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| NC State O/U 33.5 | 50% |
| NC State O/U 39.5 | 50% |
| NC State O/U 34.5 | 50% |
| NC State O/U 37.5 | 50% |
| NC State O/U 43.5 | 50% |
| NC State O/U 46.5 | 50% |
| Richmond O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Richmond O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Richmond O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| NC State 1H O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Richmond 1H O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| NC State 1H O/U 22.5 | 50% |
| Spread -33.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -19.5 | 50% |
| Spread -19.5 | 50% |
| Spread -47.5 | 50% |
| Spread -48.5 | 50% |
| Spread -50.5 | 50% |
| Spread -51.5 | 50% |
| Spread -54.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 32.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -12.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -15.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -19.5 | 50% |
| NC State 2H O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Spread -34.5 | 48% |
| O/U 51.5 | 48% |
| 1H Spread -18.5 | 47% |
| 1H Moneyline | 46% |
| Spread -37.5 | 43% |
| O/U 53.5 | 42% |
| Spread -35.5 | 42% |
| Spread -40.5 | 37% |
| O/U 55.5 | 36% |
| Spread -39.5 | 36% |
| Spread -42.5 | 33% |
| Spread -36.5 | 32% |
| Spread -38.5 | 32% |
| Spread -41.5 | 32% |
| Spread -44.5 | 32% |
| O/U 57.5 | 31% |
| O/U 59.5 | 25% |
| O/U 61.5 | 22% |
| O/U 63.5 | 17% |
| O/U 65.5 | 16% |
| O/U 67.5 | 13% |
| O/U 69.5 | 11% |
| Richmond vs. NC State | 3% |
Market context
Richmond vs. NC State — current market-implied probability: 94%. In the upcoming college football game between Richmond and NC State, scheduled for September 11 at 7:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Richmond" if Richmond win the game. This market will resolve …
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $154K.
Methodology
This page compares Richmond vs. NC State specifically across Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets. The live probability is the Polymarket mid; the comparison columns summarise each venue's fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Robinhood Prediction Markets, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Settlement is the biggest difference between the four platforms: Polymarket on-chain in USDC (instant), Kalshi USD via CFTC (T+1), Betfair and Smarkets in local currency via bank withdrawal (T+1 to T+3). On-chain settlement clears in minutes — the fastest payout path of the four.
FAQ
- Which platform has the deepest liquidity?
- Polymarket — by a wide margin. Top markets reach $50-500M volume, Kalshi ~$200M cumulative, Betfair similar. Deeper liquidity means your trade moves the quote less.
- Is Betfair a Polymarket alternative?
- Only partially. Betfair Exchange is UK-focused with a sports-betting emphasis; they have politics markets but with thinner liquidity than Polymarket. Settlement in GBP/EUR, 2-5% commission on winnings.
- What about Smarkets as an alternative?
- Smarkets is a UK betting exchange with a lower default commission (2%) than Betfair. Liquidity on political markets is below Polymarket, comparable to Kalshi. Geo-blocked in many jurisdictions.
- Which platform is accessible globally?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Kalshi is US-only. Betfair and Smarkets are UK-restricted. Robinhood Prediction Markets has a different geo footprint and routes to Polymarket's order book at 0% fees.
- Are all these platforms regulated?
- No. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated (US). Betfair and Smarkets are UK Gambling Commission licensed. Polymarket operates without explicit regulation — a different risk profile than a regulated sportsbook.
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